Correcting snowfall from gauge observations using passive microwave brightness temperature data and data assimilation

Author(s):  
Toshio Koike Tobias Graf
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 2265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yonghwan Kwon ◽  
Barton A. Forman ◽  
Jawairia A. Ahmad ◽  
Sujay V. Kumar ◽  
Yeosang Yoon

This study explores the use of a support vector machine (SVM) as the observation operator within a passive microwave brightness temperature data assimilation framework (herein SVM-DA) to enhance the characterization of snow water equivalent (SWE) over High Mountain Asia (HMA). A series of synthetic twin experiments were conducted with the NASA Land Information System (LIS) at a number of locations across HMA. Overall, the SVM-DA framework is effective at improving SWE estimates (~70% reduction in RMSE relative to the Open Loop) for SWE depths less than 200 mm during dry snowpack conditions. The SVM-DA framework also improves SWE estimates in deep, wet snow (~45% reduction in RMSE) when snow liquid water is well estimated by the land surface model, but can lead to model degradation when snow liquid water estimates diverge from values used during SVM training. In particular, two key challenges of using the SVM-DA framework were observed over deep, wet snowpacks. First, variations in snow liquid water content dominate the brightness temperature spectral difference (ΔTB) signal associated with emission from a wet snowpack, which can lead to abrupt changes in SWE during the analysis update. Second, the ensemble of SVM-based predictions can collapse (i.e., yield a near-zero standard deviation across the ensemble) when prior estimates of snow are outside the range of snow inputs used during the SVM training procedure. Such a scenario can lead to the presence of spurious error correlations between SWE and ΔTB, and as a consequence, can result in degraded SWE estimates from the analysis update. These degraded analysis updates can be largely mitigated by applying rule-based approaches. For example, restricting the SWE update when the standard deviation of the predicted ΔTB is greater than 0.05 K helps prevent the occurrence of filter divergence. Similarly, adding a thin layer (i.e., 5 mm) of SWE when the synthetic ΔTB is larger than 5 K can improve SVM-DA performance in the presence of a precipitation dry bias. The study demonstrates that a carefully constructed SVM-DA framework cognizant of the inherent limitations of passive microwave-based SWE estimation holds promise for snow mass data assimilation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiongxin Xiao ◽  
Shunlin Liang ◽  
Tao He ◽  
Daiqiang Wu ◽  
Congyuan Pei ◽  
...  

Abstract. The dynamic characteristics of seasonal snow cover are critical for hydrology management, climate system, and ecosystem function. Although optical satellite remote sensing has proved to be an effective tool for monitoring global and regional variations of snow cover, it is still problematic to accurately capture the snow dynamics characteristics at a finer spatiotemporal resolution, because the observations from optical satellite sensors are seriously affected by clouds and solar illumination. Besides, traditional methods of mapping snow cover from passive microwave data only provide binary information with a 25-km spatial resolution. In this study, we first present an approach to predict fractional snow cover over North America under all-weather conditions, derived from the enhanced resolution passive microwave brightness temperature data (6.25 km). This estimation algorithm used Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) snow cover products between 2010 and 2017 to create the reference fractional snow cover data as the "true" observations. Further, the influence of many factors, including land cover, topography, and location, were incorporated into the retrieval models. The results show that the proposed retrieval models based on random forest regression technique perform much better using independent test data for all land cover classes, with higher accuracy and no out-of-range estimated values, when compared to the other three approaches (linear regression, artificial neural networks (ANN), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS)). The results of the output evaluated by using independent data indicate that the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of the estimated fractional snow cover ranges from 16.7 % to 19.8 %. In addition, the estimated fractional snow cover is verified in the snow mapping aspect by using snow cover observation data from meteorological stations (more than 0.31 million records). The result shows that the binary snow cover obtained by the proposed retrieval algorithm is in a good agreement with the ground measurements (kappa: 0.67). The accuracy of our algorithm estimation in the snow cover identification shows significant improvement when benchmarked against the Grody’s snow cover mapping algorithm: overall accuracy is increased by 18 % (from 0.71 to 0.84), and omission error is reduced by 71 % (from 0.48 to 0.14). Daily time-series and full space-covered sub-pixel snow cover area data are urgently needed for climate and reanalysis studies. According to our experiment results, we can conclude that it is feasible for estimating fractional snow cover from passive microwave brightness temperature data, and this strategy also has a great advantage in detecting snow cover area.


