Forecasting the Section Passenger Flow of the Subway Based on Exponential Smoothing

2013 ◽  
Vol 409-410 ◽  
pp. 1315-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Hui Wang ◽  
Jun Jin ◽  
Man Li
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Exponential Smoothing ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Big City ◽  
Network Operation ◽  
Check Error ◽  
Beijing Subway

Facing the typical big city is into the network operation ,currently, it brings some difficulties without the section traffic data obtained in real time to monitor and limit measures. To solve the problem, this paper adopts the second exponential smoothing models based on the historical data at the same period, and forecasts the subway section passenger flow. In this paper, the data is collected a section traffic in Beijing Subway from every Monday to every Friday in March 2013, and the former periods are used as the sample data, and predicts the last day, and compares them with the known data to check error. The result shows the method has a strong practical utility.

scholarly journals An LSTM-Based Method Considering History and Real-Time Data for Passenger Flow Prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 3788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Ouyang ◽  
Yongbo Lv ◽  
Jihui Ma ◽  
Jing Li
Keyword(s):  
Feature Extraction ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Information Coding ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Real Time Data

With the development of big data and deep learning, bus passenger flow prediction considering real-time data becomes possible. Real-time traffic flow prediction helps to grasp real-time passenger flow dynamics, provide early warning for a sudden passenger flow and data support for real-time bus plan changes, and improve the stability of urban transportation systems. To solve the problem of passenger flow prediction considering real-time data, this paper proposes a novel passenger flow prediction network model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The model includes four parts: feature extraction based on Xgboost model, information coding based on historical data, information coding based on real-time data, and decoding based on a multi-layer neural network. In the feature extraction part, the data dimension is increased by fusing bus data and points of interest to improve the number of parameters and model accuracy. In the historical information coding part, we use the date as the index in the LSTM structure to encode historical data and provide relevant information for prediction; in the real-time data coding part, the daily half-hour time interval is used as the index to encode real-time data and provide real-time prediction information; in the decoding part, the passenger flow data for the next two 30 min interval outputs by decoding all the information. To our best knowledge, it is the first time to real-time information has been taken into consideration in passenger flow prediction based on LSTM. The proposed model can achieve better accuracy compared to the LSTM and other baseline methods.

scholarly journals An Approach for Real-time Estimation of Railway Passenger Flow

2010 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoichi SUGIYAMA ◽  
Hiroshi MATSUBARA ◽  
Shuichi MYOJO ◽  
Kazuki TAMURA ◽  
Naoya OZAKI
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Real Time Estimation ◽  
Railway Passenger

scholarly journals Advertisement Click-Through Rate Prediction Based on the Weighted-ELM and Adaboost Algorithm

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Zhang ◽  
Qiang Fu ◽  
Wendong Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
User Profile ◽  
Imbalanced Learning ◽  
Sample Distribution ◽  
The Real ◽  
Adaboost Algorithm ◽  
Click Through Rate ◽  
Prediction Approach

Accurate click-through rate (CTR) prediction can not only improve the advertisement company’s reputation and revenue, but also help the advertisers to optimize the advertising performance. There are two main unsolved problems of the CTR prediction: low prediction accuracy due to the imbalanced distribution of the advertising data and the lack of the real-time advertisement bidding implementation. In this paper, we will develop a novel online CTR prediction approach by incorporating the real-time bidding (RTB) advertising by the following strategies: user profile system is constructed from the historical data of the RTB advertising to describe the user features, the historical CTR features, the ID features, and the other numerical features. A novel CTR prediction approach is presented to address the imbalanced learning sample distribution by integrating the Weighted-ELM (WELM) and the Adaboost algorithm. Compared to the commonly used algorithms, the proposed approach can improve the CTR significantly.

Crash risk analysis during fog conditions using real-time traffic data

2018 ◽  
Vol 114 ◽  
pp. 4-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yina Wu ◽  
Mohamed Abdel-Aty ◽  
Jaeyoung Lee
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Real Time Traffic

Improved Fuzzy FCM-LI Algorithm

2013 ◽  
Vol 765-767 ◽  
pp. 670-673
Author(s):  
Li Bo Hou
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Clustering Algorithm ◽  
Feature Analysis ◽  
Cluster Center ◽  
High Dimensional ◽  
Fuzzy C Means ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Fuzzy C Means Clustering ◽  
Fcm Clustering ◽  
Np Hard Problem

Fuzzy C-means (FCM) clustering algorithm is one of the widely applied algorithms in non-supervision of pattern recognition. However, FCM algorithm in the iterative process requires a lot of calculations, especially when feature vectors has high-dimensional, Use clustering algorithm to sub-heap, not only inefficient, but also may lead to "the curse of dimensionality." For the problem, This paper analyzes the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm in high dimensional feature of the process, the problem of cluster center is an np-hard problem, In order to improve the effectiveness and Real-time of fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm in high dimensional feature analysis, Combination of landmark isometric (L-ISOMAP) algorithm, Proposed improved algorithm FCM-LI. Preliminary analysis of the samples, Use clustering results and the correlation of sample data, using landmark isometric (L-ISOMAP) algorithm to reduce the dimension, further analysis on the basis, obtained the final results. Finally, experimental results show that the effectiveness and Real-time of FCM-LI algorithm in high dimensional feature analysis.

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