ZIB-EWMA CONTROL CHART FOR MONITORING RARE HEALTH EVENTS

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 881-895 ◽  
Author(s):  
RASSOUL NOOROSSANA ◽  
AMIR AFSHIN FATAHI ◽  
PERSHANG DOKOUHAKI ◽  
MASSOUD BABAKHANI
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Cusum Chart ◽  
Health Events ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Significant Public Health ◽  
Health Related

Monitoring rare health events, as a significant public health subject, has been considered recently by different authors. In this regard, different statistical methods such as g-type control chart, Poisson CUSUM control chart, sets-based methods, and Bernoulli CUSUM chart have been developed. Zero-inflated binomial (ZIB) distribution, due to its structure, can also be considered to develop methods for monitoring rare health-related events. If zero inflation is considered in the sampling data, and the sampling subgroup size is mandatory greater than 1, then the data best fits the ZIB distribution and the aforementioned control charts cannot be applied. ZIB distribution assumes that random shocks, corresponding to rare health events, occur and then number of failures in each subgroup fits a binomial distribution. In this paper, an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is applied for ZIB data to develop a ZIB-EWMA chart. Since ZIB-EWMA statistic values are not independent, Markov chain approach is considered to evaluate the performance of the proposed control chart in terms of average run length (ARL). According to the ARL measure, this ZIB-EWMA chart has a better performance in comparison with the methods available in the literature. In addition, a real case study related to rare infections in a hospital is investigated to show the applicability of the proposed control chart.

scholarly journals Monitoring process mean with a new EWMA control chart

Production ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Su-Fen ◽  
Tsai Wen-Chi ◽  
Huang Tzee-Ming ◽  
Yang Chi-Chin ◽  
Cheng Smiley
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Process Data ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Simple Statistic ◽  
Run Lengths ◽  
Proper Values

In practice, sometimes the process data did not come from a known population distribution. So the commonly used Shewhart variables control charts are not suitable since their performance could not be properly evaluated. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA Control Chart based on a simple statistic to monitor the small mean shifts in the process with non-normal or unknown distributions. The sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic are explored and the average run lengths of the proposed chart are examined. Furthermore, an Arcsine EWMA Chart is proposed since the average run lengths of the Arcsine EWMA Chart are more reasonable than those of the new EWMA Chart. The Arcsine EWMA Chart is recommended if we are concerned with the proper values of the average run length.

ZERO INFLATED POISSON EWMA CONTROL CHART FOR MONITORING RARE HEALTH-RELATED EVENTS

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250065 ◽  
Author(s):  
AMIR AFSHIN FATAHI ◽  
RASSOUL NOOROSSANA ◽  
PERSHANG DOKOUHAKI ◽  
BABAK FARHANG MOGHADDAM
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Performance Measure ◽  
Performance Criteria ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Health Related ◽  
Run Lengths ◽  
Approach Zero

Recently, rare health events issue has motivated many researches in the field of control charting. Various methods such as g-type control chart, g-type CUSUM control chart, sets method, CUSCORE method, SHDA method and the Bernoulli CUSUM have been developed in this regard, in which each of them has a specific approach to the problem. As a relatively new approach, zero inflation in Poisson distribution, named ZIP distribution can be applied. In this paper, an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed for the ZIP random variable to monitor rare health-related events with a predefined performance measure value. Since the ZIP-EWMA plotted data are dependent, Markov chain approach is applied to calculate average run lengths (ARLs) as the control chart performance criteria. Based on the ARL measure, the ZIP-EWMA chart performs better in comparison with the methods available in the literature. As the main contribution of this paper is the development a control chart which performs better than the previously proposed charts. Also, a motivating real case study related to monitoring needle-stick rare occurrences in a hospital is investigated to show the applicability of the developed chart.

scholarly journals HYBRID EXPONENTIALLY WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE (HEWMA) CONTROL CHART BASED ON EXPONENTIAL TYPE ESTIMATOR OF MEAN

2019 ◽  
pp. 187-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Muhammad Muslim Raza ◽  
Maqbool Hussain Sial ◽  
Muhammad Haider ◽  
Muhammad Moeen Butt
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Exponential Type ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Weighted Moving Average ◽  
Better Than ◽  
Exponentially Weighted