2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (6) ◽  
pp. 2433-2455
Author(s):  
Min-Jeong Kim ◽  
Jianjun Jin ◽  
Amal El Akkraoui ◽  
Will McCarty ◽  
Ricardo Todling ◽  
...  

Abstract Satellite radiance observations combine global coverage with high temporal and spatial resolution, and bring vital information to NWP analyses especially in areas where conventional data are sparse. However, most satellite observations that are actively assimilated have been limited to clear-sky conditions due to difficulties associated with accounting for non-Gaussian error characteristics, nonlinearity, and the development of appropriate observation operators for cloud- and precipitation-affected satellite radiance data. This article provides an overview of the development of the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) configurations to assimilate all-sky data from microwave imagers such as the GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS). Electromagnetic characteristics associated with their wavelengths allow microwave imager data to be highly sensitive to precipitation. Therefore, all-sky data assimilation efforts described in this study are primarily focused on utilizing these data in precipitating regions. To utilize data in cloudy and precipitating regions, state and analysis variables have been added for ice cloud, liquid cloud, rain, and snow. This required enhancing the observation operator to simulate radiances in heavy precipitation, including frozen precipitation. Background error covariances in both the central analysis and EnKF analysis in the GEOS hybrid 4D-EnVar system have been expanded to include hydrometeors. In addition, the bias correction scheme was enhanced to reduce biases associated with thick clouds and precipitation. The results from single observation experiments demonstrate the capability of assimilating all-sky microwave brightness temperature data in GEOS both when the model forecast produces excessive precipitation and too little precipitation. Additional experiments show that hydrometeors and dynamic variables such as winds and pressure are adjusted in physically consistent ways in response to the assimilation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jostein Blyverket ◽  
Paul D. Hamer ◽  
Philipp Schneider ◽  
Clément Albergel ◽  
William A. Lahoz

Mapping drought from space using, e.g., surface soil moisture (SSM), has become viable in the last decade. However, state of the art SSM retrieval products suffer from very poor coverage over northern latitudes. In this study, we propose an innovative drought indicator with a wider spatial and temporal coverage than that obtained from satellite SSM retrievals. We evaluate passive microwave brightness temperature observations from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellite as a surrogate drought metric, and introduce a Standardized Brightness Temperature Index (STBI). We compute the STBI by fitting a Gaussian distribution using monthly brightness temperature data from SMOS; the normal assumption is tested using the Shapior-Wilk test. Our results indicate that the assumption of normally distributed brightness temperature data is valid at the 0.05 significance level. The STBI is validated against drought indices from a land surface data assimilation system (LDAS-Monde), two satellite derived SSM indices, one from SMOS and one from the ESA CCI soil moisture project and a standardized precipitation index based on in situ data from the European Climate Assessment & Dataset (ECA&D) project. When comparing the temporal dynamics of the STBI to the LDAS-Monde drought index we find that it has equal correlation skill to that of the ESA CCI soil moisture product ( 0.71 ). However, in addition the STBI provides improved spatial coverage because no masking has been applied over regions with dense boreal forest. Finally, we evaluate the STBI in a case study of the 2018 Nordic drought. The STBI is found to provide improved spatial and temporal coverage when compared to the drought index created from satellite derived SSM over the Nordic region. Our results indicate that when compared to drought indices from precipitation data and a land data assimilation system, the STBI is qualitatively able to capture the 2018 drought onset, severity and spatial extent. We did see that the STBI was unable to detect the 2018 drought recovery for some areas in the Nordic countries. This false drought detection is likely linked to the recovery of vegetation after the drought, which causes an increase in the passive microwave brightness temperature, hence the STBI shows a dry anomaly instead of normal conditions, as seen for the other drought indices. We argue that the STBI could provide additional information for drought monitoring in regions where the SSM retrieval problem is not well defined. However, it then needs to be accompanied by a vegetation index to account for the recovery of the vegetation which could cause false drought detection.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document