scholarly journals Stock Trend Prediction Algorithm Based on Deep Recurrent Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Ruochen Lu ◽  
Muchao Lu

With the return of deep learning methods to the public eye, more and more scholars and industry researchers have tried to start exploring the possibility of neural networks to solve the problem, and some progress has been made. However, although neural networks have powerful function fitting ability, they are often criticized for their lack of explanatory power. Due to the large number of parameters and complex structure of neural network models, academics are unable to explain the predictive logic of most neural networks, test the significance of model parameters, and summarize the laws that humans can understand and use. Inspired by the technical analysis theory in the field of stock investment, this paper selects neural network models with different characteristics and extracts effective feature combinations from short-term stock price fluctuation data. In addition, on the basis of ensuring that the prediction effect of the model is not lower than that of the mainstream models, this paper uses the attention mechanism to further explore the predictive K -line patterns, which summarizes usable judgment experience for human researchers on the one hand and explains the prediction logic of the hybrid neural network on the other. Experiments show that the classification effect is better using this model, and the investor sentiment is obtained more accurately, and the accuracy rate can reach 85%, which lays the foundation for the establishment of the whole stock trend prediction model. In terms of explaining the prediction logic of the model, it is experimentally demonstrated that the K -line patterns mined using the attention mechanism have more significant predictive power than the general K -line patterns, and this result explains the prediction basis of the hybrid neural network.

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (11) ◽  
pp. 216-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongheng Zhang ◽  
◽  
Marcus W. Beck ◽  
David A. Winkler ◽  
Bin Huang ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-29
Author(s):  
Zhe Chu ◽  
Mengkai Hu ◽  
Xiangyu Chen

Recently, deep learning has been successfully applied to robotic grasp detection. Based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs), there have been lots of end-to-end detection approaches. But end-to-end approaches have strict requirements for the dataset used for training the neural network models and it’s hard to achieve in practical use. Therefore, we proposed a two-stage approach using particle swarm optimizer (PSO) candidate estimator and CNN to detect the most likely grasp. Our approach achieved an accuracy of 92.8% on the Cornell Grasp Dataset, which leaped into the front ranks of the existing approaches and is able to run at real-time speeds. After a small change of the approach, we can predict multiple grasps per object in the meantime so that an object can be grasped in a variety of ways.


10.14311/1121 ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Chvalina

This article analyses the existing possibilities for using Standard Statistical Methods and Artificial Intelligence Methods for a short-term forecast and simulation of demand in the field of telecommunications. The most widespread methods are based on Time Series Analysis. Nowadays, approaches based on Artificial Intelligence Methods, including Neural Networks, are booming. Separate approaches will be used in the study of Demand Modelling in Telecommunications, and the results of these models will be compared with actual guaranteed values. Then we will examine the quality of Neural Network models. 


Author(s):  
Ming Zhang

Real world financial data is often discontinuous and non-smooth. Accuracy will be a problem, if we attempt to use neural networks to simulate such functions. Neural network group models can perform this function with more accuracy. Both Polynomial Higher Order Neural Network Group (PHONNG) and Trigonometric polynomial Higher Order Neural Network Group (THONNG) models are studied in this chapter. These PHONNG and THONNG models are open box, convergent models capable of approximating any kind of piecewise continuous function to any degree of accuracy. Moreover, they are capable of handling higher frequency, higher order nonlinear, and discontinuous data. Results obtained using Polynomial Higher Order Neural Network Group and Trigonometric polynomial Higher Order Neural Network Group financial simulators are presented, which confirm that PHONNG and THONNG group models converge without difficulty, and are considerably more accurate (0.7542% - 1.0715%) than neural network models such as using Polynomial Higher Order Neural Network (PHONN) and Trigonometric polynomial Higher Order Neural Network (THONN) models.


Author(s):  
Joarder Kamruzzaman ◽  
Ruhul Sarker

The primary aim of this chapter is to present an overview of the artificial neural network basics and operation, architectures, and the major algorithms used for training the neural network models. As can be seen in subsequent chapters, neural networks have made many useful contributions to solve theoretical and practical problems in finance and manufacturing areas. The secondary aim here is therefore to provide a brief review of artificial neural network applications in finance and manufacturing areas.


This chapter develops two new nonlinear artificial higher order neural network models. They are sine and sine higher order neural networks (SIN-HONN) and cosine and cosine higher order neural networks (COS-HONN). Financial data prediction using SIN-HONN and COS-HONN models are tested. Results show that SIN-HONN and COS-HONN models are good models for some sine feature only or cosine feature only financial data simulation and prediction compared with polynomial higher order neural network (PHONN) and trigonometric higher order neural network (THONN) models.


Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Julio Cesar Monica ◽  
Daniela Sanchez ◽  
Oscar Castillo

In this paper, a multiple ensemble neural network model with fuzzy response aggregation for the COVID-19 time series is presented. Ensemble neural networks are composed of a set of modules, which are used to produce several predictions under different conditions. The modules are simple neural networks. Fuzzy logic is then used to aggregate the responses of several predictor modules, in this way, improving the final prediction by combining the outputs of the modules in an intelligent way. Fuzzy logic handles the uncertainty in the process of making a final decision about the prediction. The complete model was tested for the case of predicting the COVID-19 time series in Mexico, at the level of the states and the whole country. The simulation results of the multiple ensemble neural network models with fuzzy response integration show very good predicted values in the validation data set. In fact, the prediction errors of the multiple ensemble neural networks are significantly lower than using traditional monolithic neural networks, in this way showing the advantages of the proposed approach.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alec Wright ◽  
Eero-Pekka Damskägg ◽  
Lauri Juvela ◽  
Vesa Välimäki

This article investigates the use of deep neural networks for black-box modelling of audio distortion circuits, such as guitar amplifiers and distortion pedals. Both a feedforward network, based on the WaveNet model, and a recurrent neural network model are compared. To determine a suitable hyperparameter configuration for the WaveNet, models of three popular audio distortion pedals were created: the Ibanez Tube Screamer, the Boss DS-1, and the Electro-Harmonix Big Muff Pi. It is also shown that three minutes of audio data is sufficient for training the neural network models. Real-time implementations of the neural networks were used to measure their computational load. To further validate the results, models of two valve amplifiers, the Blackstar HT-5 Metal and the Mesa Boogie 5:50 Plus, were created, and subjective tests were conducted. The listening test results show that the models of the first amplifier could be identified as different from the reference, but the sound quality of the best models was judged to be excellent. In the case of the second guitar amplifier, many listeners were unable to hear the difference between the reference signal and the signals produced with the two largest neural network models. This study demonstrates that the neural network models can convincingly emulate highly nonlinear audio distortion circuits, whilst running in real-time, with some models requiring only a relatively small amount of processing power to run on a modern desktop computer.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document