scholarly journals Information content of weak lensing power spectrum and bispectrum: including the non-Gaussian error covariance matrix

2012 ◽  
Vol 429 (1) ◽  
pp. 344-371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Issha Kayo ◽  
Masahiro Takada ◽  
Bhuvnesh Jain
Keyword(s):  
Power Spectrum ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Information Content ◽  
Weak Lensing ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
Non Gaussian

scholarly journals Mitigating baryonic effects with a theoretical error covariance

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria G Moreira ◽  
Felipe Andrade-Oliveira ◽  
Xiao Fang ◽  
Hung-Jin Huang ◽  
Elisabeth Krause ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Spectrum ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Stage Iv ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Theoretical Error ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
Small Scales ◽  
Hydrodynamical Simulations ◽  
Residual Errors

Abstract One of the primary sources of uncertainties in modeling the cosmic-shear power spectrum on small scales is the effect of baryonic physics. Accurate cosmology for Stage-IV surveys requires knowledge of the matter power spectrum deep in the nonlinear regime at the percent level. Therefore, it is important to develop reliable mitigation techniques to take into account baryonic uncertainties if information from small scales is to be considered in the cosmological analysis. In this work, we develop a new mitigation method for dealing with baryonic physics for the case of the shear angular power spectrum. The method is based on an augmented covariance matrix that incorporates baryonic uncertainties informed by hydrodynamical simulations. We use the results from 13 hydrodynamical simulations and the residual errors arising from a fit to a ΛCDM model using the extended halo model code HMCode to account for baryonic physics. These residual errors are used to model a so-called theoretical error covariance matrix that is added to the original covariance matrix. In order to assess the performance of the method, we use the 2D tomographic shear from four hydrodynamical simulations that have different extremes of baryonic parameters as mock data and run a likelihood analysis comparing the residual bias on Ωm and σ8 of our method and the HMCode for an LSST-like survey. We use different modelling of the theoretical error covariance matrix to test the robustness of the method. We show that it is possible to reduce the bias in the determination of the tested cosmological parameters at the price of a modest decrease in the precision.

scholarly journals Sufficiency of a Gaussian power spectrum likelihood for accurate cosmology from upcoming weak lensing surveys

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin E Upham ◽  
Michael L Brown ◽  
Lee Whittaker
Keyword(s):  
Power Spectrum ◽  
Random Noise ◽  
Power Spectra ◽  
Stage Iv ◽  
Wishart Distribution ◽  
Weak Lensing ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Gaussian Fields ◽  
Non Gaussian ◽  
Parameter Constraints

Abstract We investigate whether a Gaussian likelihood is sufficient to obtain accurate parameter constraints from a Euclid-like combined tomographic power spectrum analysis of weak lensing, galaxy clustering and their cross-correlation. Testing its performance on the full sky against the Wishart distribution, which is the exact likelihood under the assumption of Gaussian fields, we find that the Gaussian likelihood returns accurate parameter constraints. This accuracy is robust to the choices made in the likelihood analysis, including the choice of fiducial cosmology, the range of scales included, and the random noise level. We extend our results to the cut sky by evaluating the additional non-Gaussianity of the joint cut-sky likelihood in both its marginal distributions and dependence structure. We find that the cut-sky likelihood is more non-Gaussian than the full-sky likelihood, but at a level insufficient to introduce significant inaccuracy into parameter constraints obtained using the Gaussian likelihood. Our results should not be affected by the assumption of Gaussian fields, as this approximation only becomes inaccurate on small scales, which in turn corresponds to the limit in which any non-Gaussianity of the likelihood becomes negligible. We nevertheless compare against N-body weak lensing simulations and find no evidence of significant additional non-Gaussianity in the likelihood. Our results indicate that a Gaussian likelihood will be sufficient for robust parameter constraints with power spectra from Stage IV weak lensing surveys.

