scholarly journals Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 88 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-471
Author(s):  
Alain Kabundi ◽  
Tumisang Loate ◽  
Nicola Viegi
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
The Us

scholarly journals The Spillover Effects of the US Unconventional Monetary Policy: New Evidence from Asian Developing Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 165
Author(s):  
Thi Tran ◽  
Hoang Pham
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Developing Markets ◽  
The Us ◽  
Asian Developing Countries

This paper aims to trace the monthly responses of equity prices, long-term interest rates, and exchange rates in Asian developing markets to the US unconventional monetary policy (UMP). The main research question is to explore whether UMP shocks exist in those markets. We also consider the differences in the mean responses of those asset prices between traditional and non-traditional monetary policy phases. To address such concerns, we employ a panel vector autoregression with exogenous variables (Panel VARX) model and estimate the model by the least-squares dummy variable (LSDV) estimator in three different periods spanning from 2004M2 to 2018M4. The first finding is that UMP shocks from the US are associated with a surge in equity prices, a decline in long-term interest rates, and an appreciation of currencies in Asian developing markets. In contrast, the conventional monetary policy shocks from the US seem to exert adverse effects on these recipient countries. These empirical results suggest that the policymakers in Asian developing countries should cautiously take into account the spillover effects from the US unconventional monetary policy once it is executed.

scholarly journals Spillovers of US unconventional monetary policy: quantitative easing, spreads, and international financial markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zekeriya Yildirim ◽  
Mehmet Ivrendi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
International Financial Markets ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
The Us

AbstractThis study investigates the international spillover effects of US unconventional monetary policy (UMP)—frequently called large-scale asset purchases or quantitative easing (QE)—on advanced and emerging market economies, using structural vector autoregressive models with high-frequency daily data. Blinder (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Rev 92(6): 465–479, 2010) argued that the QE measures primarily aim to reduce US interest rate spreads, such as term and risk premiums. Considering this argument and recent empirical evidence, we use two spreads as indicators of US UMP: the mortgage and term spreads. Based on data from 20 emerging and 20 advanced countries, our empirical findings reveal that US unconventional monetary policies significantly affect financial conditions in emerging and advanced countries by altering the risk-taking behavior of investors. This result suggests that the risk-taking channel plays an important role in transmitting the effects of these policies to the rest of the world. The extent of these effects depends on the type of QE measures. QE measures such as purchases of private sector securities that lower the US mortgage spread exert stronger and more significant spillover effects on international financial markets than those that reduce the US term spread. Furthermore, the estimated financial spillovers vary substantially across countries and between and within the emerging and advanced countries that we examine in this study.

Fed’s Unconventional Monetary Policy and Risk Spillover in the US Financial Markets

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Balcilar ◽  
Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir ◽  
Huseyin Ozdemir ◽  
Mark E. Wohar
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
The Us

scholarly journals Modeling Outcomes of Unconventional Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 10263-10268
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The paper presents a study of the outcomes of the unconventional monetary policy methods that the central banks of developed countries have been applying during and after the global financial crisis. Before the crisis central banks used the interest rate policy as their main tool. But the recent financial crisis has demonstrated the inefficiency of traditional methods (especially after the base interest rate has reached zero). Therefore in response to the global financial crisis, central banks of many countries have taken unconventional measures to overcome the crisis. The paper aims to study the main outcomes of unconventional monetary policy measures of the developed countries and formulate the recommendations for the developing countries. The following objectives are being met in the paper:to reveal the essence of the main mechanisms for implementing the unconventional monetary policy; to evaluate the efficiency of unconventional monetary policy in the US, Japan, United Kingdom;to model the impact of monetary policy of the European Central bank on the consumer price index in the Eurozone countries. Research methods: method of comparative analysis is usedto evaluate the efficiency of the unconventional monetary policy in the US, Japan, European Union and the United Kingdom.The model of themonetary policy impact on the consumer price index is based on econometric analysis and is constructed using the least squares method. The studied model includes both traditional and non-traditional methods.Observation period - quarterly data from 1999 to the second quarter of 2019. The results of the analysis show that unconventional monetary policy methods of the central banks of the developed countries reached major goals - to prevent bankruptcies of large financial institutions in national economies. Moreover, the results of the suggested model show that the European Central Bank policy has also reached its inflation target that supposed to stimulate economic growth; the most significant effect is observed in the first years after the launch of an unconventional monetary policy. At the same time the unconventional tools of monetary policy stimulate the extreme increase of the securities prices, which led to the “overheating” of the US stock market and the EU national bonds markets with the negative yield on government securities of several countries, which may become a trigger for a new global crisis in the future. The result of the analysis of monetary policy in Ukraine shows the limitations of the use of non-traditional measures for the developing countries.

