scholarly journals Transmission Of Volatility Shocks Between The Equity And Foreign Exchange Markets In South Africa

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 1529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lumengo Bonga-Bonga
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
South African ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Equity Market ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Conditional Volatility ◽  
Exchange Markets

<p>The paper assesses the dynamic interaction between exchange rates and stock market volatility in South Africa by making use of the generalised impulse response function obtained from a bivariate VAR model. Volatility variables in the VAR system are obtained from a family of GARCH models based on criteria such as covariance stationarity and leverage effects. The findings of the paper show that foreign exchange conditional volatility responds positively to volatility shocks to the equity market. Nonetheless, the response of the equity market conditional volatility to volatility shocks to the foreign exchange market is short-lived and neutral for most of the time horizon periods. The paper attributes this finding mainly to the extent of foreign participation in emerging equity market in general and the South African equity market in particular.</p>

scholarly journals The recommendations of the De Kock Commission of Inquiry and its implications for foreign security investments by South African residents

1985 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 204-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Bhana
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
South African ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Rates Of Return ◽  
Local Exchange ◽  
International Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Exchange Control

South African investors have been precluded from investing in foreign securities by the Exchange Control Regulations of 1961. Furthermore, the monetary policy pursued by the authorities has resulted in an inefficient financial market. Investments on the capital market have not earned satisfactory real rates of return, and prices on the JSE appear to have been driven to artificial heights. The De Kock Commission of Inquiry has proposed several recommendations which will have far-reaching consequences for investors in South Africa. The proposal of market-related interest rates and the abolition of prescribed investments by institutional investors is likely to result in long-term securities earning substantially higher real rates of return. The relaxation of exchange control for both direct and portfolio investment is likely to stem the flow of funds into the JSE. Investment funds can be expected to flow between the JSE and the various foreign equity markets depending on the economic prospects in the different countries. The high foreign exchange cost and poor liquidity of the local exchange market has been an obstacle to investors in foreign securities. The creation of a larger and more efficient foreign exchange market is likely to facilitate international portfolio diversification in South Africa.

Examining Volatility Spillover Between Foreign Exchange Markets and Stock Markets of Countries such as BRICS Countries

2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092110205
Author(s):  
Dharmendra Singh ◽  
M. Theivanayaki ◽  
M. Ganeshwari
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange Markets ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Currency Market ◽  
Brics Countries ◽  
Exchange Markets

The objective of this article is to examine the volatility spillover effect between the foreign exchange market and the stock market of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries along with Japan as the developed country in the region, affecting the BRICS countries. Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (GARCH) (1,1) method is used to study the volatility between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in selected countries, and asymmetric model, that is, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity—EGARCH (1,1) is also used to investigate the presence of leverage effects in both stock market and foreign exchange market in selected countries. GARCH findings suggest a two-way volatility spillover between the stock market and foreign exchange markets for India, China and South Africa. In BRICS countries, volatility spillover from the currency market to the stock market is seen as more evident and robust as compared to spillover from the stock market to the currency market. A positive asymmetry in spillover is also observed from the foreign exchange market to the stock market. The findings of the study may provide valuable information to investors for decision-making in international portfolio investment and also for economic policymakers for their financial stability perspective.

scholarly journals Covered interest arbitrage opportunities in the South African foreign exchange market

1987 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 209-214
Author(s):  
C. De J. Correia ◽  
R. F. Knight
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
South African ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
The South ◽  
Dollar Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Parity ◽  
Interest Differential

The Interest Parity Theory states that in an efficient market, any interest differential between local and foreign sources of finance will be offset by the forward premium/discount. Therefore, opportunities to engage in profitable Covered Interest Arbitrage transactions will be eliminated quickly. The fall in the Rand/Dollar exchange rate resulted in many South African companies reporting substantial foreign exchange losses on offshore loans. Companies were attracted to foreign sources of finance because of lower foreign interest rates. The authors conclude, on the basis of empirical tests, that the forward Rand/Dollar exchange rate followed its interest parity value very closely over the period August 1983 - August 1985. Opportunities to engage in risk-free arbitrage activities were offset by related transaction costs. The South African foreign exchange market is efficient to the extent that risk-free profit opportunities did not exist for the period under review and therefore there was no benefit, after adjusting for risk, for South African management to borrow from offshore sources of finance.

