Systems Reliability With Multiple Design Points Through Evolutionary Strategies

Author(s):  
Federico Barranco Cicilia ◽  
Edison Castro Prates de Lima ◽  
Lui´s Volnei Sudati Sagrilo

In structural reliability analysis there could be several limit state functions with multiple design points. The missing of one or more of these design points can be responsible for significant errors on the system reliability evaluation. In this paper, a simple version of the Evolutionary Strategies (ES) algorithm is combined with the First Order Second Moment method (FORM) to perform the reliability analysis of systems with multiple design points. The ES algorithm is used to perform a preliminary identification of the design points (local maxima). These design points approximations are used as initial guesses in the HL-RF (Hasofer and Lind–Rackwitz and Fiessler) method in order to calculate the true design points. The system failure probability is then evaluated with FORM approximation for series systems. The proposed methodology is applied to the analysis of three non-linear limit state functions with Normal and non-Normal random variables and the results are compared with those obtained with the Monte Carlo method.

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Barranco-Cicilia ◽  
◽  
Edison Castro-Prates de Lima ◽  
Luís Volnei Sudati-Sagrilo ◽  
◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Wu ◽  
Zhangli Hu ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract System reliability is quantified by the probability that a system performs its intended function in a period of time without failures. System reliability can be predicted if all the limit-state functions of the components of the system are available, and such a prediction is usually time consuming. This work develops a time-dependent system reliability method that is extended from the component time-dependent reliability method using the envelope method and second-order reliability method. The proposed method is efficient and is intended for series systems with limit-state functions whose input variables include random variables and time. The component reliability is estimated by the second-order component reliability method with an improve envelope approach, which produces a component reliability index. The covariance between component responses is estimated with the first-order approximations, which are available from the second-order approximations of the component reliability analysis. Then, the joint distribution of all the component responses is approximated by a multivariate normal distribution with its mean vector being component reliability indexes and covariance being those between component responses. The proposed method is demonstrated and evaluated by three examples.


Author(s):  
Hao Wu ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract System reliability is quantified by the probability that a system performs its intended function in a period of time without failure. System reliability can be predicted if all the limit-state functions of the components of the system are available, and such a prediction is usually time consuming. This work develops a time-dependent system reliability method that is extended from the component time-dependent reliability method that uses the envelop method and second order reliability method. The proposed method is efficient and is intended for series systems with limit-state functions whose input variables include random variables and time. The component reliability is estimated by the existing second order component reliability method, which produces component reliability indexes. The covariance between components responses are estimated with the first order approximations, which are available from the second order approximations of the component reliability analysis. Then the joint probability of all the component responses is approximated by a multivariate normal distribution with its mean vector being component reliability indexes and covariance being those between component responses. The proposed method is demonstrated and evaluated by three examples.


2019 ◽  
Vol 262 ◽  
pp. 10002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Dudzik ◽  
Beata Potrzeszcz-Sut

The present study considers the problems of stability and reliability of spatial truss susceptible to stability loss from the condition of node snapping. In the reliability analysis of structure, uncertain parameters, such us load magnitudes, cross-sectional area, modulus of elasticity are represented by random variables. Random variables are not correlated. The criterion of structural failure is expressed by the condition of non-exceeding the admissible load multiplier. In the performed analyses explicit form of the random variables function were used. To formulate explicit limit state functions the neural networks is used. In the paper only the time independent component reliability analysis problems are considered. The NUMPRESS software, created at the IFTR PAS, was used in the reliability analysis. The Hasofer-Lind index in conjunction with transformation method in the FORM was used as a reliability measure. The primary research method is the FORM method. In order to verify the correctness of the calculation SORM and Monte Carlo methods are used. The values of reliability index for different descriptions of mathematical model of the structure were determined. The sensitivity of reliability index to the random variables is defined.


2013 ◽  
Vol 477-478 ◽  
pp. 146-149
Author(s):  
Wei Dong Chen ◽  
Ping Jia ◽  
Xian De Wu ◽  
Yan Chun Yu ◽  
Feng Chao Zhang ◽  
...  

The limit state function (LSF) is implicit to many structure reliability analysis problems, which may make some classical reliability method complicated to be applied. One of the surrogate methods-support vector classification (SVC) was applied in the structural reliability analysis herein which has not been applied to structure reliability analysis until recent years. Then the advanced first order second moment method (AFOSM) can be applied. The expressions of structure system reliability sensitivity to basic variable were deduced. The flow of how to call the SVC program was presented. An example was shown to compare the SVC based method with some other classical reliability analysis methods. The results are accurately accepted and the advantages of SVC are analyzed.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia J. Sarmiento Nova ◽  
Jaime Gonzalez-Libreros ◽  
Gabriel Sas ◽  
Rafael A. Sanabria Díaz ◽  
Maria C. A. Texeira da Silva ◽  
...  

<p>The Response Surface Method (RSM) has become an essential tool to solve structural reliability problems due to its accuracy, efficacy, and facility for coupling with Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis (NLFEA). In this paper, some strategies to improve the RSM efficacy without compromising its accuracy are tested. Initially, each strategy is implemented to assess the safety level of a highly nonlinear explicit limit state function. The strategy with the best results is then identified and used to carry out a reliability analysis of a prestressed concrete bridge, considering the nonlinear material behavior through NLFEA simulation. The calculated value of &#120573; is compared with the target value established in Eurocode for ULS. The results showed how RSM can be a practical methodology and how the improvements presented can reduce the computational cost of a traditional RSM giving a good alternative to simulation methods such as Monte Carlo.</p>


Author(s):  
Umberto Alibrandi ◽  
C. G. Koh

This paper presents a novel procedure based on first-order reliability method (FORM) for structural reliability analysis in the presence of random parameters and interval uncertain parameters. In the proposed formulation, the hybrid problem is reduced to standard reliability problems, where the limit state functions are defined only in terms of the random variables. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) for hybrid reliability analysis (HRA) is presented, and it is shown that it requires a tremendous computational effort; FORM for HRA is more efficient but still demanding. The computational cost is significantly reduced through a simplified procedure, which gives good approximations of the design points, by requiring only three classical FORMs and one interval analysis (IA), developed herein through an optimization procedure. FORM for HRA and its simplified formulation achieve a much improved efficiency than MCS by several orders of magnitude, and it can thus be applied to real-world engineering problems. Representative examples of stochastic dynamic analysis and performance-based engineering are presented.


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