scholarly journals Research on short-term traffic flow prediction method based on real-time traffic status

2019 ◽  
Vol 569 ◽  
pp. 052062
Author(s):  
Chao Fang ◽  
Depan Gao ◽  
Yaning Xue ◽  
Zhihua Xiong
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Flow Prediction

An New Approach of Real-Time Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Intelligent Transportation Technology

2014 ◽  
Vol 988 ◽  
pp. 715-718
Author(s):  
Jia Yang Li ◽  
Qin Xue ◽  
Jin De Liu
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation System ◽  
Intelligent Transportation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Combination Approach

Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a core problem in Intelligent Transportation System .Considering linear and nonlinear, this paper proposes a short-term traffic flow intelligent combination approach. The weight of four forecasting model is given by the correlation coefficient and standard deviation method. The experimental results show that the new approach of real-time traffic flow prediction is higher precision than single method.

scholarly journals A Short-Term Traffic Flow Reliability Prediction Method considering Traffic Safety

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Shaoqian Li ◽  
Zhenyuan Zhang ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Zixia Qin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
De Algorithm ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Bpnn Model

With the rapid development and application of intelligent traffic systems, traffic flow prediction has attracted an increasing amount of attention. Accurate and timely traffic flow information is of great significance to improve the safety of transportation. To improve the prediction accuracy of the backward-propagation neural network (BPNN) prediction model, which easily falls into local optimal solutions, this paper proposes an adaptive differential evolution (DE) algorithm-optimized BPNN (DE-BPNN) model for a short-term traffic flow prediction. First, by the mutation, crossover, and selection operations of the DE algorithm, the initial weights and biases of the BPNN are optimized. Then, the initial weights and biases obtained by the aforementioned preoptimization are used to train the BPNN, thereby obtaining the optimal weights and biases. Finally, the trained BPNN is utilized to predict the real-time traffic flow. The experimental results show that the accuracy of the DE-BPNN model is improved about 7.36% as compared with that of the BPNN model. The DE-BPNN is superior to the performance of three classical models for short-term traffic flow prediction.

Forecasting Model of Short-Term Traffic Flow Based on Cloud Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 94-96 ◽  
pp. 38-42
Author(s):  
Qin Liu ◽  
Jian Min Xu
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Guangzhou City ◽  
Time Prediction ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Absolute Percent Error

In order to improve the prediction precision of the short-term traffic flow, a prediction method of short-term traffic flow based on cloud model was proposed. The traffic flow was fit by cloud model. The history cloud and the present cloud were built by historical traffic flow and present traffic flow. The forecast cloud is produced by both clouds. Then, combining with the volume of the short-term traffic flow of an intersection in Guangzhou City, the model was calculated and simulated through programming. Max Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute percent Error (MAPE) were used to estimate the effect of prediction. The simulation results indicate that this prediction method is effective and advanced. The change of the historical and real time traffic flow is taken into account in this method. Because the short-term traffic flow is dealt with as a whole, the error of prediction is avoided. The prediction precision and real-time prediction are satisfied.

scholarly journals An AutoEncoder and LSTM-Based Traffic Flow Prediction Method

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (13) ◽  
pp. 2946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wangyang Wei ◽  
Honghai Wu ◽  
Huadong Ma
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Smart Cities ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Smart cities can effectively improve the quality of urban life. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is an important part of smart cities. The accurate and real-time prediction of traffic flow plays an important role in ITSs. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a novel traffic flow prediction method, called AutoEncoder Long Short-Term Memory (AE-LSTM) prediction method. In our method, the AutoEncoder is used to obtain the internal relationship of traffic flow by extracting the characteristics of upstream and downstream traffic flow data. Moreover, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network utilizes the acquired characteristic data and the historical data to predict complex linear traffic flow data. The experimental results show that the AE-LSTM method had higher prediction accuracy. Specifically, the Mean Relative Error (MRE) of the AE-LSTM was reduced by 0.01 compared with the previous prediction methods. In addition, AE-LSTM method also had good stability. For different stations and different dates, the prediction error and fluctuation of the AE-LSTM method was small. Furthermore, the average MRE of AE-LSTM prediction results was 0.06 for six different days.

A two-stage short-term traffic flow prediction method based on AVL and AKNN techniques

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 779-786 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Meng ◽  
Chun-fu Shao ◽  
Yiik-diew Wong ◽  
Bo-bin Wang ◽  
Hui-xuan Li
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

scholarly journals Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction Method in Bayesian Networks Based on Quantile Regression

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (6) ◽  
pp. 821-835
Author(s):  
Jing Luo
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation System ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Internet Of Vehicles ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Spatiotemporal Correlation ◽  
Flow Prediction

With the popularization of intelligent transportation system and Internet of vehicles, the traffic flow data on the urban road network can be more easily obtained in large quantities. This provides data support for shortterm traffic flow prediction based on real-time data. Of all the challenges and difficulties faced in the research of short-term traffic flow prediction, this paper intends to address two: one is the difficulty of short-term traffic flow prediction caused by spatiotemporal correlation of traffic flow changes between upstream and downstream intersections; the other is the influence of deviation of traffic flow caused by abnormal conditions on short-term traffic flow prediction. This paper proposes a Bayesian network short-term traffic flow prediction method based on quantile regression. By this method the trouble caused by spatiotemporal correlation of traffic flow prediction could be effectively and efficiently solved. At the same time, the prediction of traffic flow change under abnormal conditions has higher accuracy.

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