Dynamics analysis and optimal control strategy for a SIRS epidemic model with two discrete time delays

2020 ◽  
Vol 95 (3) ◽  
pp. 035213
Author(s):  
Linhe Zhu ◽  
Xuewei Wang ◽  
Huihui Zhang ◽  
Shuling Shen ◽  
Yimin Li ◽  
...  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abderrahim Labzai ◽  
Omar Balatif ◽  
Mostafa Rachik

The aim of this paper is to study and investigate the optimal control strategy of a discrete mathematical model of smoking with specific saturated incidence rate. The population that we are going to study is divided into five compartments: potential smokers, light smokers, heavy smokers, temporary quitters of smoking, and permanent quitters of smoking. Our objective is to find the best strategy to reduce the number of light smokers, heavy smokers, and temporary quitters of smoking. We use three control strategies which are awareness programs through media and education, treatment, and psychological support with follow-up. Pontryagins maximum principle in discrete time is used to characterize the optimal controls. The numerical simulation is carried out using MATLAB. Consequently, the obtained results confirm the performance of the optimization strategy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Omar Zakary ◽  
Sara Bidah ◽  
Mostafa Rachik ◽  
Hanane Ferjouchia

In this paper, we aim to estimate and predict the situation of the new coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) in countries under quarantine measures. First, we present a new discrete-time mathematical model describing the evolution of the COVID-19 in a population under quarantine. We are motivated by the growing numbers of infections and deaths in countries under quarantine to investigate potential causes. We consider two new classes of people, those who respect the quarantine and stay at home, and those who do not respect the quarantine and leave their homes for one or another reason. Second, we use real published data to estimate the parameters of the model, and then, we estimate these populations in Morocco. We investigate the impact of people who underestimate the quarantine by considering an optimal control strategy to reduce this category and then reducing the number of the population at risk in Morocco. We provide several simulations to support our findings.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Abderrahim Labzai ◽  
Abdelfatah Kouidere ◽  
Bouchaib Khajji ◽  
Omar Balatif ◽  
Mostafa Rachik

The aim of this paper is to study and investigate the optimal control strategy of a discrete mathematical model of drug consumption. The population that we are going to study is divided into six compartments: potential drug users, light drug users, heavy drug users, heavy drug users-dealers and providers, temporary quitters of drug consumption, and permanent quitters of drug consumption. Our objective is to find the best strategy to reduce the number of light drug users, heavy drug users, heavy drug users-dealers and providers, and temporary quitters of drug consumption. We use four control strategies which are awareness programs through media and education, preventing contact through security campaigns, treatment, and psychological support along with follow-up. Pontryagin’s maximum principle in discrete time is used to characterize the optimal controls. The numerical simulation is carried out using MATLAB. Consequently, the obtained results confirm the effectiveness of the optimization strategy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1293468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nigar Ali ◽  
Gul Zaman ◽  
Ali Saleh Alshomrani

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