Route Choice Probability Model Based on Urban Rail Transit Passenger Classification

ICTE 2019 ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guofang Li ◽  
Hezhou Qu ◽  
Jinghong Li
2014 ◽  
Vol 587-589 ◽  
pp. 2252-2256
Author(s):  
Sha Sha Liu ◽  
En Jian Yao ◽  
Yong Sheng Zhang ◽  
Ling Lu

In order to capture spatiotemporal distribution pattern of passenger flow under networked condition, it is necessary to analyze route choice behavior of urban rail transit passengers. First, angular cost value and comfort index are defined to reflect the influence of network structures, route directions and in-vehicle congestion on passengers’ route choice behavior respectively; Then, two route choice models are proposed respectively for peak and off-peak hours, in which new variables including angular cost value, comfort index and personal characteristics, as well as level of service variables (i.e. in-vehicle travel time, number of transfers and transfer time etc. , which are usually found in the base model) are considered. Finally, the models are calibrated with the surveyed data from Guangzhou Metro and compared with each other. The results show that the new variables significantly improve models’ explanatory and predictive abilities on route choice behavior of urban rail transit passengers.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dewei Li ◽  
Yufang Gao ◽  
Ruoyi Li ◽  
Weiteng Zhou

Route choice is one of the most critical passenger behaviors in public transit research. The utility maximization theory is generally used to model passengers’ route choice behavior in a public transit network in previous research. However, researchers have found that passenger behavior is far more complicated than a single utility maximization assumption. Some passengers tend to maximize their utility while others would minimize their regrets. In this paper, a schedule-based transit assignment model based on the hybrid of utility maximization and regret minimization is proposed to study the passenger route choice behavior in an urban rail transit network. Firstly, based on the smart card data, the space-time expanded network in an urban rail transit was constructed. Then, it adapts the utility maximization (RUM) and the regret minimization theory (RRM) to analyze and model the passenger route choice behavior independently. The utility values and the regret values are calculated with the utility and the regret functions. A transit assignment model is established based on a hybrid of the random utility maximization and the random regret minimization (RURM) with two kinds of hybrid rules, namely, attribute level hybrid and decision level hybrid. The models are solved by the method of successive algorithm. Finally, the hybrid assignment models are applied to Beijing urban rail transit network for validation. The result shows that RRM and RUM make no significant difference for OD pairs with only two alternative routes. For those with more than two alternative routes, the performance of RRM and RUM is different. RRM is slightly better than RUM in some of the OD pairs, while for the other OD pairs, the results are opposite. Moreover, it shows that the crowd would only influence the regret value of OD pair with more commuters. We conclude that compared with RUM and RRM, the hybrid model RURM is more general.


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