Short-term traffic flow prediction based on 1DCNN-LSTM neural network structure

2020 ◽  
pp. 2150042
Author(s):  
Yihuan Qiao ◽  
Ya Wang ◽  
Changxi Ma ◽  
Ju Yang

In the past decade, the number of cars in China has significantly raised, but the traffic jam spree problem has brought great inconvenience to people’s travel. Accurate and efficient traffic flow prediction, as the core of Intelligent Traffic System (ITS), can effectively solve the problems of traffic travel and management. The existing short-term traffic flow prediction researches mainly use the shallow model method, so they cannot fully reflect the traffic flow characteristics. Therefore, this paper proposed a short-term traffic flow prediction method based on one-dimensional convolution neural network and long short-term memory (1DCNN-LSTM). The spatial information in traffic data is obtained by 1DCNN, and then the time information in traffic data is obtained by LSTM. After that, the space-time features of the traffic flow are used as regression predictions, which are input into the Fully-Connected Layer. In the end, the corresponding prediction results of the current input are calculated. In the past, most of the researches are based on survey data or virtual data, lacking authenticity. In this paper, real data will be used for research. The data are provided by OpenITS open data platform. Finally, the proposed method is compared with other road forecasting models. The results show that the structure of 1DCNN-LSTM can further improve the prediction accuracy.

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (13) ◽  
pp. 2946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wangyang Wei ◽  
Honghai Wu ◽  
Huadong Ma

Smart cities can effectively improve the quality of urban life. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is an important part of smart cities. The accurate and real-time prediction of traffic flow plays an important role in ITSs. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a novel traffic flow prediction method, called AutoEncoder Long Short-Term Memory (AE-LSTM) prediction method. In our method, the AutoEncoder is used to obtain the internal relationship of traffic flow by extracting the characteristics of upstream and downstream traffic flow data. Moreover, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network utilizes the acquired characteristic data and the historical data to predict complex linear traffic flow data. The experimental results show that the AE-LSTM method had higher prediction accuracy. Specifically, the Mean Relative Error (MRE) of the AE-LSTM was reduced by 0.01 compared with the previous prediction methods. In addition, AE-LSTM method also had good stability. For different stations and different dates, the prediction error and fluctuation of the AE-LSTM method was small. Furthermore, the average MRE of AE-LSTM prediction results was 0.06 for six different days.


2013 ◽  
Vol 671-674 ◽  
pp. 2866-2869 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Yang ◽  
Wei Dong Dai

In this paper, genetic neural network is applied to forecast the short-term traffic flow and traffic guidance. Because of the factors of time correlation and spatial correlation, we construct the short-term traffic flow forecasting model using back-propagation neural network that has the function of arbitrary nonlinear function approximation. In order to find proper initial values of the neural network weights and threshold quickly, a combination of neural network prediction method is presented. This method utilizes genetic algorithm to choose the initial weights and threshold, and uses L-M algorithm to train sample, which can enhance the global convergence rate. Trained network is used for short-term traffic flow prediction with mean square error as the forecast performance evaluation. The results show that the performance of genetic neural network is better than a separate BP neural network for short-term traffic flow prediction.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document