Television Advertising in the 1992 New Hampshire Presidential Primary Election

Abstract Presidential primary debates in the USA are commonly concluded by brief closing statements, in which the competitors outline the central messages of their election campaigns. These statements constitute a subgenre characterized by a set of recurring rhetorical moves, which are defined as functional units geared towards the respective communicative objective, in this case political persuasion. Located at the interface of rhetorical move analysis and political discourse studies, this paper demonstrates that moves and embedded steps in closing statements fulfill the persuasive function of legitimizing the respective candidate as the most preferable presidential successor. The study is based on the transcripts of 98 closing statements, which were extracted from eight Democratic and eleven Republican primary debates held between August 2015 and April 2016. Typical moves, such as projecting the speaker’s future political agenda or diagnosing the current situation in America, are presented with the help of illustrative examples, frequencies of occurrence, and a sample analysis of a complete closing statement.

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Robo-Polls: Taking Cues from Traditional Sources?

Political Science and Politics ◽

10.1017/s1049096513000012 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 46 (02) ◽

pp. 333-337 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Joshua D. Clinton ◽

Steven Rogers

Keyword(s):

New Hampshire ◽

Interactive Voice Response ◽

Conclusive Evidence ◽

Vote Share ◽

Presidential Primary ◽

Average Accuracy ◽

Voice Response

AbstractAfter the 2012 Republican New Hampshire primary, 159 poll results were released prior to the subsequent nomination contests in the Republican presidential primary. More than two-thirds of these polls relied on interactive voice response (IVR) software to conduct the interviews. We evaluate the ability of polls to predict the vote-share for the Republican candidates Romney, Santorum, and Gingrich. We find no overall difference in the average accuracy of IVR and traditional human polls, but IVR polls conducted prior to human polls are significantly poorer predictors of election outcomes than traditional human polls even after controlling for characteristics of the states, polls, and electoral environment. These findings provide suggestive, but not conclusive, evidence that pollsters may take cues from one another given the stakes involved. If so, reported polls should not be assumed to be independent of one another and so-called poll-of-polls will be misleadingly precise.

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Differing Uses of YouTube During the 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election

Electronic News ◽

10.1177/1931243111398213 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 5 (1) ◽

pp. 1-19 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Gary L. Hanson ◽

Paul M. Haridakis ◽

Rekha Sharma

Keyword(s):

Primary Election ◽

Presidential Primary

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The Attrition Game: Initial Resources, Initial Contests and the Exit of Candidates During the US Presidential Primary Season

British Journal of Political Science ◽

10.1017/s0007123406000251 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 36 (3) ◽

pp. 487-507 ◽

Cited By ~ 44

Author(s):

BARBARA NORRANDER

Keyword(s):

New Hampshire ◽

The United States ◽

Fund Raising ◽

Presidential Primary ◽

National Poll ◽

The Us ◽

Structural Variables ◽

Intraparty Conflict ◽

The One ◽

Occupational Background

In contests for the presidential nominations from the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States, the duration of candidacies determines both the winning candidate (i.e., the one who outlasts his or her opponents) and the amount of intraparty conflict before the nomination is bestowed. This article analyses how strategic considerations lead some candidates to exit the race more quickly than others. Factors which could shape such strategic considerations include initial candidate assets and characteristics (national poll standings, fund-raising totals and occupational background), initial contest outcomes (Iowa and New Hampshire) and structural variables (proportional representation delegate distribution rules, party, front-loaded calendar). Results from a duration model indicate that poll standings, money (in a curvilinear pattern), New Hampshire and Iowa results, occupational backgrounds and the front-loading of the primary calendar shaped the length of candidacies for presidential contestants from 1980 to 2004. Candidates lacking in initial assets or early victories leave the nomination race in a process most resembling a game of attrition.

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