A Spatiotemporal Neural Network Model for Estimated-Time-of-Arrival Prediction of Flights in a Terminal Maneuvering Area

Author(s):  
Yan Ma ◽  
Wenbo Du ◽  
Jun Chen ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Yisheng Lv ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Fan Wu ◽  
Lixia Wu

Over 100 million packages are delivered every day in China due to the fast development of e-commerce. Precisely estimating the time of packages’ arrival (ETA) is significantly important to improving customers’ experience and raising the efficiency of package dispatching. Existing methods mainly focus on predicting the time from an origin to a destination. However, in package delivery problem, one trip contains multiple destinations and the delivery time of all destinations should be predicted at any time. Furthermore, the ETA is affected by many factors especially the sequence of the latest route, the regularity of the delivery pattern and the sequence of packages to be delivered, which are difficult to learn by traditional models. This paper proposed a novel spatial-temporal sequential neural network model (DeepETA) to take fully advantages of the above factors. DeepETA is an end-to-end network that mainly consists of three parts. First, the spatial encoding and the recurrent cells are proposed to capture the spatial-temporal and sequential features of the latest delivery route. Then, two attention-based layers are designed to indicate the most possible ETA from historical frequent and relative delivery routes based on the similarity of the latest route and the future destinations. Finally, a fully connected layer is utilized to jointly learn the delivery time. Experiments on real logistics dataset demonstrate that the proposed approach has outperforming results.


Author(s):  
Seetharam .K ◽  
Sharana Basava Gowda ◽  
. Varadaraj

In Software engineering software metrics play wide and deeper scope. Many projects fail because of risks in software engineering development[1]t. Among various risk factors creeping is also one factor. The paper discusses approximate volume of creeping requirements that occur after the completion of the nominal requirements phase. This is using software size measured in function points at four different levels. The major risk factors are depending both directly and indirectly associated with software size of development. Hence It is possible to predict risk due to creeping cause using size.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
Xicun ZHU ◽  
Zhuoyuan WANG ◽  
Lulu GAO ◽  
Gengxing ZHAO ◽  
Ling WANG

The objective of the paper is to explore the best phenophase for estimating the nitrogen contents of apple leaves, to establish the best estimation model of the hyperspectral data at different phenophases. It is to improve the apple trees precise fertilization and production management. The experiments were done in 20 orchards in the field, measured hyperspectral data and nitrogen contents of apple leaves at three phenophases in two years, which were shoot growth phenophase, spring shoots pause growth phenophase, autumn shoots pause growth phenophase. The study analyzed the nitrogen contents of apple leaves with its original spectral and first derivative, screened sensitive wavelengths of each phenophase. The hyperspectral parameters were built with the sensitive wavelengths. Multiple stepwise regressions, partial least squares and BP neural network model were adopted in the study. The results showed that 551 nm, 716 nm, 530 nm, 703 nm; 543 nm, 705 nm, 699 nm, 756 nm and 545 nm, 702 nm, 695 nm, 746 nm were sensitive wavelengths of three phenophases. R551+R716, R551*R716, FDR530+FDR703, FDR530*FDR703; R543+R705, R543*R705, FDR699+FDR756, FDR699*FDR756and R545+R702, R545*R702, FDR695+FDR746, FDR695*FDR746 were the best hyperspectral parameters of each phenophase. Of all the estimation models, the estimated effect of shoot growth phenophase was better than other two phenophases, so shoot growth phenophase was the best phenophase to estimate the nitrogen contents of apple leaves based on hyperspectral models. In the three models, the 4-3-1 BP neural network model of shoot growth phenophase was the best estimation model. The R2 of estimated value and measured value was 0.6307, RE% was 23.37, RMSE was 0.6274.


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