ZERO INFLATED POISSON EWMA CONTROL CHART FOR MONITORING RARE HEALTH-RELATED EVENTS

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250065 ◽  
Author(s):  
AMIR AFSHIN FATAHI ◽  
RASSOUL NOOROSSANA ◽  
PERSHANG DOKOUHAKI ◽  
BABAK FARHANG MOGHADDAM

Recently, rare health events issue has motivated many researches in the field of control charting. Various methods such as g-type control chart, g-type CUSUM control chart, sets method, CUSCORE method, SHDA method and the Bernoulli CUSUM have been developed in this regard, in which each of them has a specific approach to the problem. As a relatively new approach, zero inflation in Poisson distribution, named ZIP distribution can be applied. In this paper, an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed for the ZIP random variable to monitor rare health-related events with a predefined performance measure value. Since the ZIP-EWMA plotted data are dependent, Markov chain approach is applied to calculate average run lengths (ARLs) as the control chart performance criteria. Based on the ARL measure, the ZIP-EWMA chart performs better in comparison with the methods available in the literature. As the main contribution of this paper is the development a control chart which performs better than the previously proposed charts. Also, a motivating real case study related to monitoring needle-stick rare occurrences in a hospital is investigated to show the applicability of the developed chart.

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 881-895 ◽  
Author(s):  
RASSOUL NOOROSSANA ◽  
AMIR AFSHIN FATAHI ◽  
PERSHANG DOKOUHAKI ◽  
MASSOUD BABAKHANI

Monitoring rare health events, as a significant public health subject, has been considered recently by different authors. In this regard, different statistical methods such as g-type control chart, Poisson CUSUM control chart, sets-based methods, and Bernoulli CUSUM chart have been developed. Zero-inflated binomial (ZIB) distribution, due to its structure, can also be considered to develop methods for monitoring rare health-related events. If zero inflation is considered in the sampling data, and the sampling subgroup size is mandatory greater than 1, then the data best fits the ZIB distribution and the aforementioned control charts cannot be applied. ZIB distribution assumes that random shocks, corresponding to rare health events, occur and then number of failures in each subgroup fits a binomial distribution. In this paper, an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is applied for ZIB data to develop a ZIB-EWMA chart. Since ZIB-EWMA statistic values are not independent, Markov chain approach is considered to evaluate the performance of the proposed control chart in terms of average run length (ARL). According to the ARL measure, this ZIB-EWMA chart has a better performance in comparison with the methods available in the literature. In addition, a real case study related to rare infections in a hospital is investigated to show the applicability of the proposed control chart.


Author(s):  
Yadpirun Supharakonsakun ◽  
Yupaporn Areepong

The modified exponentially weighted moving average (modified EWMA) control chart is an improvement on the performance of the standard EWMA control chart for detecting small and abrupt shifts in the process mean. In this study, the effect of varying the constant and exponential smoothing parameters for detecting shifts in the mean of an autoregressive process with exogenous variables (ARX(p,r)) with a trend and exponentially distributed white noise on the standard and modified EWMA control chart was investigated. The performances of the two control charts were compared via their average run lengths (ARLs) computed by using explicit formulas and the numerical integrated equation (NIE) technique. A comparative study of the two ARL methods on the modified and traditional EWMA control charts shows that the modified schemes had better detection ability at all levels of shift size. Finally, two examples using real datasets on gold and silver prices are given to illustrate the applicability of the proposed procedure. Our findings advocate that the modified EWMA chart is excellent for monitoring ARX(p,r) processes with exponentially distributed white noise


Production ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Su-Fen ◽  
Tsai Wen-Chi ◽  
Huang Tzee-Ming ◽  
Yang Chi-Chin ◽  
Cheng Smiley

In practice, sometimes the process data did not come from a known population distribution. So the commonly used Shewhart variables control charts are not suitable since their performance could not be properly evaluated. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA Control Chart based on a simple statistic to monitor the small mean shifts in the process with non-normal or unknown distributions. The sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic are explored and the average run lengths of the proposed chart are examined. Furthermore, an Arcsine EWMA Chart is proposed since the average run lengths of the Arcsine EWMA Chart are more reasonable than those of the new EWMA Chart. The Arcsine EWMA Chart is recommended if we are concerned with the proper values of the average run length.


