Density Forecasts in Panel Data Models: A Semiparametric Bayesian Perspective

Under a Mundlak-type correlated random effect (CRE) specification, we first show that the average likelihood of a parametric nonlinear panel data model is the convolution of the conditional distribution of the model and the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity. Hence, the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity can be recovered by means of a Fourier transformation without imposing a distributional assumption on the CRE specification. We subsequently construct a semiparametric family of average likelihood functions of observables by combining the conditional distribution of the model and the recovered distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity, and show that the parameters in the nonlinear panel data model and in the CRE specification are identifiable. Based on the identification result, we propose a sieve maximum likelihood estimator. Compared with the conventional parametric CRE approaches, the advantage of our method is that it is not subject to misspecification on the distribution of the CRE. Furthermore, we show that the average partial effects are identifiable and extend our results to dynamic nonlinear panel data models.

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Spatiotemporal Econometrics Models for Old Age Mortality in Europe

Mathematics ◽

10.3390/math9091061 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (9) ◽

pp. 1061

Author(s):

Patricia Carracedo ◽

Ana Debón

Keyword(s):

Panel Data ◽

Goodness Of Fit ◽

Population Aging ◽

European Population ◽

Data Models ◽

European Countries ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Panel Data Models ◽

Estimation Of Parameters ◽

Advantages And Disadvantages

In the past decade, panel data models using time-series observations of several geographical units have become popular due to the availability of software able to implement them. The aim of this study is an updated comparison of estimation techniques between the implementations of spatiotemporal panel data models across MATLAB and R softwares in order to fit real mortality data. The case study used concerns the male and female mortality of the aged population of European countries. Mortality is quantified with the Comparative Mortality Figure, which is the most suitable statistic for comparing mortality by sex over space when detailed specific mortality is available for each studied population. The spatial dependence between the 26 European countries and their neighbors during 1995–2012 was confirmed through the Global Moran Index and the spatiotemporal panel data models. For this reason, it can be said that mortality in European population aging not only depends on differences in the health systems, which are subject to national discretion but also on supra-national developments. Finally, we conclude that although both programs seem similar, there are some differences in the estimation of parameters and goodness of fit measures being more reliable MATLAB. These differences have been justified by detailing the advantages and disadvantages of using each of them.

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Fitting partially linear functional-coefficient panel-data models with Stata

The Stata Journal Promoting communications on statistics and Stata ◽

10.1177/1536867x20976339 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 20 (4) ◽

pp. 976-998

Author(s):

Kerui Du ◽

Yonghui Zhang ◽

Qiankun Zhou

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo ◽

Panel Data ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Linear Functional ◽

Semiparametric Estimation ◽

Data Models ◽

Panel Data Models ◽

Panel Models ◽

Partially Linear ◽

Functional Coefficient

In this article, we describe the implementation of fitting partially linear functional-coefficient panel models with fixed effects proposed by An, Hsiao, and Li [2016, Semiparametric estimation of partially linear varying coefficient panel data models in Essays in Honor of Aman Ullah ( Advances in Econometrics, Volume 36)] and Zhang and Zhou (Forthcoming, Econometric Reviews). Three new commands xtplfc, ivxtplfc, and xtdplfc are introduced and illustrated through Monte Carlo simulations to exemplify the effectiveness of these estimators.

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