Generalised Gibbs sampler and multigrid Monte Carlo for Bayesian computation

Biometrika ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 87 (2) ◽  
pp. 353-369 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Liu
2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Babak Haji

We consider a queueing loss system with heterogeneous skill based servers with arbitrary distributions. We assume Poisson arrivals, with each arrival having a vector indicating which of the servers are eligible to serve it. Arrivals can only be assigned to a server that is both idle and eligible. We assume arrivals are assigned to the idle eligible server that has been idle the longest and derive, up to a multiplicative constant, the limiting distribution for this system. We show that the limiting probabilities of the ordered list of idle servers depend on the service time distributions only through their means. Moreover, conditional on the ordered list of idle servers, the remaining service times of the busy servers are independent and have their respective equilibrium service distributions. We also provide an algorithm using Gibbs sampler Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for estimating the limiting probabilities and other desired quantities of this system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 117693511878692
Author(s):  
Kashyap Nagaraja ◽  
Ulisses Braga-Neto

Selected reaction monitoring (SRM) has become one of the main methods for low-mass-range–targeted proteomics by mass spectrometry (MS). However, in most SRM-MS biomarker validation studies, the sample size is very small, and in particular smaller than the number of proteins measured in the experiment. Moreover, the data can be noisy due to a low number of ions detected per peptide by the instrument. In this article, those issues are addressed by a model-based Bayesian method for classification of SRM-MS data. The methodology is likelihood-free, using approximate Bayesian computation implemented via a Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure and a kernel-based Optimal Bayesian Classifier. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms classical methods such as linear discriminant analysis and 3NN, when sample size is small, dimensionality is large, the data are noisy, or a combination of these.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 100
Author(s):  
Catrin Muharisa ◽  
Ferra Yanuar ◽  
Hazmira Yozza

Analisis regresi merupakan salah satu metode untuk melihat hubungan antara variabel bebas (independent) dengan variabel terikat (dependent) yang dinyatakan dalam model regresi. Beberapa metode yang bisa digunakan untuk mengestimasi parameter model regresi, diantaranya adalah metode klasik dan metode Bayes. Salah satu metode klasik adalah metode maximum likelihood. Penelitian ini membahas tentang perbandingan metode maximum likelihood dan metode Bayes dalam mengestimasi parameter model regresi linear berganda untuk data berdistribusi normal. Adapun rumus untuk mengestimasi parameter dengan metode maximum likelihood adalah βˆ=(XTX)-1XTY dan ˆσ2 = 1 n P∞ k=1 ei. Sedangkan untuk mengestimasi parameter dengan metode Bayes adalah dengan menggunakan distribusi prior dan fungsi likelihood. Distribusi prior yag dipilih pada kajian ini adalah f(β, σ2 ) = Qn i=1 f(βj |σ 2 )f(σ 2 ) dengan βj ∼ N(µβj , σ2 ) dan σ 2 ∼ IG(a, b). Distribusi prior konjugat tersebut kemudian dikalikan dengan fungsi likelihood L(β, σ2 ) sehingga membentuk distribusi posterior f(β|σ 2 ). Distribusi posterior inilah yang digunakan untuk mengestimasi parameter model melalui proses Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Algoritma MCMC yang digunakan adalah algoritma Gibbs Sampler. Model regresi linear berganda yang diperoleh dengan metode maximum likelihood adalahyˆ = −27, 8210000 + 0, 0307430X1 + 0, 0039211X2 + 0, 0034631X3 + 0, 6537000X4dengan kecocokan modelnya adalah sebesar 95,7 %. Sedangkan model regresi linear berganda yang diperoleh dengan metode Bayes adalahyˆ = −26, 620000 + 0, 029380X1 + 0, 004204X2 + 0, 003321X3 + 0, 656200X4dengan kecocokan modelnya adalah sebesar 99,99 %. Dengan demikian dapat disimpulkan bahwa metode Bayes lebih baik dari pada metode maximum likelihood.Kata Kunci: Model Regresi Linear Berganda, metode Maximum Likelihood, dan metode Bayes


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