WHY FINANCIAL MARKETS DO NOT USE ECONOMETRIC FORECASTING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXOTICS, CENTRAL BANKS AND POSITION TAKING

2007 ◽  
Vol 75 (s1) ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
SALIH N. NEFTCI
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Central Banks

Peter J. Montiel, Pierre-Richer Agenor, and Nadeem ul Haque. Informal Financial Markets in Developing Countries: A Macroeconomic Analysis. Published in the "Advances in Theoretical and Applied Economics" series edited by Homa Motamen-Scobie. Oxford: Blackwell. 1992. i-xi + 212 pp., including appendices. Hardbound. £40.00.

1993 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-335
Author(s):  
Willem Van der Geest
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Informal Markets ◽  
Financial Repression ◽  
Macroeconomic Analysis ◽  
Econometric Analyses

This volume reviews the nature and scope of informal financial markets in developing countries and elaborates on the theoretical and conceptual models which analyse 'financial repression' and other aspects of government intervention in financial markets. It also focuses on the consequences which the prevalence of informal financial markets in developing countries may have for monetary and exchange rate policy. In particular, it attempts to capture the functioning of informal, unregulated markets into macroeconomic models, working towards a general eqUilibrium model with informal financial markets. Two types of informal markets are analysed. The first are for informal lending at terms and conditions which differ greatly from those prevailing in the official banking system. The second are the 'parallel' markets for foreign exchange which tend to emerge in response to quantity restrictions on trade and administered allocation of foreign exchange to certain users at official rates, which are well below those on the parellel markets. The key question is whether these informal markets change the efficacy of monetary and credit policy-and, if they do, to what extent and in what direction? Two supporting appendices present econometric analyses of the efficiency of parallel currency markets and the degree of capital mobility in developing countries.

Foreign Direct Investment

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Mergers And Acquisitions ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Productive Capacity ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Direct Contribution ◽  
High Profit

Recent years have also seen increased openness of EDEs to foreign direct investment (FDI) in search for faster growth and greater stability. However, FDI is one of the most ambiguous and least understood concepts in international economics. Common debate is confounded by several myths regarding its nature and impact. It is often portrayed as a stable, cross-border flow of capital that adds to productive capacity and meets foreign exchange shortfalls. However, the reality is far more complex. FDI does not always involve inflows of financial or real capital. Greenfield investment, unlike mergers and acquisitions, makes a direct contribution to productive capacity, but can crowd out domestic investors. FDI can induce significant instability in currency and financial markets. Its immediate contribution to balance-of-payments may be positive, but its longer-term impact is often negative because of high-profit remittances and import contents.

Uncharted waters: Investors get access to foreign exchange-traded funds

2021 ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
S. R. Moiseev
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Driving Forces ◽  
Market Competition ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Exchange Traded Funds ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Retail Investors ◽  
Securities Trading

In 2022, Russian investors will get access to the wide possibilities of the global financial market. The Bank of Russia opens the market for foreign exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — one of the main savings instruments for households. The economy of ETFs differs from other investment funds, whose shares do not have secondary market. The opening of the ETFs market is intended to solve a number of issues for retail investors: moving away from the preference to individual foreign shares towards portfolio diversification, cost reduction, ensuring sustainable profitability, abandoning the aggressive securities trading, and supporting market competition. Soon, ETFs will be one of the driving forces in financial markets. However, their rapid growth is fraught with little-studied effects.

scholarly journals Kelly's Strategy Analysis in Optimizing Investment Portfolios in Foreign Exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S7) ◽  
pp. 245-250
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Minimal Risk ◽  
Investment Portfolio ◽  
Strategy Analysis ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Portfolio Returns ◽  
Strategy Model ◽  
Investment Portfolios

Investments in financial markets not only pay attention to promising profits, but also need to consider the risks that follow. Risks can be minimized by establishing an investment portfolio. This research was conducted with the aim of analyzing optimal portfolios on foreign exchange investments, so that investments made provide maximum returns at certain risks, or minimal risk on certain returns. The data analyzed in this study are foreign exchange traded at Bank Indonesia. Data analysis is carried out quantitatively using the Kelly Strategy model. The steps: (i) Calculation of individual foreign exchange returns, (ii) Determine the average value of individual foreign exchange returns, (iii) Determine the optimal portfolio using the Kelly strategy approach, and (iv) Determine portfolio returns and risks. Based on the results of the analysis obtained the allocation of weights that provide returns and risks to the optimal portfolio. A 95% USD currency is an optimal portfolio of the five currencies used. So that it can be used as a consideration for investors, in making investment decisions in the foreign exchange being analyzed.

Global markets as global conversations

2007 ◽  
Vol 27 (5-6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Karin Knorr Cetina
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Global Markets ◽  
Economic Aspects ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Conversational Interaction ◽  
Interaction System ◽  
Streaming Flow

AbstractFinancial markets are one of the most iconic and influential structures of our time. The foreign exchange market in particular is also the most genuinely global market—and the largest market worldwide, with an average daily turnover of 1.8 trillion US dollars. The foreign exchange market is also structurally like a massive conversational interaction system; many of its transactions are conducted through electronically mediated ‘conversations’. Transactions not conducted through conversations but through an electronic broker also display a sequential turn-taking structure. In this paper, I analyze the streaming ‘flow’ architecture of this market in terms of its sequential structures and their technological and economic aspects. I also specify and analyze several types of texted sequences that articulate and illustrate the response-based interaction system of this market. I argue that informational sequences are particularly important; the informational liquidity of this market sustains and supports the market's economic liquidity.

A foreign exchange transaction reporting system (FXTRSsm) for central banks

Futures ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 31 (8) ◽  
pp. 759-777
Author(s):  
Alan F. Kay ◽  
Hazel Henderson
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Reporting System ◽  
Central Banks

Regulation and Regulators, 1993–2006

2020 ◽  
pp. 267-297
Author(s):  
Ranald C. Michie
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Data Handling ◽  
Financial Systems ◽  
Settlement Systems ◽  
The Face ◽  
Implicit Belief ◽  
National Boundaries ◽  
Financial Transactions

By the 1990s the combination of internal deregulation and globalization led to a spectacular growth in the value of financial transactions both inside countries and across borders. There was a commensurate increase in pressure on payment and settlement systems to cope with the huge volume and variety of transactions. All this was of concern to those who regulated financial systems around the world. The speed and extent of the changes taking place, assisted by the advances made in the technology of communication and data handling, forced regulators to search for new ways of coping with the consequences, as the methods of the past were becoming inadequate. Globalization meant that national boundaries could no longer define the parameters within which financial systems operated, as all became integrated into international flows of short-term money and long-term finance. The complexities arose not only from the process of globalization and technological change but also from the disappearance of the barriers that had long separated different components within national financial systems. Rather than serving separate communities banks and financial markets increasingly competed with each other. In the face of these enormous changes regulators turned to the megabanks as a safe and secure way of monitoring and policing global financial markets. There was an implicit belief that the size and sophistication of these megabanks had made them to big to fail or even require the central banks to play a role as lenders of last resort.

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