On Real-time Detecting Passenger Flow Anomalies

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Tang ◽  
Hongyin Tang ◽  
Xinzhou Dong ◽  
Beihong Jin ◽  
Tingjian Ge
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Passenger Flow

scholarly journals An LSTM-Based Method Considering History and Real-Time Data for Passenger Flow Prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 3788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Ouyang ◽  
Yongbo Lv ◽  
Jihui Ma ◽  
Jing Li
Keyword(s):  
Feature Extraction ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Information Coding ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Real Time Data

With the development of big data and deep learning, bus passenger flow prediction considering real-time data becomes possible. Real-time traffic flow prediction helps to grasp real-time passenger flow dynamics, provide early warning for a sudden passenger flow and data support for real-time bus plan changes, and improve the stability of urban transportation systems. To solve the problem of passenger flow prediction considering real-time data, this paper proposes a novel passenger flow prediction network model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The model includes four parts: feature extraction based on Xgboost model, information coding based on historical data, information coding based on real-time data, and decoding based on a multi-layer neural network. In the feature extraction part, the data dimension is increased by fusing bus data and points of interest to improve the number of parameters and model accuracy. In the historical information coding part, we use the date as the index in the LSTM structure to encode historical data and provide relevant information for prediction; in the real-time data coding part, the daily half-hour time interval is used as the index to encode real-time data and provide real-time prediction information; in the decoding part, the passenger flow data for the next two 30 min interval outputs by decoding all the information. To our best knowledge, it is the first time to real-time information has been taken into consideration in passenger flow prediction based on LSTM. The proposed model can achieve better accuracy compared to the LSTM and other baseline methods.

scholarly journals An Approach for Real-time Estimation of Railway Passenger Flow

2010 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoichi SUGIYAMA ◽  
Hiroshi MATSUBARA ◽  
Shuichi MYOJO ◽  
Kazuki TAMURA ◽  
Naoya OZAKI
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Real Time Estimation ◽  
Railway Passenger

scholarly journals Three Revised Kalman Filtering Models for Short-Term Rail Transit Passenger Flow Prediction

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengpeng Jiao ◽  
Ruimin Li ◽  
Tuo Sun ◽  
Zenghao Hou ◽  
Amir Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Nonparametric Regression ◽  
Kalman Filtering ◽  
Rail Transit ◽  
Correction Coefficient ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Transit System ◽  
Filtering Method ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Model Based

Short-term prediction of passenger flow is very important for the operation and management of a rail transit system. Based on the traditional Kalman filtering method, this paper puts forward three revised models for real-time passenger flow forecasting. First, the paper introduces the historical prediction error into the measurement equation and formulates a revised Kalman filtering model based on error correction coefficient (KF-ECC). Second, this paper employs the deviation between real-time passenger flow and corresponding historical data as state variable and presents a revised Kalman filtering model based on Historical Deviation (KF-HD). Third, the paper integrates nonparametric regression forecast into the traditional Kalman filtering method using a Bayesian combined technique and puts forward a revised Kalman filtering model based on Bayesian combination and nonparametric regression (KF-BCNR). A case study is implemented using statistical passenger flow data of rail transit line 13 in Beijing during a one-month period. The reported prediction results show that KF-ECC improves the applicability to historical trend, KF-HD achieves excellent accuracy and stability, and KF-BCNR yields the best performances. Comparisons among different periods further indicate that results during peak periods outperform those during nonpeak periods. All three revised models are accurate and stable enough for on-line predictions, especially during the peak periods.

scholarly journals A Comprehensive Comparative Analysis of the Basic Theory of the Short Term Bus Passenger Flow Prediction

Symmetry ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huawei Zhai ◽  
Licheng Cui ◽  
Yu Nie ◽  
Xiaowei Xu ◽  
Weishi Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Modeling Process ◽  
Automatic Passenger Counters ◽  
Public Transportation Systems

In order to meet the real-time public travel demands, the bus operators need to adjust the timetables in time. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the variations of the short-term passenger flow. Under the help of the advanced public transportation systems, a large amount of real-time data about passenger flow is collected from the automatic passenger counters, automatic fare collection systems, etc. Using these data, different kinds of methods are proposed to predict future variations of the short-term bus passenger flow. Based on the properties and background knowledge, these methods are classified into three categories: linear, nonlinear and combined methods. Their performances are evaluated in detail in the major aspects of the prediction accuracy, the complexity of training data structure and modeling process. For comparison, some long-term prediction methods are also analyzed simply. At last, it points that, with the help of automatic technology, a large amount of data about passenger flow will be collected, and using the big data technology to speed up the data preprocessing and modeling process may be one of the directions worthy of study in the future.

Real-Time Passenger Flow Anomaly Detection Considering Typical Time Series Clustered Characteristics at Metro Stations

2020 ◽  
Vol 146 (4) ◽  
pp. 04020015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinjing Gu ◽  
Zhibin Jiang ◽  
Wei “David” Fan ◽  
Jiameng Wu ◽  
Jingjing Chen
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Typical Time

Forecasting the Section Passenger Flow of the Subway Based on Exponential Smoothing

2013 ◽  
Vol 409-410 ◽  
pp. 1315-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Hui Wang ◽  
Jun Jin ◽  
Man Li
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Exponential Smoothing ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Big City ◽  
Network Operation ◽  
Check Error ◽  
Beijing Subway

Facing the typical big city is into the network operation ,currently, it brings some difficulties without the section traffic data obtained in real time to monitor and limit measures. To solve the problem, this paper adopts the second exponential smoothing models based on the historical data at the same period, and forecasts the subway section passenger flow. In this paper, the data is collected a section traffic in Beijing Subway from every Monday to every Friday in March 2013, and the former periods are used as the sample data, and predicts the last day, and compares them with the known data to check error. The result shows the method has a strong practical utility.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document