A FUZZY RELIABILITY ANALYSIS BASED ON THE TRANSFORMATION BETWEEN DISCRETE FUZZY VARIABLES AND DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES

Author(s):  
YUGE DONG ◽  
AINAN WANG

When fuzzy information is taken into consideration in design, it is difficult to analyze the reliability of machine parts because we usually must deal with random information and fuzzy information simultaneously. Therefore, in order to make it easy to analyze fuzzy reliability, this paper proposes the transformation between discrete fuzzy random variable and discrete random variable based on a fuzzy reliability analysis when one of the stress and strength is a discrete fuzzy variable and the other is a discrete random variable. The transformation idea put forwards in this paper can be extended to continuous case, and can also be used in the fuzzy reliability analysis of repairable system.

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Gan ◽  
Jiuping Xu

This paper focuses on the problem of hedging against seismic risk through the retrofit of transportation systems in large-scale construction projects (LSCP). A fuzzy random multiobjective bilevel programming model is formulated with the objectives of the retrofit costs and the benefits on two separate levels. After establishing the model, a fuzzy random variable transformation approach and fuzzy variable approximation decomposition are used to deal with the uncertainty. An approximation decomposition-based multi-objective AGLNPSO is developed to solve the model. The results of a case study validate the efficiency of the proposed approach.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Zhang ◽  
Shan Lu ◽  
Bo Li

The inherent frequencies of blades, especially with friction structure of shroud, are related to many uncertain factors, which include not only random factors but also fuzzy or other uncertain factors. In this paper, the fuzzy reliability model of blades to avoid resonance is investigated. By regarding the inherent frequency as a fuzzy random variable with trapezoidal or flat-normal membership function, a fuzzy reliability model of blades to avoid resonance is proposed based on the fuzzy cut-set theory, and the corresponding numerical solution is given. Further, a theorem is proposed and proved to indicate the deficiency of the previous cut-set distributions on convergence, and, then, a new cut-set distribution is given to cover this shortage and ensure that the model is of good convergence. Finally, the proposed model is applied to evaluate the reliability of one certain blade. Some simulations are carried out to compare the new cut-set distribution with the previous ones and study the influence of fuzzy degree on the reliability.


2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 53-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jalal Chachi

In this paper, rst a new notion of fuzzy random variables is introduced. Then, usingclassical techniques in Probability Theory, some aspects and results associated to a randomvariable (including expectation, variance, covariance, correlation coecient, etc.) will beextended to this new environment. Furthermore, within this framework, we can use thetools of general Probability Theory to dene fuzzy cumulative distribution function of afuzzy random variable.


2012 ◽  
Vol 588-589 ◽  
pp. 458-462
Author(s):  
Zhi Jian Yuan ◽  
Yan Li

The impact of voltage sags on equipment is usually described by equipment failure probability.It is generally difficult to assess and predict the probability because of the uncertainty of both the nature of voltage sags and the VTL (VTL) of equipment. By defining the equipment failure event caused by voltage sags as a fuzzy-random event, a fuzzy-random assessment model incorporating those uncertainty is developed. The model is able to convert the probability problem of a fuzzy-random variable to that of a common random variable by using λ-cut set. It is thus valuable in theoretical analysis and engineering application. The validity of the developed model is verified by Monte Carlo stochastic simulation using personal computers (PCs)as test equipment.


Author(s):  
Maria Brigida Ferraro

A linear regression model for imprecise random variables is considered. The imprecision of a random element has been formalized by means of the LR fuzzy random variable, characterized by a center, a left and a right spread. In order to avoid the non-negativity conditions the spreads are transformed by means of two invertible functions. To analyze the generalization performance of that model an appropriate prediction error is introduced, and it is estimated by means of a bootstrap procedure. Furthermore, since the choice of response transformations could affect the inferential procedures, a computational proposal is introduced for choosing from a family of parametric link functions, the Box-Cox family, the transformation parameters that minimize the prediction error of the model.


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