Online topology estimation for vector autoregressive processes in data networks

Author(s):  
Bakht Zaman ◽  
Luis M. Lopez-Ramos ◽  
Daniel Romero ◽  
Baltasar Beferull-Lozano
2001 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 577-597 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antti Ripatti ◽  
Pentti

We extend the conventional cointegrated VAR model to allow for general nonlinear deterministic trends. These nonlinear trends can be used to model gradual structural changes in the intercept term of the cointegrating relations. A general asymptotic theory of estimation and statistical inference is reviewed and a diagnostic test for the correct specification of an employed nonlinear trend is developed. The methods are applied to Finnish interest-rate data. A smooth level shift of the logistic form between the own-yield of broad money and the short-term money market rate is found appropriate for these data. The level shift is motivated by the deregulation of issuing certificates of deposit and its inclusion in the model solves the puzzle of the “missing cointegration vector” found in a previous study.


1988 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 302-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomáš Cipra

Vector autoregressive processes of the first order are considered which are non-negative and optimize a linear objective function. These processes may be used in stochastic linear programming with a dynamic structure. By using Tweedie's results from the theory of Markov chains, conditions for geometric rates of convergence to stationarity (i.e. so-called geometric ergodicity) and for existence and geometric convergence of moments of these processes are obtained.


1996 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 814-844 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pentti Saikkonen ◽  
HELMUT Lütkepohl

Estimation of cointegrated systems via autoregressive approximation is considered in the framework developed by Saikkonen (1992, Econometric Theory 8, 1-27). The asymptotic properties of the estimated coefficients of the autoregressive error correction model (ECM) and the pure vector autoregressive (VAR) representations are derived under the assumption that the autoregressive order goes to infinity with the sample size. These coefficients are often used for analyzing the relationships between the variables; therefore, they are important for applied work. Tests for linear restrictions on the coefficients of both the ECM and the pure VAR representation are considered under the present assumptions. It is found that they have limiting x2 distributions. Tests are also derived under the assumption that the number of restrictions goes to infinity with the sample size.


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