In this paper, we have proposed a Hybrid Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (HEWMA) control chart. The proposed control chart is based on the exponential type estimator for mean using two auxiliary variables (cf. Noor-ul-Amin and Hanif, 2012). We call it an EHEWMA control chart because it is based on the exponential estimator of the mean. From this study, the fact is revealed that E-HEWMA control chart shows more efficient results as compared to traditional/simple EWMA chart and DS.EWMA control chart (cf. Raza and Butt, 2018). The comparison of the E-HEWMA control chart is also performed with the DS-EWMA chart. The proposed chart also outperforms the other control chartsin comparison. The E-HEWMA chart can be used for efficient monitoring of the production process in manufacturing industries.A simulated example has been used to compare the proposed and traditional/simple EWMA charts and DS.EWMA control chart. The control charts' performance is measured using the average run length-out of control (ARL1). It is observed that the proposed chart performs better than existing EWMA control charts.  

scholarly journals Design of Improved EWMA Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean Using New Median Quartile Double Ranked Set Sampling

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wasif Yasin ◽  
Muhammad Tayyab ◽  
Muhammad Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Ranked Set Sampling ◽  
Practical Utilization ◽  
Run Length ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Shift Detection

It is essential to monitor the mean of a process regarding quality characteristics for the ongoing production. For enhancement of mean monitoring power of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, a new median quartile double ranked set sampling (MQDRSS) based EWMA control chart is proposed and named as EWMA-MQDRSS chart. In order to study the performance of the developed EWMA-MQDRSS chart, performance measures; average run length, and the standard deviation of run length are used. The shift detection ability of the proposed chart has been compared with counterparts, under the simple random sampling and ranking based sampling techniques. The extensive simulation-based results indicate that the EWMA-MQDRSS chart performs better to trace all kinds of shifts than the existing charts. An illustrative application concerning monitoring the diameter of the piston ring of a machine is also provided to demonstrate the practical utilization of the suggested chart.

scholarly journals Statistical Design for Monitoring Process Mean of a Modified EWMA Control Chart based on Autocorrelated Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yadpirun SUPHARAKONSAKUN
Keyword(s):  
Explicit Formula ◽  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Run Length ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Autocorrelated Observations ◽  
Normally Distributed

From the principles of statistical process control, the observations are assumed to be identically and independently normally distributed, although this assumption is frequently untrue in practice. Therefore, control charts have been developed for monitoring and detecting data which are autocorrelated. Recently, a modified exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart has been introduced that is a correction of the EWMA statistic and is very effective for detecting small and abrupt changes in independent normally distributed or autocorrelated observations. In this study, the performance of a modified EWMA chart is investigated by examining the 2 sides of the exact average run length based on an explicit formula when the observations are from a general-order moving average process with exponential white noise. A performance comparison of the EWMA and the modified EWMA control charts is also presented. In addition, the performance of the modified and EWMA control charts is contrasted using Dow Jones composite average from a real-life dataset. The findings suggest that the modified EWMA control chart is more sensitive than the EWMA control chart for almost every case of the studied smoothing parameter and constant values of the control chart. HIGHLIGHTS Autocorrelation data is frequency untrue of assumption practice in time series data Modified EWMA is a new control chart that is effective for detecting change in independent normal distribution and autocorrelated observations The efficiency of the control chart is measured by average run length Explicit formula is easy to derive and provides the exact value of the average run length

The Enhanced EWMA Control Chart with Autocorrelation

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Umar Farouk ◽  
Ismail Mohamad
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Independence Assumption ◽  
Shewhart Control Charts ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Shewhart Control ◽  
Autocorrelated Data ◽  
The Given

Control charts are effective tool with regard to improving process quality and productivity, Shewhart control charts are efficiently good at detecting large shifts in a given process but very slow in detecting small and moderate shifts, such problem could be tackled through design of sensitizing rules. It has been observed that autocorrelation has an advert effect on the control charts developed under the independence assumption [1]. In this article a new EWMA control chart has been introduced with autocorrelation and some run rule schemes were introduced to enhanced the performance of the EWMA control chart when autocorrelated. The three-out-of three EWMA scheme and three-out-of- four EWMA schemes were introduced and the generated data with induced autocorrelation were used to construct the EWMA chart to sensitize the shifts presence.  Simulation of autocorrelated data were carried out for the proposed schemes which detects the shifts as soon as it occurs in the given process, the performance were evaluated using the ARL (average run length) and the results were compared with the published results of Steiner (1991) and the Saccucci (1990) which were designed for large, small and moderate shift. The results indicates that the proposed schemes are more sensitive to the shifts at ARL0=500, 300 and 200 with autocorrelation of 0.2, 0.5 and 0.9 considered in the study.

