Parameter estimation via homogenization for stochastic dynamical systems with oscillating coefficients

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (03) ◽  
pp. 1850025
Author(s):  
Xinyong Zhang ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
Yanjie Zhang ◽  
Haokun Lin

This paper is devoted to studying parameter estimation for a class of stochastic dynamical systems with oscillating coefficients. We show that the homogenized systems faithfully capture the dynamical quantities such as mean exit time and escape probability. Exacting data from observations on the mean exit time (or escape probability) of the original systems, we try to fit the mean exit time (or escape probability) of the homogenized systems by least square method. In this way, we can accurately estimate the unknown parameter in the drift under appropriate assumptions. Furthermore, we conduct some numerical experiments to illustrate our method.

2014 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. A887-A906 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Gao ◽  
J. Duan ◽  
X. Li ◽  
R. Song

2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250090 ◽  
Author(s):  
JIAN REN ◽  
CHUJIN LI ◽  
TING GAO ◽  
XINGYE KAN ◽  
JINQIAO DUAN

Effects of non-Gaussian α-stable Lévy noise on the Gompertz tumor growth model are quantified by considering the mean exit time and escape probability of the cancer cell density from inside a safe or benign domain. The mean exit time and escape probability problems are formulated in a differential-integral equation with a fractional Laplacian operator. Numerical simulations are conducted to evaluate how the mean exit time and escape probability vary or bifurcates when α changes. Some bifurcation phenomena are observed and their impacts are discussed.


2008 ◽  
Vol 08 (03) ◽  
pp. 583-591 ◽  
Author(s):  
ZHIHUI YANG ◽  
JINQIAO DUAN

A dynamical system driven by non-Gaussian Lévy noises of small intensity is considered. The first exit time of solution orbits from a bounded neighborhood of an attracting equilibrium state is estimated. For a class of non-Gaussian Lévy noises, it is shown that the mean exit time is asymptotically faster than exponential (the well-known Gaussian Brownian noise case) but slower than polynomial (the stable Lévy noise case), in terms of the reciprocal of the small noise intensity.


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