2008 ◽  
Vol 25 (06) ◽  
pp. 781-792 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHEY-HUEI SHEU ◽  
SHIN-LI LU

This investigation elucidates the feasibility of monitoring a process for which observational data are largely autocorrelated. Special causes typically affect not only the process mean but also the process variance. The EWMA control chart has recently been developed and adopted to detect small shifts in the process mean and/or variance. This work extends the EWMA control chart, called the generally weighted moving average (GWMA) control chart, to monitor a process in which the observations can be regarded as a first-order autoregressive process with a random error. The EWMA and GWMA control charts of residuals used to monitor process variability and to monitor simultaneously the process mean and variance are considered to evaluate how average run lengths (ARLs) differ in each case.


Author(s):  
Wasif Yasin ◽  
Muhammad Tayyab ◽  
Muhammad Hanif

It is essential to monitor the mean of a process regarding quality characteristics for the ongoing production. For enhancement of mean monitoring power of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, a new median quartile double ranked set sampling (MQDRSS) based EWMA control chart is proposed and named as EWMA-MQDRSS chart. In order to study the performance of the developed EWMA-MQDRSS chart, performance measures; average run length, and the standard deviation of run length are used. The shift detection ability of the proposed chart has been compared with counterparts, under the simple random sampling and ranking based sampling techniques. The extensive simulation-based results indicate that the EWMA-MQDRSS chart performs better to trace all kinds of shifts than the existing charts. An illustrative application concerning monitoring the diameter of the piston ring of a machine is also provided to demonstrate the practical utilization of the suggested chart.


2016 ◽  
Vol 78 (6-6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ong Ker Hsin ◽  
Teh Sin Yin ◽  
Khoo Michael Boon Chong ◽  
Teoh Wei Lin ◽  
Soh Keng Lin

The S2-EWMA (called the S square exponentially weighted moving average) control chart is effective in detecting small and moderate process variance shifts. Previously, the chart was designed based on the assumption that the distribution of the quality characteristic is normally distributed. This study designs the S2-EWMA control chart for skewed distributions. The skewed distributions considered in this paper are the lognormal and gamma distributions. The performance of the S2-EWMA control chart is compared with that of the traditional Shewhart S-chart, in terms of median run length (MRL), based on simulation using the Statistical Analysis System (SAS). The results show that regardless of the type of skewed distributions, sample size and skewness level, , in most of the cases, the S2-EWMA chart outperforms the S-chart. Moreover, the findings reveal that the MRL performances of the S-chart and S2-EWMA chart are significantly influenced by skewed distributions.


2015 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 1179-1190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nasrullah Khan ◽  
Muhammad Aslam ◽  
Chi-Hyuck Jun

2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (9) ◽  
pp. 7351-7364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Aslam ◽  
Wenhao Gui ◽  
Nasrullah Khan ◽  
Chi-Hyuck Jun

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 711-728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Claude Malela-Majika ◽  
Olatunde Adebayo Adeoti ◽  
Eeva Rapoo

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to develop an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum (WRS) statistic using repetitive sampling to improve the sensitivity of the EWMA control chart to process mean shifts regardless of the prior knowledge of the underlying process distribution. Design/methodology/approach The proposed chart is developed without any distributional assumption of the underlying quality process for monitoring the location parameter. The authors developed formulae as well as algorithms to facilitate the design and implementation of the proposed chart. The performance of the proposed chart is investigated in terms of the average run-length, standard deviation of the run-length (RL), average sample size and percentiles of the RL distribution. Numerical examples are given as illustration of the design and implementation of the proposed chart. Findings The proposed control chart presents very attractive RL properties and outperforms the existing nonparametric EWMA control chart based on the WRS in the detection of the mean process shifts in many situations. However, the performance of the proposed chart relatively deteriorates for small phase I sample sizes. Originality/value This study develops a new control chart for monitoring the process mean using a two-sample test regardless of the nature of the underlying process distribution. The proposed control chart does not require any assumption on the type (or nature) of the process distribution. It requires a small number of subgroups in order to reach stability in the phase II performance.


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