Interest Rate Volatility and the Term Structure: A Two-Factor General Equilibrium Model

1992 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 1259-1282 ◽  
Author(s):  
FRANCIS A. LONGSTAFF ◽  
EDUARDO S. SCHWARTZ
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility

Sticky Leverage

2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (12) ◽  
pp. 3800-3828 ◽  
Author(s):  
João Gomes ◽  
Urban Jermann ◽  
Lukas Schmid
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Debt Maturity ◽  
General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Corporate Debt ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
The Real ◽  
Unanticipated Inflation

We develop a tractable general equilibrium model that captures the interplay between nominal long-term corporate debt, inflation, and real aggregates. We show that unanticipated inflation changes the real burden of debt and, more significantly, leads to a debt overhang that distorts future investment and production decisions. For these effects to be both large and very persistent, it is essential that debt maturity exceeds one period. We also show that interest rate rules can help stabilize our economy. (JEL E12, E31, E44, E52, G01, G32, G35)

scholarly journals A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES UNDER REGIME-SWITCHING RISK

2005 ◽  
Vol 08 (07) ◽  
pp. 839-869 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHU WU ◽  
YONG ZENG
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Closed Form Solution ◽  
Form Solution ◽  
General Equilibrium Model

This paper develops a general equilibrium model of the term structure of interest rates in the presence of the systematic risk of regime shifts. The model elucidates the economic nature of the regime-shift risk premium and introduces a new source of time-variation in bond returns. A closed-form solution for the term structure of interest rates is obtained under an affine model using log-linear approximation. The model is estimated by Efficient Method of Moments. The regime-switching risk is found to be statistically significant and mostly affect the long-end of the yield curve.

Comments on "Shadow Pricing and Macroeconomic Analysis: Some Illustrations from Pakistan" by Squire et al.

1979 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-115
Author(s):  
T. N. Srinivasan
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Equilibrium Analysis ◽  
Partial Equilibrium ◽  
Shadow Prices ◽  
Essential Point ◽  
Economic Issues ◽  
Shadow Pricing ◽  
Extreme Sensitivity

The paper is too long for conveying the message that shadow pricing used as a method of analysis in micro-economic issues of project selection is also useful for analysing macro-economic issues, such as foreign and domestic borrowing by the government, emigration, etc. Much of the methodological discussion in the paper is available in a readily accessible form in several publications of each of the coauthors; In contrast, the specific application of the methodology to Pakistani problems is much too cavalier. While it is hard to disagree with the authors' claim that shadow pricing "constitutes a relatively informal attempt to capture general equilibrium effects" (p. 89, emphasis added), their depiction of traditional analysis is a bit of a caricature: essentially it sets up a strawman to knock down. After all in the traditional partial equilibrium analysis, the caveat is always entered that the results are possibly sensitive to violation of the ceteris paribus assumptions of the analysis, though often the analysts will claim that extreme sensitivity is unlikely. Analogously, the shadow pricing method presumes "stationarity" of shadow prices in the sense that they are “independent of policy changes under review" (p. 90). The essential point to be noted is that the validity of this assertion or of the "not too extreme sensitivity" assertion of partial equilibrium analysts can be tested only with a full scale general equilibrium model! At any rate this reviewer would not pose the issue as one of traditional partial equilibrium macro-analysis versus shadow pricing as an approximate general equilibrium analysis, but would prefer a description of project analysis as an approach in which a macro-general equilibrium model of a manageable size (implicit or explicit) is used to derive a set of key shadow prices which are then used in a detailed micro-analysis of projects.

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