Long Term Volatility of Interest Rate Swap and Macroeconomic Risk in Korean Market

2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-273
Author(s):  
Byung-Jo Yoon ◽  
Kook-Hyun Chang ◽  
홍 민구

This paper tries to empirically investigate whether macroeconomic risk may be statistically useful in explaining long-term volatility of interest rate swap (IRS) in korean market. This paper uses the component-jump model to estimate long-term volatility of IRS from 1/2/2003 to 1/31/2013. By using the component-jump model, the IRS volatility is decomposed into a long-term and a short-term component. According to this study, slope of yield curve and foreign exchange volatility as a proxy of macroeconomic risk have been significant in explaining long-term volatility of IRS.

2010 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-75
Author(s):  
Seungyeon Won

This paper empirically shows that the long-term persistence of negative swap spreads, which was unique phenomenon only in Korean interest rate swap market, could be caused by the covered interest rate arbitrage trading by foreign investors in Korean market. It concretely shows the fixed rates of currency swap, whose decreases expand the incentive for arbitrage trading by foreign investors, to positively influence the interest rate swap spreads. The empirical results suggests that the foreign factors might make more effect on the interest rate swap market than the spot bond market, resulting in the negative interest rate swap spreads. The results implies that, the asset pricing for interest rate swap needs to consider the foreign factors under the circumstances of open capital market.


2021 ◽  
pp. 056943452098827
Author(s):  
Tanweer Akram

Keynes argued that the central bank can influence the long-term interest rate on government bonds and the shape of the yield curve mainly through the short-term interest rate. Several recent empirical studies that examine the dynamics of government bond yields not only substantiate Keynes’s view that the long-term interest rate responds markedly to the short-term interest rate but also have relevance for macroeconomic theory and policy. This article relates Keynes’s discussions of money, the state theory of money, financial markets, investors’ expectations, uncertainty, and liquidity preference to the dynamics of government bond yields for countries with monetary sovereignty. Investors’ psychology, herding behavior in financial markets, and uncertainty about the future reinforce the effects of the short-term interest rate and the central bank’s monetary policy actions on the long-term interest rate. JEL classifications: E12; E40; E43; E50; E58; E60; F30; G10; G12; H62; H63


Author(s):  
Tom P. Davis ◽  
Dmitri Mossessian

This chapter discusses multiple definitions of the yield curve and provides a conceptual understanding on the construction of yield curves for several markets. It reviews several definitions of the yield curve and examines the basic principles of the arbitrage-free pricing as they apply to yield curve construction. The chapter also reviews cases in which the no-arbitrage assumption is dropped from the yield curve, and then moves to specifics of the arbitrage-free curve construction for bond and swap markets. The concepts of equilibrium and market curves are introduced. The details of construction of both types of the curve are illustrated with examples from the U.S. Treasury market and the U.S. interest rate swap market. The chapter concludes by examining the major changes to the swap curve construction process caused by the financial crisis of 2007–2008 that made a profound impact on the interest rate swap markets.


2016 ◽  
Vol 42 (10) ◽  
pp. 943-962 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hsiu-Chuan Lee ◽  
Chih-Hsiang Hsu ◽  
Cheng-Yi Chien

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate volatility spillovers across the interest rate swap markets of the G7 economies, and then the authors investigate whether spillovers of swap markets contain useful information to explain subsequent stock price movements. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the short- and long-term swap spread volatility of the G7 countries to explore the spillover effects of international swap markets, and then investigates the relationship between swap and stock markets. The authors use the generalized VAR approach suggested by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) to study spillovers of international swap markets. The Granger-causality tests are employed to examine the linkage of interest rate swap and stock markets. Findings This paper shows that a moderate spillover effect exists for the short- and long-term swap markets. Moreover, the results show that the short- and long-term swap markets of France and Germany have a larger impact on other countries’ swap markets than that of other countries’ swap markets on the French and German swap markets. Finally, the results indicate that the total volatility spillovers for the long-term swap markets have a larger influence on the total volatility spillover index of stock markets and the global stock market volatility than that of the short-term swap markets. Originality/value Prior literature has used impulse response and variance decomposition analyses to investigate international swap markets linkages. However, the results depend on the ordering of variables. This study uses the framework of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) to overcome the ordering issue, and thus the authors can compute directional spillovers. This paper is the first study to explore the linkage of the total volatility spillover of swap markets and the stock markets.


Author(s):  
Piotr Wybieralski

<p>Effective currency risk management using various derivatives is particularly important under increased market volatility. The risk is relatively higher for longer than shorter time frames. This study highlights the implementation of selected instruments for long-term hedging. It presents the application of cross-currency interest rate swap as a currency risk hedging tool used by Polish exporters, mainly manufacturers generating their revenues mostly abroad (in euro area), exposed to negative exchange rate fluctuations. The paper covers issues related to the pricing, market risk estimation and collateral required in the OTC market, as well as undertakes a sensitivity analysis in search for exchange rates at which margin call occurs. There is a comparative analysis and back test simulation conducted using market data from exchange and money markets. The study emphasized that the analyzed instrument meets the expectations in terms of hedging the company cash flows, as well as may generate additional benefits due to the still existing interest rate differential.</p>


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document