scholarly journals Identification of the age-period-cohort model and the extended chain-ladder model

Biometrika ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 95 (4) ◽  
pp. 979-986 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Kuang ◽  
B. Nielsen ◽  
J. P. Nielsen
Biometrika ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 95 (4) ◽  
pp. 987-991 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Kuang ◽  
B. Nielsen ◽  
J. P. Nielsen

1991 ◽  
Vol 118 (3) ◽  
pp. 489-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Verrall

ABSTRACTThis paper derives second moments of estimates of the parameters in the chain ladder model. Thus, the so-called link ratios, and proportions of ultimate claims for each development year are considered. This enables confidence statements about the chain ladder parameters to be made with statistical rigour. The methods are illustrated using 6 sets of real data taken from the DTI returns.


2010 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Di Kuang ◽  
Bent Nielsen ◽  
Jens Perch Nielsen

2020 ◽  
pp. 87-91
Author(s):  
Aleksey Vladimirovich Tanyukhin

This article focuses on the equality of the estimated late losses resulting from the application of the chain ladder model to the estimates obtained on the basis of the incremental development triangle by cross-parameterizing the rated increments of losses with Poisson distributions using the generalized linear model. In this article, the formulas of the chain ladder model are derived by solving the problem of cross parameterization of rated increments of losses. Smaller accounting groups than the risk, along which the development triangle is formed, make conclusions about the possible bases for the sharing of reserves. This issue may be relevant for the further calculation of actuarial premiums.


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