Design and Application of a Modified EWMA Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yadpirun Supharakonsakun ◽  
Yupaporn Areepong
Keyword(s):  
White Noise ◽  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Autoregressive Process ◽  
Process Mean ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Abrupt Shifts ◽  
Run Lengths

The modified exponentially weighted moving average (modified EWMA) control chart is an improvement on the performance of the standard EWMA control chart for detecting small and abrupt shifts in the process mean. In this study, the effect of varying the constant and exponential smoothing parameters for detecting shifts in the mean of an autoregressive process with exogenous variables (ARX(p,r)) with a trend and exponentially distributed white noise on the standard and modified EWMA control chart was investigated. The performances of the two control charts were compared via their average run lengths (ARLs) computed by using explicit formulas and the numerical integrated equation (NIE) technique. A comparative study of the two ARL methods on the modified and traditional EWMA control charts shows that the modified schemes had better detection ability at all levels of shift size. Finally, two examples using real datasets on gold and silver prices are given to illustrate the applicability of the proposed procedure. Our findings advocate that the modified EWMA chart is excellent for monitoring ARX(p,r) processes with exponentially distributed white noise

A MAGNITUDE-ROBUST CONTROL CHART FOR MONITORING AND ESTIMATING STEP CHANGES IN A POISSON RATE PARAMETER

2007 ◽  
Vol 14 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARCUS B. PERRY ◽  
JOSEPH J. PIGNATIELLO ◽  
JAMES R. SIMPSON
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Cusum Chart ◽  
Rate Parameter ◽  
Statistical Process ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Statistical Process Control Charts ◽  
Performance Results

Statistical process control charts are intended to assist operators in detecting process changes. If a process change does occur, the control chart should detect the change quickly. If the operator is provided with an estimate as to when the process changed, the search to find the special cause can be more easily facilitated. We investigate a process-monitoring tool for Poisson count data that quickly responds to process mean count rate changes regardless of the magnitude of the change, while supplying useful diagnostic information. A likelihood ratio approach was used to develop a control chart for a permanent step change in a Poisson process rate parameter. The average run length (ARL) performance of this chart is compared to that of several Poisson cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts. Our performance results show that the proposed chart performs better than any one CUSUM chart over a wide range of potential shift magnitudes. The proposed chart also provides maximum likelihood estimates of the time and the magnitude of the process shift. These crucial change point diagnostics can greatly enhance the special cause investigation.

An EWMA control chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic using repetitive sampling

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 711-728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Claude Malela-Majika ◽  
Olatunde Adebayo Adeoti ◽  
Eeva Rapoo
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Location Parameter ◽  
Process Mean ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Underlying Process ◽  
Run Length ◽  
Design And Implementation ◽  
Ewma Control Chart

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to develop an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum (WRS) statistic using repetitive sampling to improve the sensitivity of the EWMA control chart to process mean shifts regardless of the prior knowledge of the underlying process distribution. Design/methodology/approach The proposed chart is developed without any distributional assumption of the underlying quality process for monitoring the location parameter. The authors developed formulae as well as algorithms to facilitate the design and implementation of the proposed chart. The performance of the proposed chart is investigated in terms of the average run-length, standard deviation of the run-length (RL), average sample size and percentiles of the RL distribution. Numerical examples are given as illustration of the design and implementation of the proposed chart. Findings The proposed control chart presents very attractive RL properties and outperforms the existing nonparametric EWMA control chart based on the WRS in the detection of the mean process shifts in many situations. However, the performance of the proposed chart relatively deteriorates for small phase I sample sizes. Originality/value This study develops a new control chart for monitoring the process mean using a two-sample test regardless of the nature of the underlying process distribution. The proposed control chart does not require any assumption on the type (or nature) of the process distribution. It requires a small number of subgroups in order to reach stability in the phase II performance.

Design of a Variable Sampling Interval EWMA Median Control Chart

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (05) ◽  
pp. 1950021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim Phuc Tran ◽  
Philippe Castagliola ◽  
Thi Hien Nguyen ◽  
Anne Cuzol
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Sampling Interval ◽  
Performance Comparison ◽  
Variable Sampling Interval ◽  
Variable Sampling ◽  
Weighted Moving Average

In the literature, median type control charts have been widely investigated as easy and efficient means to monitor the process mean when observations are from a normal distribution. In this work, a Variable Sampling Interval (VSI) Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) median control chart is proposed and studied. The Markov chains are used to calculate the average run length to signal (ARL). A performance comparison with the original EWMA median control chart is made. The numerical results show that the proposed chart is considerably more effective as it is faster in detecting process shifts. Finally, the implementation of the proposed chart is illustrated with an example in food production process.

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