scholarly journals Simplified integrated nested Laplace approximation

Biometrika ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon N Wood

Summary Integrated nested Laplace approximation provides accurate and efficient approximations for marginal distributions in latent Gaussian random field models. Computational feasibility of the original Rue et al. (2009) methods relies on efficient approximation of Laplace approximations for the marginal distributions of the coefficients of the latent field, conditional on the data and hyperparameters. The computational efficiency of these approximations depends on the Gaussian field having a Markov structure. This note provides equivalent efficiency without requiring the Markov property, which allows for straightforward use of latent Gaussian fields without a sparse structure, such as reduced rank multi-dimensional smoothing splines. The method avoids the approximation for conditional modes used in Rue et al. (2009), and uses a log determinant approximation based on a simple quasi-Newton update. The latter has a desirable property not shared by the most commonly used variant of the original method.

2008 ◽  
Vol 18 (09) ◽  
pp. 2673-2679 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. NIEMIEC ◽  
W. OLCHAWA ◽  
L. SCHIMANSKY-GEIER ◽  
J. ŁUCZKA

A spherical growth process controlled by velocity fluctuations of particles of a saturated solution is investigated. Velocity fluctuations are modeled by a Gaussian random field. The interface evolution is determined by a Langevin-type equation with a multiplicative random field, which in the case of the quasi-homogeneous random Gaussian field is equivalent to Fokker–Planck dynamics. We analyze numerically the Fokker–Planck equation and compare growth kinetics in the case of noisy (i.e. space-independent) fluctuations. It is shown that for a large class of spatially correlated velocity fluctuations, the growth kinetics is universal, i.e. it does not depend on the details of statistics of fluctuations.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Kuehn

Different nonergodic Ground-Motion Models based on spatially varying coefficient models are compared for ground-motion data in Italy. The models are based different methodologies: Multi-source geographically weighted regression (Caramenti et al., 2020), and Bayesian hierarchical models estimated with the integrated nested Laplace approximation (Rue et al., 2009). The different models are compared in terms of their predictive performance, their spatial coefficients, and their predictions. Models that include spatial terms perform slightly better than a simple base model that includes only event and station terms, in terms of out-of sample error based on cross-validation. The Bayesian spatial models have slightly lower generalization error, which can be attributed to the fact that they can include random effects for events and stations. The different methodologies give rise to different dependencies of the spatially varying terms on event and station locations, leading to between-model uncertainty in their predictions, which should be accommodated in a nonergodic seismic hazard assessment.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susan Nzula Mutua

Abstract Background Kenya has made significant progress in the elimination of mother to child transmission of HIV through increasing access to HIV treatment and improving the health and well-being of women and children living with HIV. Despite this progress, broad geographical inequalities in infant HIV outcomes still exist. This study aimed at assessing the spatial distribution of HIV amongst infants, areas of abnormally high risk and associated risk factors for mother to child transmission of HIV using INLA and SPDE approach. Methods Data were obtained from the Early infant diagnosis (EID) database that is routinely collected for infants under one year for the year 2017. We performed both areal and point-reference analysis. Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models with spatially structured random effects were fitted to the data to examine the effects of the covariates on infant HIV risk. Spatial random effects were modelled using Conditional autoregressive model (CAR) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Inference was done using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation. Posterior probabilities for exceedance were produced to assess areas where the risk exceeds 1. The Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) selection was used for model comparison and selection. Results CAR model outperformed similar competing models in modeling and mapping HIV Relative Risk in Kenya. It had a smaller DIC among the rest (DIC = 306.36)) The SPDE model outperformed the spatial GLM model based on the DIC statistic. Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and breastfeeding were found to be negatively and positively associated with infant HIV positivity respectively [-0.125, 95% Credible Interval (Cred. Int.)= -0.348, -0.102], [0.178, 95% Cred. Int. -0.051, 0.412].Conclusion The study provides relevant strategic information required to make investment decisions for targeted high impact interventions to reduce HIV infections among infants in Kenya.


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