Optimal placement of wind turbines: A Monte Carlo approach with large historical data set

Author(s):  
Priti Sood ◽  
Vincent Winstead ◽  
Paul Steevens
2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Brusca ◽  
R. Lanzafame ◽  
M. Messina

This paper defines a new procedure for optimising wind farm turbine placement by means of Monte Carlo simulation method. To verify the algorithm’s accuracy, an experimental wind farm was tested in a wind tunnel. On the basis of experimental measurements, the error on wind farm power output was less than 4%. The optimization maximises the energy production criterion; wind turbines’ ground positions were used as independent variables. Moreover, the mathematical model takes into account annual wind intensities and directions and wind turbine interaction. The optimization of a wind farm on a real site was carried out using measured wind data, dominant wind direction, and intensity data as inputs to run the Monte Carlo simulations. There were 30 turbines in the wind park, each rated at 20 kW. This choice was based on wind farm economics. The site was proportionally divided into 100 square cells, taking into account a minimum windward and crosswind distance between the turbines. The results highlight that the dominant wind intensity factor tends to overestimate the annual energy production by about 8%. Thus, the proposed method leads to a more precise annual energy evaluation and to a more optimal placement of the wind turbines.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 4615-4636 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. Corbin ◽  
A. Othman ◽  
J. D. Allan ◽  
D. R. Worsnop ◽  
J. D. Haskins ◽  
...  

Abstract. The errors inherent in the fitting and integration of the pseudo-Gaussian ion peaks in Aerodyne high-resolution aerosol mass spectrometers (HR-AMSs) have not been previously addressed as a source of imprecision for these or similar instruments. This manuscript evaluates the significance of this imprecision and proposes a method for their estimation in routine data analysis. In the first part of this work, it is shown that peak-integration errors are expected to scale linearly with peak height for the constrained-peak-shape fits performed in the HR-AMS. An empirical analysis is undertaken to investigate the most complex source of peak-integration imprecision: the imprecision in fitted peak height, σh. It is shown that the major contributors to σh are the imprecision and bias inherent in the m/z calibration, both of which may arise due to statistical and physical non-idealities of the instrument. A quantitative estimation of these m/z-calibration imprecisions and biases show that they may vary from ion to ion, even for ions of similar m/z. In the second part of this work, the empirical analysis is used to constrain a Monte Carlo approach for the estimation of σh and thus the peak-integration imprecision. The estimated σh for selected well-separated peaks (for which m/z-calibration imprecision and bias could be quantitatively estimated) scaled linearly with peak height as expected (i.e. as n1). In combination with the imprecision in peak-width quantification (which may be easily and directly estimated during quantification), peak-fitting imprecisions therefore dominate counting imprecisions (which scale as n0.5) at high signals. The previous HR-AMS uncertainty model therefore underestimates the overall fitting imprecision even for well-resolved peaks. We illustrate the importance of this conclusion by performing positive matrix factorization on a synthetic HR-AMS data set both with and without its inclusion. In the third part of this work, the Monte Carlo approach is extended to the case of an arbitrary number of overlapping peaks. Here, a modification to the empirically constrained approach was needed, because the ion-specific m/z-calibration bias and imprecision can generally only be estimated for well-resolved peaks. The modification is to simply overestimate the m/z-calibration imprecision in all cases. This overestimation results in only a slight overestimate of σh, while significantly reducing the sensitivity of σh to the unknown, ion-specific m/z-calibration biases. Thus, with only the measured data and an approximate estimate of the order of magnitude of m/z-calibration biases as input, conservative and unbiased estimates of peak-integration imprecisions may be obtained for each peak in any ensemble of overlapping peaks.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Rankovic ◽  
Vladica Mijailovic ◽  
Dimitrije Rozgic ◽  
Dragan Cetenovic

This paper presents a method for determining optimal arrangements of parallel independent overhead power lines aimed to decrease electric and magnetic field emissions. The Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used to find the optimal placement of conductors. The Monte Carlo approach implemented in GA allows consideration of uncertain phase shifts between independent overhead power lines. The results and practical aspects of the proposed methodology are illustrated on two different configurations of both independent 400 kV singlecircuit and double-circuit overhead power lines.


RSC Advances ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (54) ◽  
pp. 33849-33857
Author(s):  
Shahram Lotfi ◽  
Shahin Ahmadi ◽  
Parvin Kumar

The melting points of imidazolium ILs are studied employing a quantitative structure–property relationship (QSPR) approach to develop a model for predicting the melting points of a data set of imidazolium ILs.


2008 ◽  
Vol 33 (7) ◽  
pp. 1455-1460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grigorios Marmidis ◽  
Stavros Lazarou ◽  
Eleftheria Pyrgioti

2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 324-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damien Querlioz ◽  
Huu-Nha Nguyen ◽  
Jérôme Saint-Martin ◽  
Arnaud Bournel ◽  
Sylvie Galdin-Retailleau ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 135481662110088
Author(s):  
Sefa Awaworyi Churchill ◽  
John Inekwe ◽  
Kris Ivanovski

Using a historical data set and recent advances in non-parametric time series modelling, we investigate the nexus between tourism flows and house prices in Germany over nearly 150 years. We use time-varying non-parametric techniques given that historical data tend to exhibit abrupt changes and other forms of non-linearities. Our findings show evidence of a time-varying effect of tourism flows on house prices, although with mixed effects. The pre-World War II time-varying estimates of tourism show both positive and negative effects on house prices. While changes in tourism flows contribute to increasing housing prices over the post-1950 period, this is short-lived, and the effect declines until the mid-1990s. However, we find a positive and significant relationship after 2000, where the impact of tourism on house prices becomes more pronounced in recent years.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document