Volatility Spillovers between the Equity Market and Foreign Exchange Market in South Africa in the 1995-2010 Period

2013 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. 260-274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lumengo Bonga-Bonga ◽  
Jamela Hoveni
2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 1529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

<p>The paper assesses the dynamic interaction between exchange rates and stock market volatility in South Africa by making use of the generalised impulse response function obtained from a bivariate VAR model. Volatility variables in the VAR system are obtained from a family of GARCH models based on criteria such as covariance stationarity and leverage effects. The findings of the paper show that foreign exchange conditional volatility responds positively to volatility shocks to the equity market. Nonetheless, the response of the equity market conditional volatility to volatility shocks to the foreign exchange market is short-lived and neutral for most of the time horizon periods. The paper attributes this finding mainly to the extent of foreign participation in emerging equity market in general and the South African equity market in particular.</p>


1985 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 204-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Bhana

South African investors have been precluded from investing in foreign securities by the Exchange Control Regulations of 1961. Furthermore, the monetary policy pursued by the authorities has resulted in an inefficient financial market. Investments on the capital market have not earned satisfactory real rates of return, and prices on the JSE appear to have been driven to artificial heights. The De Kock Commission of Inquiry has proposed several recommendations which will have far-reaching consequences for investors in South Africa. The proposal of market-related interest rates and the abolition of prescribed investments by institutional investors is likely to result in long-term securities earning substantially higher real rates of return. The relaxation of exchange control for both direct and portfolio investment is likely to stem the flow of funds into the JSE. Investment funds can be expected to flow between the JSE and the various foreign equity markets depending on the economic prospects in the different countries. The high foreign exchange cost and poor liquidity of the local exchange market has been an obstacle to investors in foreign securities. The creation of a larger and more efficient foreign exchange market is likely to facilitate international portfolio diversification in South Africa.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092110205
Author(s):  
Dharmendra Singh ◽  
M. Theivanayaki ◽  
M. Ganeshwari

The objective of this article is to examine the volatility spillover effect between the foreign exchange market and the stock market of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries along with Japan as the developed country in the region, affecting the BRICS countries. Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (GARCH) (1,1) method is used to study the volatility between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in selected countries, and asymmetric model, that is, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity—EGARCH (1,1) is also used to investigate the presence of leverage effects in both stock market and foreign exchange market in selected countries. GARCH findings suggest a two-way volatility spillover between the stock market and foreign exchange markets for India, China and South Africa. In BRICS countries, volatility spillover from the currency market to the stock market is seen as more evident and robust as compared to spillover from the stock market to the currency market. A positive asymmetry in spillover is also observed from the foreign exchange market to the stock market. The findings of the study may provide valuable information to investors for decision-making in international portfolio investment and also for economic policymakers for their financial stability perspective.


Think India ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 1129-1144
Author(s):  
Bichith C. Sekhar ◽  
A. Umamaheswari

The foreign exchange market (Forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. The foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. Our study is to test the technical tools to analyze about the technical impact and its return in the market.  For this purpose 13 cross currency pairs were taken as sample size and Jensen’s Alpha, Beta, Relative Strength Index, and Buy and Hold Abnormal Return were used as technical tool for analysis and the conclusion is that it’s not preferred to invest in JPY pairs as the volatility and the return are not up to the mark and its preferred to invest in EURCAD as the return was high when compared to other scripts and the market was moving accordingly to its cross currency pair.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document