Impact of increased penetration of large-scale PV generation on short-term stability of power systems

Author(s):  
M. D. Baquedano-Aguilar ◽  
D. G. Colome ◽  
E. Aguero ◽  
M.G. Molina
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jia Ning ◽  
Guanghao Lu ◽  
Sipeng Hao ◽  
Aidong Zeng ◽  
Hualei Wang

With the large-scale integration of distributed photovoltaic (DPV) power plants, the uncertainty of photovoltaic generation is intensively influencing the secure operation of power systems. Improving the forecast capability of DPV plants has become an urgent problem to solve. However, most of the DPV plants are not able to make generation forecast on their own due to the constraints of the investment cost, data storage condition, and the influence of microscope environment. Therefore, this paper proposes a master-slave forecast method to predict the power of target plants without forecast ability based on the power of DPV plants with comprehensive forecast system and the spatial correlation between these two kinds of plants. First, a characteristics pattern library of DPV plants is established with K-means clustering algorithm considering the time difference. Next, the pattern most spatially correlated to the target plant is determined through online matching. The corresponding spatial correlation mapping relationship is obtained by numerical fitting using least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM), and the short-term generation forecast for target plants is achieved with the forecast of reference plants and mapping relationship. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method could improve the overall forecast accuracy by more than 52% for univariate prediction and by more than 22% for multivariate prediction and obtain short-term generation forecast for DPV or newly built DPV plants with low investment.


2014 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
pp. 10-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judith G.M. Rosmalen ◽  
Ido P. Kema ◽  
Stefan Wüst ◽  
Claude van der Ley ◽  
Sipke T. Visser ◽  
...  

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 4349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian Shi ◽  
Fei Mei ◽  
Jixiang Lu ◽  
Jinjun Lu ◽  
Yi Pan ◽  
...  

With the refinement and intelligence of power system optimal dispatching, the widespread adoption of advanced grid applications that consider the safety and economy of power systems, and the massive access of distributed energy resources, the requirement for bus load prediction accuracy is continuously increasing. Aiming at the volatility brought about by the large-scale access of new energy sources, the adaptability to different forecasting horizons and the time series characteristics of the load, this paper proposes a phase space reconstruction (PSR) and deep belief network (DBN)-based very short-term bus load prediction model. Cross-validation is also employed to optimize the structure of the DBN. The proposed PSR-DBN very short-term bus load forecasting model is verified by applying the real measured load data of a substation. The results prove that, when compared to other alternative models, the PSR-DBN model has higher prediction accuracy and better adaptability for different forecasting horizons in the case of high distributed power penetration and large fluctuation of bus load.


Author(s):  
D. Bertsekas ◽  
G. Lauer ◽  
N. Sandell ◽  
T. Posbergh
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3433-3442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arash Safavizadeh ◽  
Meysam Kordi ◽  
Fariborz Eghtedarnia ◽  
Roozbeh Torkzadeh ◽  
Hesamoddin Marzooghi

1983 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Bertsekas ◽  
G. Lauer ◽  
N. Sandell ◽  
T. Posbergh
Keyword(s):  

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Faghihnia ◽  
S. Salahshour ◽  
A. Ahmadian ◽  
N. Senu

Large scale integration of wind generation capacity into power systems introduces operational challenges due to wind power uncertainty and variability. Therefore, accurate wind power forecast is important for reliable and economic operation of the power systems. Complexities and nonlinearities exhibited by wind power time series necessitate use of elaborative and sophisticated approaches for wind power forecasting. In this paper, a local neurofuzzy (LNF) approach, trained by the polynomial model tree (POLYMOT) learning algorithm, is proposed for short-term wind power forecasting. The LNF approach is constructed based on the contribution of local polynomial models which can efficiently model wind power generation. Data from Sotavento wind farm in Spain was used to validate the proposed LNF approach. Comparison between performance of the proposed approach and several recently published approaches illustrates capability of the LNF model for accurate wind power forecasting.


2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 367-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xian Sui Han ◽  
Qi Hui Liu

In order to investigate the impacts of large scale PV power plants on the stability of power system, dynamic PV models are of particular interest to the industry for simulating large-scale power systems. The transient model of large scale grid-connected PV generation system was given based on the model of each component of PV generation system. Response of the model was simulated respectively when the illumination changes. The methods proposed could be applied to the power grid with photovoltaic generation integration.


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