Mark-recapture modeling accounting for state uncertainty provides concurrent estimates of survival and fecundity in a protected harbor seal population

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 691-705 ◽  
Author(s):  
Line S. Cordes ◽  
Paul M. Thompson
1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
M O Hammill ◽  
G B Stenson ◽  
R A Myers ◽  
W T Stobo

Grey seal (Halichoerus grypus) pup production of the Gulf of St. Lawrence component of the Northwest Atlantic grey seal population was determined for the 1984-1986 and 1989-1990 periods using mark-recapture methods. Pup production estimates based on recaptures from shot samples from Anticosti Island ranged from 5436 (SE = 672) to 6955 (SE = 1183) for 1984-1986. An independent estimate for 1984-1986, based on animals captured on Sable Island, was 7431 (SE = 1414) to 8633 (SE = 2827). Mark-recapture estimates of pup production for 1989 and 1990 from shot samples collected from Anticosti Island were 8825 (SE = 3164) and 9156 (SE = 2652), respectively. The estimates based on animals captured on Sable Island varied from 7295 (SE = 2118) to 8116 (SE = 846) for 1989-1990. Both the Anticosti Island and Sable Island recovery samples underestimate 1989 pup production due to hunting which removed 1612 pups from the population before they could disperse. The Gulf component of the Northwest Atlantic grey seal population is increasing at an annual rate of 7.4% (SE = 2.2).


Author(s):  
Maria C. Dzul ◽  
Charles B. Yackulic ◽  
William Louis Kendall ◽  
Dana L Winkelman ◽  
Mary M. Conner ◽  
...  

Autonomous passive integrated transponder (PIT) tag antennas are commonly used to detect fish marked with PIT tags but cannot detect unmarked fish, creating challenges for abundance estimation. Here we describe an approach to estimate abundance from paired physical capture and antenna detection data in closed and open mark-recapture models. Additionally, for open models, we develop an approach that incorporates uncertainty in fish size, because fish size changes through time (as fish grow bigger) but is unknown if fish are not physically captured (e.g., only detected on antennas). Incorporation of size uncertainty allows for estimation of size-specific abundances and demonstrates a generally useful method for obtaining state-specific abundances estimates under state uncertainty. Simulation studies comparing models with and without antenna detections illustrate that the benefit of our approach increases as a larger proportion of the population is marked. When applied to two field data sets, our approach to incorporating antenna detections reduced uncertainty in abundance substantially. We conclude that PIT antennas hold great potential for improving abundance estimation, despite the challenges they present.


2008 ◽  
pp. ???-??? ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Small ◽  
Peter L. Boveng ◽  
G. Vernon Byrd ◽  
David E. Withrow

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (7) ◽  
pp. 1117-1127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathan J. Hostetter ◽  
Beth Gardner ◽  
Allen F. Evans ◽  
Bradley M. Cramer ◽  
Quinn Payton ◽  
...  

We developed a state-space mark–recapture–recovery model that incorporates multiple recovery types and state uncertainty to estimate survival of an anadromous fish species. We apply the model to a dataset of outmigrating juvenile steelhead trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss (Walbaum, 1792)) tagged with passive integrated transponders, recaptured during outmigration, and recovered on bird colonies in the Columbia River basin (2008–2014). Recoveries on bird colonies are often ignored in survival studies because the river reach of mortality is often unknown, which we model as a form of state uncertainty. Median outmigration survival from release to the lower river (river kilometre 729 to 75) ranged from 0.27 to 0.35, depending on year. Recovery probabilities were frequently ≥0.20 in the first river reach following tagging, indicating that one out of five fish that died in that reach was recovered on a bird colony. Integrating dead recovery data provided increased parameter precision, estimation of where birds consumed fish, and survival estimates across larger spatial scales. More generally, these modeling approaches provide a flexible framework to integrate multiple sources of tag recovery data into mark–recapture studies.


1999 ◽  
Vol 249 (4) ◽  
pp. 455-461
Author(s):  
El Hassan El Mouden ◽  
Mohammed Znari ◽  
Richard P. Brown

2018 ◽  
Vol 589 ◽  
pp. 263-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
B Calmanovici ◽  
D Waayers ◽  
J Reisser ◽  
J Clifton ◽  
M Proietti

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