Abstract
Breast cancer among Asian countries is the second cause of cancer death and remains as a challenging issue in woman health as 39% of all new cases of breast cancer have been diagnosed in Asia. The current study was devoted to recognize different patterns of breast cancer incidence rate among Asian countries. Information about the incidence rates of female breast cancer within 1990-2016 years was extracted from Gapminder web site and growth mixture model was developed to describe the growth patterns and provide a set of tools to investigate the individual differences in change. Our findings suggest an overall increasing trend throughout the continent, but individual trajectories show different behaviors among countries. Bayesian information creation showed that 3-cluster model was the best. Cluster one countries including: Bangladesh, Israel, Kyrgyz republic, Maldives, Nepal, North Korea, Tajikistan and Timor-Leste, the slope of -0.13 suggests a slight negative trend for the incidence rate of breast cancer. 17 countries including: Armenia, Bahrain, Brunei, Cyprus, Iraq, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, South Korea, United Arab Emirate which belongs to cluster 2, had not only a high intercept that means higher amounts of incidence rate in 1990 year, but also a slope of 0.96, indicating a sharp increase trajectory. Also slope of 0.38 showed a slow increase in the incidence rate of breast cancer over time for another 21 countries. In conclusion, increase of breast cancer incidence among cluster 2 countries is tremendous therefore effective strategies for prevention are urgently needed.
Breast cancer incidence among women of Branicevo region in the period 1991 - 2000
