The effect of foreign currency hedging on the probability of financial distress

2012 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 1107-1127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shane Magee
2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 1350002
Author(s):  
M. Martin Boyer ◽  
Monica Marin

We examine the use of foreign currency hedging instruments by US manufacturing firms during 1996–2004, and assess their impact on the firms' risk of financial distress. We derive measures of financial distress using the Black–Scholes–Merton option pricing model and find that the use of foreign currency hedging instruments reduces the firms' financial distress. The main findings are confirmed when examining alternate measures of foreign currency exposure, econometric specifications or measures of financial distress.


2005 ◽  
Vol 01 (01) ◽  
pp. 0550003 ◽  
Author(s):  
EPHRAIM CLARK ◽  
AMRIT JUDGE

In this paper, we use survey data and data from annual reports to identify the determinants of hedging activity of United Kingdom (UK) firms in the context of an overall program of risk management. Comparing the two sets of data makes it possible to identify misclassified firms, that is, firms whose hedging claims are not consistent across the two data sets. Our results on the consistent data show that the likelihood of hedging is related to growth options, foreign currency exposure, liquidity and economies of scale in hedging costs. Contrary to many previous US studies, we also find strong evidence linking the decision to hedge and the expected costs of financial distress. Results for the misclassified firms suggest that they are actually hedgers that hedge less extensively than the correctly classified (CC) hedgers.


2012 ◽  
Vol 221 ◽  
pp. R44-R56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyuil Chung ◽  
Hail Park ◽  
Hyun Song Shin

Korea has been a forerunner in incorporating macroprudential policies to mitigate the vulnerabilities from currency crises that can turn into a more generalised liquidity crisis. This paper examines longer-term design issues for a more resilient and stable financial system that could be expected to complement the existing macroprudential measures in achieving a more stable financial system. In particular, the paper examines the rationale and mechanics of a new public financial institution, provisionally called the Exchange Stabilisation and Guarantee Corporation (ESGC) whose main role is to buy dollar forward positions from Korean exporting companies who wish to hedge the currency exposure from long-term export orders. The ESGC is intended to mitigate the risks arising from the reliance on the role of the banking sector in providing currency hedging services to exporters. Rapid growth of short-term foreign currency denominated debt has been the result of banks receiving forward dollar sales by exporters, and then hedging the long dollar position by borrowing short in dollars. A public institution that can buy dollars forward, but which is designed so that there is no need to hedge by taking short dollar debt, can mitigate the rapid increase in short-term dollar debt in booms.


2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 279-298
Author(s):  
Fiskara Indawan ◽  
Sri Fitriani ◽  
Indriani Karlina ◽  
Melva Viva Grace

This paper analyzes the role of currency hedging on non-financial firm’s performance. Most firms on the sample have anticipated the currency mismatch risk by balancing the ratio of foreign debt to their asset  fenominated in foreign currency. Using panel estimation, we find that there is no evidence of currency hedging activities to affect capital and performance of firms. The result underlines the low intensity of currency hedging activities due to lack of incentives, which is inline with the low derivative transaction within the underdeveloped foreign currency market. This finding may raise a concern since currently the development of foreign liabilities for non-financial firmsin Indonesia is increasing in significant level, as well as the increase risk of domestic currency depreciation. For these reasons, Bank Indonesia should take proactive policies to deepen foreign currency market as well as derivative market by providing a more comprehensive and market friendly hedging instruments to banks and non-financial firms, while keep promoting the benefit of currency hedging.Keywords: Hedging, derivative market, foreign liability.JEL Classification: F31, G31


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fay Guniarti

<p>Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi aktivitas hedging dengan instrumen derivatif valuta asing pada perusahaan non keuangan yang terdaftar di BEI tahun 2010-2012. Data yang digunakan adalah<br />data sekunder yang diunduh dari website Bursa Efek Indonesia. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia tahun 2010-2012. Sedangkan sampel penelitian ini sejumlah 77 perusahaan yang memiliki eksposur transaksi dan memiliki kelengkapan data untuk diteliti. Dari sampel tersebut sebanyak 28 perusahaan melakukan aktivitas hedging selama periode pengamatan dan 49 perusahaan tidak melakukan aktivitas hedging.Analisis Logistic Regression digunakan untuk menguji hipotesis. Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa model analisis menghasilkan ketepatan 79.2% dan variabel leverage, liquidity, firm size dan financial distress berpengaruh signifikan terhadap prediksi probabilitas aktivitas hedging dengan tingkat signifikansi 5%, sedangkan variabel firm value dan growth opportunity berpengaruh tidak signifikan.</p><p> </p><p>The objective of the study was to know the factors which influence the hedging activity with foreign currency derivative instruments at non-financial companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2010-2012. The data of the research were secondary data which was downloaded from the Indonesia Stock Exchange website. The population of the study was all companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period of 2010-2012. There were 77 companies which had the transaction exposure andcomplete data for analysis. From those samples, only 28 companies did hedging activities during the period of observation and 49 companies did not do hedging activities.The data were analyzed by Logistic Regression Analysis to test the hypothesis. The test result showed that analysis model gave the accuracy 79.2% and the research variables; leverage, liquidity, firm size, and financial distress significantly influenced the probability prediction of hedging activity with 5% level of significancy, while the research variables; firm value and growth opportunity did not give significant influence.</p>


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