A risk assessment model for traffic crashes problem using fuzzy logic: a case study of Zonguldak, Turkey

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Oğuz Koçar ◽  
Ercüment Dizdar
2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (8) ◽  
pp. 1813-1833 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenpei Xu ◽  
Ting-Kwei Wang

PurposeThis study provides a safety prewarning mechanism, which includes a comprehensive risk assessment model and a safety prewarning system. The comprehensive risk assessment model is capable of assessing nine safety indicators, which can be categorised into workers’ behaviour, environment and machine-related safety indicators, and the model is embedded in the safety prewarning system. The safety prewarning system can automatically extract safety information from surveillance cameras based on computer vision, assess risks based on the embedded comprehensive risk assessment model, categorise risks into five levels and provide timely suggestions.Design/methodology/approachFirstly, the comprehensive risk assessment model is constructed by adopting grey multihierarchical analysis method. The method combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the grey clustering evaluation in the grey theory. Expert knowledge, obtained through the questionnaire approach, contributes to set weights of risk indicators and evaluate risks. Secondly, a safety prewarning system is developed, including data acquisition layer, data processing layer and prewarning layer. Computer vision is applied in the system to automatically extract real-time safety information from the surveillance cameras. The safety information is then processed through the comprehensive risk assessment model and categorized into five risk levels. A case study is presented to verify the proposed mechanism.FindingsThrough a case study, the result shows that the proposed mechanism is capable of analyzing integrated human-machine-environment risk, timely categorising risks into five risk levels and providing potential suggestions.Originality/valueThe comprehensive risk assessment model is capable of assessing nine risk indicators, identifying three types of entities, workers, environment and machine on the construction site, presenting the integrated risk based on nine indicators. The proposed mechanism, which adopts expert knowledge through Building Information Modeling (BIM) safety simulation and extracts safety information based on computer vision, can perform a dynamic real-time risk analysis, categorize risks into five risk levels and provide potential suggestions to corresponding risk owners. The proposed mechanism can allow the project manager to take timely actions.


Author(s):  
Л.А. Чудовская ◽  
С.М. Галилеев ◽  
М.М. Галилеев

Рассмотрена оценка инвестиционного бизнес-процесса в отрасли лесопромышленного комплекса с помощью аппарата нечеткой логики. Модель позволяет оптимизировать работу транспортных узлов лесного комплекса, работу деревообрабатывающих предприятий, леспромхозов с точки зренияэффективности вложения инвестиций в условиях неопределенности современного состояния экономики. Рассмотрена модель оценки риска как задачи линейного программирования в нечеткой постановке. Использованы построенные функции принадлежности - треугольные и гауссовы на основе экспертных оценок. При решении задачи использован пакет MatLab с Toolbox Fuzzy Logic и метод Балаша. Полученные результаты показали работоспособность предлагаемой модели и возможность использования ее в различных отраслях лесопромышленного комплекса к оценке риска инвестиционного бизнес-процесса. The article considers the evaluation of the investment business process in the timber industry using fuzzy logic. The model makes it possible to optimize the operation of transport nodes of the forest complex, the work of woodworking enterprises, forestry enterprises in terms of investment efficiency in the conditions of uncertainty of the current state of the economy. The risk assessment model is considered as a linear programming problem in a fuzzy formulation. The constructed membership functions - triangular and Gaussian-based on expert estimates are used. The MatLab package with Toolbox Fuzzy Logic and the Balash method were used to solve the problem. The results obtained showed the efficiency of the proposed model and the possibility of using it in various sectors of the timber industry to assess the risk of investment business process.


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