Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Neural Network and Monkey-King Genetic Algorithm

Author(s):  
Shuangchen Li ◽  
Ying Yan ◽  
Yufang Lin
2014 ◽  
Vol 521 ◽  
pp. 303-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Mei Zhong ◽  
Jie Liu ◽  
Qi Fang Chen ◽  
Nian Liu

The short-term load of Power System is uncertain and the daily-load signal spectrum is continuous. The approach of Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) is proposed by combing the wavelet transform (WT) and neural network. By the WT, the time-based short-term load sequence can be decomposed into different scales sequences, which is used to training the BP neural network. The short-term load is forecasted by the trained BP neural network. Select the load of a random day in Lianyungang to study, according to the numerical simulation results, the method proves to achieve good performances.


2003 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 793-799 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.H. Ling ◽  
F.H.F. Leung ◽  
H.K. Lam ◽  
Yim-Shu Lee ◽  
P.K.S. Tam

2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 520-523
Author(s):  
Wen Xia You ◽  
Jun Xiao Chang ◽  
Zi Heng Zhou ◽  
Ji Lu

Elman Neural Network is a typical neural-network which shares the characteristics of multiple-layer and dynamic recurrent, and it’s more suitable than BP Neural Network when it’s applied to forecast the short-term load with periodicity and similarity. To solve the problem that Elman Neural Network lacks learning efficiency, GA-Elman model is established by optimizing the weights and thresholds using Genetic Algorithm. An example is then given to prove the effectiveness of GA-Elman model, using the load data of a certain region. Relative error and MSE have been considered as criterions to analyze the results of load forecasting. By comparing the results calculated by BP, Elman and GA-Elman model, the effectiveness of GA-Elman model is verified, which will improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting.


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