scholarly journals A Hybrid Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Stock Market Time-Series Prediction

Author(s):  
Alexander Vlasenko ◽  
Olena Vynokurova ◽  
Nataliia Vlasenko ◽  
Marta Peleshko
Data ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Vlasenko ◽  
Nataliia Vlasenko ◽  
Olena Vynokurova ◽  
Dmytro Peleshko

Time series forecasting can be a complicated problem when the underlying process shows high degree of complex nonlinear behavior. In some domains, such as financial data, processing related time-series jointly can have significant benefits. This paper proposes a novel multivariate hybrid neuro-fuzzy model for forecasting tasks, which is based on and generalizes the neuro-fuzzy model with consequent layer multi-variable Gaussian units and its learning algorithm. The model is distinguished by a separate consequent block for each output, which is tuned with respect to the its output error only, but benefits from extracting additional information by processing the whole input vector including lag values of other variables. Numerical experiments show better accuracy and computational performance results than competing models and separate neuro-fuzzy models for each output, and thus an ability to implicitly handle complex cross correlation dependencies between variables.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 84
Author(s):  
TANG Yin ◽  
YANG Jin Yu ◽  
CHEN Jian

<p><em>During training process of LSTM, the prediction accuracy is affected by a variation of factors, including the selection of training samples, the network structure, the optimization algorithm, and the stock market status. This paper tries to conduct a systematic research on several influencing factors of LSTM training in context of time series prediction. The experiment uses Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 constituent stocks from 2006 to 2017 as samples. The influencing factors of the study include indicator sampling, sample length, network structure, optimization method, and data of the bull and bear market, and this experiment compared the effects of PCA, dropout, and L2 regularization on predict accuracy and efficiency. Indice sampling, number of samples, network structure, optimization techniques, and PCA are found to be have their scope of application. Further, dropout and L2 regularization are found positive to improve the accuracy. The experiments cover most of the factors, however have to be compared by data overseas. This paper is of significance for feature and parameter selection in LSTM training process.</em></p>


Author(s):  
Ali Azizpour ◽  
Mohammad Ali Izadbakhsh ◽  
Saeid Shabanlou ◽  
Fariborz Yosefvand ◽  
Ahmad Rajabi

2020 ◽  
Vol 167 ◽  
pp. 2091-2100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anita Yadav ◽  
C K Jha ◽  
Aditi Sharan

Author(s):  
CATHERINE VAIRAPPAN ◽  
SHANGCE GAO ◽  
ZHENG TANG ◽  
HIROKI TAMURA

A new version of neuro-fuzzy system of feedbacks with chaotic dynamics is proposed in this work. Unlike the conventional neuro-fuzzy, improved neuro-fuzzy system with feedbacks is better able to handle temporal data series. By introducing chaotic dynamics into the feedback neuro-fuzzy system, the system has richer and more flexible dynamics to search for near-optimal solutions. In the experimental results, performance and effectiveness of the presented approach are evaluated by using benchmark data series. Comparison with other existing methods shows the proposed method for the neuro-fuzzy feedback is able to predict the time series accurately.


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