Enhancing the impact of IASI observations through an updated observation-error covariance matrix

2016 ◽  
Vol 142 (697) ◽  
pp. 1767-1780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niels Bormann ◽  
Massimo Bonavita ◽  
Rossana Dragani ◽  
Reima Eresmaa ◽  
Marco Matricardi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Observation Error ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
The Impact

Impact of AMSU-A Radiances in a Column Ensemble Kalman Filter

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (12) ◽  
pp. 3949-3976 ◽  
Author(s):  
Herschel L. Mitchell ◽  
P. L. Houtekamer ◽  
Sylvain Heilliette
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Background Error ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Background Error Covariance ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
Microwave Sounding Unit ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
Microwave Sounding ◽  
Background Temperature ◽  
The Difference

Abstract A column EnKF, based on the Canadian global EnKF and using the RTTOV radiative transfer (RT) model, is employed to investigate issues relating to the EnKF assimilation of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) radiance measurements. Experiments are performed with large and small ensembles, with and without localization. Three different descriptions of background temperature error are considered: 1) using analytical vertical modes and hypothetical spectra, 2) using the vertical modes and spectrum of a covariance matrix obtained from the global EnKF after 2 weeks of cycling, and 3) using the vertical modes and spectrum of the static background error covariance matrix employed to initiate a global data assimilation cycle. It is found that the EnKF performs well in some of the experiments with background error description 1, and yields modest error reductions with background error description 3. However, the EnKF is virtually unable to reduce the background error (even when using a large ensemble) with background error description 2. To analyze these results, the different background error descriptions are viewed through the prism of the RT model by comparing the trace of the matrix , where is the RT model and is the background error covariance matrix. Indeed, this comparison is found to explain the difference in the results obtained, which relates to the degree to which deep modes are, or are not, present in the different background error covariances. The results suggest that, after 2 weeks of cycling, the global EnKF has virtually eliminated all background error structures that can be “seen” by the AMSU-A radiances.

RECURSIVE UPDATING OF ERROR COVARIANCE MATRIX IN SUBSPACE METHODS

2006 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 285-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshinori Takei ◽  
Hidehito Nanto ◽  
Shunshoku Kanae ◽  
Zi-Jiang Yang ◽  
Kiyoshi Wada
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Subspace Methods ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
Recursive Updating

Intelligent Error Covariance Matrix Resetting for Maneuver Target Tracking

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2279-2285 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.H. Bahari ◽  
A. Karsaz ◽  
M.B. Naghibi-S
Keyword(s):  
Target Tracking ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Error Covariance

scholarly journals Best linear unbiased estimation for varying probability with and without replacement sampling

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-91
Author(s):  
Stephen Haslett
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Unbiased Estimation ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased Estimation ◽  
Error Covariance ◽  
Inclusion Probabilities ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
Linear Unbiased Estimation

Abstract When sample survey data with complex design (stratification, clustering, unequal selection or inclusion probabilities, and weighting) are used for linear models, estimation of model parameters and their covariance matrices becomes complicated. Standard fitting techniques for sample surveys either model conditional on survey design variables, or use only design weights based on inclusion probabilities essentially assuming zero error covariance between all pairs of population elements. Design properties that link two units are not used. However, if population error structure is correlated, an unbiased estimate of the linear model error covariance matrix for the sample is needed for efficient parameter estimation. By making simultaneous use of sampling structure and design-unbiased estimates of the population error covariance matrix, the paper develops best linear unbiased estimation (BLUE) type extensions to standard design-based and joint design and model based estimation methods for linear models. The analysis covers both with and without replacement sample designs. It recognises that estimation for with replacement designs requires generalized inverses when any unit is selected more than once. This and the use of Hadamard products to link sampling and population error covariance matrix properties are central topics of the paper. Model-based linear model parameter estimation is also discussed.

scholarly journals Estimating model error covariance matrix parameters in extended Kalman filtering

2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 919-927 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Solonen ◽  
J. Hakkarainen ◽  
A. Ilin ◽  
M. Abbas ◽  
A. Bibov
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Model Error ◽  
Tuning Parameter ◽  
Extended Kalman Filtering ◽  
Error Covariance Matrix ◽  
Nonlinear Dynamical ◽  
Error Covariance

Abstract. The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a popular state estimation method for nonlinear dynamical models. The model error covariance matrix is often seen as a tuning parameter in EKF, which is often simply postulated by the user. In this paper, we study the filter likelihood technique for estimating the parameters of the model error covariance matrix. The approach is based on computing the likelihood of the covariance matrix parameters using the filtering output. We show that (a) the importance of the model error covariance matrix calibration depends on the quality of the observations, and that (b) the estimation approach yields a well-tuned EKF in terms of the accuracy of the state estimates and model predictions. For our numerical experiments, we use the two-layer quasi-geostrophic model that is often used as a benchmark model for numerical weather prediction.

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