scholarly journals Alarming of exchange rate crisis: A risk management approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-88
Author(s):  
Da Zhao ◽  
Tianhao Wu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Management Approach ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Exchange Markets ◽  
Development Levels

Recently, with increasing volatility of foreign exchange rate, risk management becomes more and more important not only for multinational companies and individuals but also for central governments. This paper attempts to build an econometrics model so as to forecast and manage risks in foreign exchange market, especially during the eve of turbulent periods. By following McNeil and Frey’s (2000) two stage approach called conditional EVT to estimate dynamic VaR commonly used in stock and insurance markets, we extend it by applying a more general asymmetric ARMA-GARCH model to analyze daily foreign exchange dollar-denominated trading data from four countries of different development levels across Asia and Europe for a period of more than 10 years from January 03, 2005 to May 29, 2015, which is certainly representative of global markets. Conventionally, different kinds of backtesting methods are implemented ultimately to evaluate how well the model behaves. Inspiringly, test results show that by taking several specific characteristics (including fat-tails, asymmetry and long-range dependence) of the foreign exchange market return data into consideration, the violation ratio of out-of-sample data can be forecasted very well for both fixed and flexible foreign exchange regimes. Moreover, all of the violations are evenly distributed along the whole period which indicates another favorable property of our model. Meanwhile, we find evidence of asymmetry volatility in all of the studied foreign exchange markets even though the magnitudes of the most of them are weak.

scholarly journals The Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Anomaly And Foreign Exchange Market Turnover

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 299 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Boschen ◽  
Kimberly J. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange Markets ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Interest Rate Parity ◽  
High Interest Rate ◽  
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity ◽  
Exchange Markets ◽  
Rate Parity

The uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) anomaly is that high interest rate currencies appreciate, rather than depreciate, against low interest rate currencies. We show that the UIP anomalies apparent in six major currency pairs have diminished over our 1995-2010 sample period. We further show that the observed decline in deviations from UIP is associated with the substantially higher transaction volume now present in the foreign exchange markets. We interpret our findings as consistent with the proposition that the UIP anomaly dissipates as the foreign exchange markets become more efficient.

scholarly journals Role played by FMC in the Indian Economy and Merger of Forward Market Commission in SEBI

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazia Jamal
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Day Trading ◽  
Forward Market ◽  
Clearing And Settlement ◽  
Exchange Markets ◽  
The Government ◽  
Legislative Reforms

Foreign exchange market in India started three decades ago when in 1978 the government allowed banks to trade foreign exchange with one another. Today over 70% of the trading in foreign exchange continues to take place in the inter-bank market. The market consists of over 90 Authorized Dealers (mostly banks) who transact currency among themselves and come out “square” or without exposure at the end of the trading day. Trading is regulated by the Foreign Exchange Dealers Association of India (FEDAI), a self-regulatory association of dealers. Since 2001, clearing and settlement functions in the foreign exchange market are largely carried out by the Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL) that handles transactions of approximately 3.5 billion US dollars a day, about 80% of the total transactions. This paper is divided in to four sections section one deals with the introduction of the study along with the exchange rate systems, section two tries to explain the trends in the Indian foreign exchange market whereas section three explains the features of the different components of the foreign exchange markets, section four assess and analyse the regulations and the role played by the forward market commission in Indi till its merger. The Financial Sector Legislative Reforms Commission (FSLRC) had earlier stressed on the need to move away from sector-wise regulation. It proposed a system in which RBI would regulate the banking and payments system, and a Unified Financial Agency (UFA) would subsume all other financial sector regulators such as SEBI, IRDA, PFRDA and FMC, to regulate the rest of the financial markets, which results in the merger of the FMC with SEBI. Hence section four focuses on the recent merger of this organisation with SEBI.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document