The Price of a Life
Ransom discipline is paramount for kidnap insurance and provides wider social benefits. Outsize ransoms can trigger a vicious cycle of kidnappings, hostage abuse, and ransom inflation. Crisis responders have developed a robust bargaining protocol to stabilize ransoms and incentivize cooperative behaviour by kidnappers. Kidnappers only release hostages when they think they have extracted the maximum available ransom. This requires that hostage stakeholders send psychologically costly signals to convince kidnappers that their funds are exhausted. However, if hostage stakeholders believe that there is a trade-off between time and money in a hostage negotiation, the bargaining protocol creates the (false) impression of a principal–agent problem between professional negotiators and stakeholders. Managing the resulting suspicion and distrust is as important as shaping the negotiation with the kidnappers.