SOM-BP Neural Network-Based Financial Early-Warning for Listed Companies

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 6860-6866 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Hong ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Bai Qianling ◽  
Xiaowei Mu

To prevent and reduce corporate financial risks, this paper builds a financial early-warning model for listed companies based on a combination of SOM and BP neural networks focusing on short-term financial forecasting and monitoring. Firstly, SOM network is utilized to allow self-modification of unit connection weights according to the feature information of input data and enable the weight vector distribution to be similar to the distribution of sample data, thereby obtaining relatively optimal training samples among all training samples. Then, a short-term financial early-warning monitoring model is created through iterative BP training with the relatively optimal samples extracted as the input information of the BP neural network model. The results show that the proposed financial earlywarning system has higher recognition accuracy than the direct use of Logistic model, BP model or SVM model in term of short-term forecasting and monitoring. Furthermore, our model requires less amount of data while ensuring the validity. Therefore, it can monitor financial crises in real time for listed companies, so as to effectively prevent and resolve their financial risks and crises.

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 1717
Author(s):  
Wanxing Ma ◽  
Zhimin Chen ◽  
Qing Zhu

With the fast expansion of renewable energy systems during recent years, the stability and quality of smart grids using solar energy have been challenged because of the intermittency and fluctuations. Hence, forecasting photo-voltaic (PV) power generation is essential in facilitating planning and managing electricity generation and distribution. In this paper, the ultra-short-term forecasting method for solar PV power generation is investigated. Subsequently, we proposed a radial basis function (RBF)-based neural network. Additionally, to improve the network generalization ability and reduce the training time, the numbers of hidden layer neurons are limited. The input of neural network is selected as the one with higher Spearman correlation among the predicted power features. The data are normalized and the expansion parameter of RBF neurons are adjusted continuously in order to reduce the calculation errors and improve the forecasting accuracy. Numerous simulations are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed forecasting method. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the testing set is within 10%, which show that the power values of the following 15 min. can be predicted accurately. The simulation results verify that our method shows better performance than other existing works.


2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 576-585 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Tabari ◽  
P. Hosseinzadeh Talaee ◽  
Patrick Willems

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document