scholarly journals Assessing the Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Emerging Market Economies’ (EMEs) Sovereign Bond Risk Premium and Fiscal Solvency

Author(s):  
Menna Bizuneh ◽  
Menelik Geremew
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4, special issue) ◽  
pp. 194-211
Author(s):  
Tafirei Mashamba

The 2007 to 2009 global financial crisis significantly affected the funding structures of banks, especially internationally active ones (Gambacorta, Schiaffi, & Van Rixtel, 2017). This paper examines the impact of liquidity regulations, in particular, the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), on funding structures of commercial banks operating in emerging markets over the period 2011 to 2016. Similar to Behn, Daminato, and Salleo (2019) who developed a dynamic partial equilibrium model to examine capital and liquidity adjustments, this paper develops three dynamic error component adjustment models and estimates them using the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator to analyze funding adjustments adopted by banks in emerging markets in response to the LCR requirement. The results revealed that banks in emerging markets responded to binding liquidity regulations by increasing deposit, equity as well as long-term funding. In terms of the magnitude of response, deposit funding was found to be more responsive to the LCR rule while the elasticity of equity and long-term funding to the LCR specification was found to be weak. The weak response of equity and long-term funding to liquidity standards was attributed to low levels of capital market development in emerging markets (Bonner, van Lelyveld, & Zymek, 2015). By and large, the results suggest that Basel III liquidity regulations have been effective in persuading banks in emerging market economies to fund their business activities with stable funding instruments. Based on this evidence, the study supports the adoption of Basel III liquidity regulations in emerging markets. Moreover, policymakers in emerging market economies should monitor competition for retail deposits to safeguard the benefits of the LCR rule and pay more attention to developing capital markets.


2011 ◽  
Vol 02 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
ATISH R. GHOSH ◽  
CHRISTOPHER CROWE ◽  
JUN IL KIM ◽  
JONATHAN D. OSTRY ◽  
MARCOS CHAMON

This paper reviews the International Monetary Fund (IMF) policy advice to emerging market economies (EMEs) during the 2008-09 crisis, contrasting it to previous crisis episodes. EMEs that had strong fundamentals, and were mainly affected through international trade and financial spillovers, were advised to loosen monetary and fiscal policies, much like the counter-cyclical policies pursued by advanced economies. But in EMEs with "home-grown" vulnerabilities, the advice was more traditional fiscal consolidation, monetary restraint and structural reform, albeit with more financing and greater emphasis on cushioning the impact of the shock. Thus, the "new" IMF advice was the result of "new fundamentals" in EMEs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 285-304
Author(s):  
Abdullahil Mamun ◽  
Emrah Eray Akça ◽  
Harun Bal

This study is an attempt to examine the impact of currency misalignment on the trade balance of emerging market economies from 1980 through 2016. It firstly measures the equilibrium RER and corresponding misalignment series of 21 EMEs separately adopting a single equation approach and then includes them in the trade regression together with undervaluation and overvaluation to estimate the dynamic relationship between the trade balance and real exchange rate misalignment employing the system generalized method of moment estimation approach. The study suggests that, being a composite series of undervaluation and overvaluation, higher real exchange rate misalignment helps recover trade imbalances. It also identifies that undervaluation improves trade balance, while overvaluation cuts it down. The study identifies that the misalignment series of RER for most of the EMEs are substantially dominated by overvaluation episodes, and hence the opposing impact of undervaluation and currency misalignment on the trade balance of EMEs is not surprising. From the policy perspective, competitiveness achieved through currency movements helps emerging market economies not only to improve trade balance but also to withstand vulnerability that arises from huge external borrowings creating a strong external payment position.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-785 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khemaies Bougatef

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the impact of corruption on the asset quality of banks operating in emerging market economies over the period 2008-2012. This issue is of crucial importance given the role of banking systems in economic development and the worldwide spread of corruption. Using panel data set of 22 countries, our findings provide a strong and robust support to the hypothesis according to which corruption aggravates the problem with non-performing loans. This evidence suggests that corruption may hinder economic development through the misallocation of loanable funds. Other results are as follows: economic expansion and capitalization level improve the loan portfolio quality. By contrast, unemployment deteriorates the debt servicing capacity of borrower which in turn contributes to lower the bank asset quality. Design/methodology/approach The authors use panel data techniques on a sample of 22 emerging market economies over the period 2008-2012 to test the relevance of corrupt practices on the soundness of banks. Findings Their findings reveal a robust positive relationship between corruption and non-performing loans (NPLs). This evidence corroborates previous results on the detrimental effect of corrupt practices on financial development. The subdivision of our main sample into two groups on the basis of the level of corruption reveals the importance of the effectiveness of collateral and bankruptcy laws in reducing the effect of corruption on loan portfolio. Moreover, we find that the accessibility to more credit information is helpful only in low corrupt countries since it enhances the soundness of banks by facilitating lending decisions. Originality/value The novelty of this paper is to take into consideration the implications of corruption in investigating the determinants of credit risk.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 316-322 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mykola Pasichnyi

The challenges of economic globalization, recession, and the essential changes in market conditions, as well as the financial institutionalization, determine the expediency of the new studies to explore the impact of fiscal instruments on the dynamics of economic growth and social stability. This paper examines the role of fiscal policy in the economic growth ensuring in advanced and emerging market economies over the period from 2001 to 2015. The research indicates the growing role of the state (in general) and the budget (in particular) in regulation of social and economic processes. Based on the methods of economic regression, the interrelations between government spending and GDP growth in different groups of countries were evaluated. The study emphasized the directions to increase the positive influence of budget policy on economic development for countries with emerging market economies. This can be achieved by harmonization of the tax burden and structure, improving the use of budget funds, conducting structural optimization of budget expenditures, further development of financial and budget institutions, implementation of the fiscal constraints and rules while forming the basic indicators of fiscal policy.


Policy Papers ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 (51) ◽  
Author(s):  

This paper examines the performance of emerging market economies (EMs) during the recent global crisis and draws policy conclusions. It considers how EMs were affected by the initial impact of the crisis, examines the extent to which they were able to undertake countercyclical policies to moderate the impact, and highlights factors that have influenced the pace and timing of their recovery. Finally, it considers policy challenges facing EMs as the crisis subsides. This paper sheds light on the role of reserves in crises, and provides contextual background for work on the future financing role of the IMF.


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