Cabinet chaos raises junk status risk for South Africa

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Student Protests ◽  
Investor Confidence ◽  
The Us ◽  
Intelligence Agencies

Significance He replaces the little known David van Rooyen, who had been in post for only four days following the axing of technocrat Nhlanhla Nene. The nature of the latter's removal shook investor confidence unprecedentedly for post-apartheid South Africa. Impacts Economic turmoil caused by Nene's axing could embolden ANC factions pushing for Zuma to resign before the next poll in 2019. However, Zuma may use his hold on the intelligence agencies to undermine opponents, eg by uncovering personal scandals. Expected monetary policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve will likely undermine any rand appreciation caused by Gordhan's appointment. Recent student protests could encourage Zuma to dismiss Higher Education Minister Blade Nzimande, weakening the SACP.

Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 78 ◽  
pp. 42-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Balcilar ◽  
Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir ◽  
Huseyin Ozdemir ◽  
Mark E. Wohar
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
The Us

scholarly journals Spillover impact of the US unconventional monetary policy and uncertainties on stock-bond correlations

2020 ◽  
pp. 17-17
Author(s):  
Abobaker Hadood ◽  
Korhan Gokmenoglu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Nonlinear Effect ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Market Uncertainty ◽  
The Us

This paper investigates the spillover impact of US unconventional monetary policy and uncertainty factors on the time-varying co-movements between the US stock market and 14 advanced countries? bond markets, as based on monthly data from January 2002, to October 2015, and utilising the conditional nonlinear quantile regression approach. The empirical results reveal that US unconventional monetary policy has an asymmetric positive effect on stock-bond market co-movements, with a nonlinear effect in France and Denmark and a strong effect in the UK and Finland. Further, US bond market uncertainty has heterogeneous effects on stock-bond market co-movements, with a nonlinear effect in France and Denmark and a strong effect in Finland and Sweden. In addition, default risk spread positively influences stock-bond market comovements across most countries for all quantiles. In contrast, stock-bond market co-movements negatively and symmetrically respond to the US stock market uncertainty in most countries. Finally, stock-bond co-movements exhibit mixed responses to US economic policy uncertainty across countries. Our results have valuable implications for international investors who allocate capital across developed countries? stock and bond markets. Our findings provide important information for financial communities with regard to diversification and hedging.

scholarly journals Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 429
Author(s):  
Hardik A. Marfatia ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Keagile Lesame
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Dynamic Impact ◽  
Federal Funds Rate ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact

In this paper, we estimate the dynamic impact of unconventional monetary policy in the US on international REITs. Unlike existing studies which are limited to conventional policy tools and undertake a static approach, we use an event study approach and estimate a time-varying parameter model to investigate the dynamic impact of forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) shocks on the international REIT returns. We also compare the effects of these unconventional tools with the effects of conventional federal funds rate (FFR) shocks. The results show that the response of international REITs to unconventional policy shocks depends on the time under consideration. FG shocks have greater time-variation in the impact on REIT returns compared to LSAP shocks, particularly with Australia, Belgium, and the US REIT markets. Furthermore, FG shocks broadly have a negative impact on REITs while the results for LSAP effects are mixed. We also find that in most countries, REITs time-varying response of FG shocks is related to changes in gold prices and financial conditions.

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