scholarly journals Annual Hazard Rates of Recurrence for Breast Cancer During 24 Years of Follow-Up: Results From the International Breast Cancer Study Group Trials I to V

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (9) ◽  
pp. 927-935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Colleoni ◽  
Zhuoxin Sun ◽  
Karen N. Price ◽  
Per Karlsson ◽  
John F. Forbes ◽  
...  

Purpose Predicting the pattern of recurrence can aid in the development of targeted surveillance and treatment strategies. We identified patient populations that remain at risk for an event at a median follow-up of 24 years from the diagnosis of operable breast cancer. Patients and Methods International Breast Cancer Study Group clinical trials I to V randomly assigned 4,105 patients between 1978 and 1985. Annualized hazards were estimated for breast cancer–free interval (primary end point), disease-free survival, and overall survival. Results For the entire group, the annualized hazard of recurrence was highest during the first 5 years (10.4%), with a peak between years 1 and 2 (15.2%). During the first 5 years, patients with estrogen receptor (ER) – positive disease had a lower annualized hazard compared with those with ER-negative disease (9.9% v 11.5%; P = .01). However, beyond 5 years, patients with ER-positive disease had higher hazards (5 to 10 years: 5.4% v 3.3%; 10 to 15 years: 2.9% v 1.3%; 15 to 20 years: 2.8% v 1.2%; and 20 to 25 years: 1.3% v 1.4%; P < .001). Among patients with ER-positive disease, annualized hazards of recurrence remained elevated and fairly stable beyond 10 years, even for those with no axillary involvement (2.0%, 2.1%, and 1.1% for years 10 to 15, 15 to 20, and 20 to 25, respectively) and for those with one to three positive nodes (3.0%, 3.5%, and 1.5%, respectively). Conclusion Patients with ER-positive breast cancer maintain a significant recurrence rate during extended follow up. Strategies for follow up and treatments to prevent recurrences may be most efficiently applied and studied in patients with ER-positive disease followed for a long period of time.

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (9) ◽  
pp. 1332-1341 ◽  

Purpose The value of adjuvant tamoxifen after chemotherapy for premenopausal women with breast cancer has not been adequately assessed. Patients and Methods Between 1993 and 1999, International Breast Cancer Study Group Trial 13-93 enrolled 1,246 assessable premenopausal women with axillary node-positive, operable breast cancer. All patients received chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide plus either doxorubicin or epirubicin for four courses followed by immediate or delayed classical cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil for three courses), which was followed by either tamoxifen (20 mg daily) for 5 years or no further treatment. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS). Tumors were classified as estrogen receptor (ER) -positive (n = 735, 59%) if immunohistochemical (IHC) or ligand-binding assays (LBA) were clearly positive. The ER-negative group included all other tumors (n = 511, 41%). A subset of the ER-negative group was defined as ER absent (n = 108, 9%) if IHC staining was none or if the LBA result was 0 fmol/mg cytosol protein. The median follow-up time was 7 years. Results Tamoxifen improved DFS in the ER-positive cohort (hazard ratio [HR] for tamoxifen v no tamoxifen = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.75; P < .0001) but not in the ER-negative cohort (HR = 1.02; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.35; P = .89). Tamoxifen had a detrimental effect on patients with ER-absent tumors compared with no tamoxifen in an unplanned exploratory analysis (HR = 2.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 4.29; P = .04). Patients with ER-positive tumors who achieved chemotherapy-induced amenorrhea had a significantly improved outcome (HR for amenorrhea v no amenorrhea = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.86; P = .004), whether or not they received tamoxifen. Conclusion Tamoxifen after adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved treatment outcome in premenopausal patients with endocrine-responsive disease, but its use as adjuvant therapy for patients with ER-negative tumors is not recommended.


1994 ◽  
Vol 5 (8) ◽  
pp. 717-724 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Castiglione-Gertsch ◽  
C. Johnsen ◽  
A. Goldhirsch ◽  
R.D. Gelber ◽  
C.M. Rudenstam ◽  
...  

1994 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 2086-2093 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Schumacher ◽  
G Bastert ◽  
H Bojar ◽  
K Hübner ◽  
M Olschewski ◽  
...  

PURPOSE In 1984, the German Breast Cancer Study Group (GBSG) started a multicenter randomized clinical trial to compare the effectiveness of three versus six cycles of 500 mg/m2 cyclophosphamide, 40 mg/m2 methotrexate, and 600 mg/m2 fluorouracil (CMF) on day 1 and 8 starting perioperatively with or without tamoxifen (TAM) (3 x 10 mg/d for 2 years). The aim of the trial was to compare recurrence-free and overall survival between the different treatment modalities. PATIENTS AND METHODS During 5 years, 41 institutions randomized 473 patients (3 x CMF: 145; 3 x CMF + TAM: 93; 6 x CMF 144; 6 x CMF + TAM: 91). Until March 31, 1992, median follow-up time was 56 months with 197 events for disease-free survival and 116 deaths observed. This provides a power of approximately 80% to detect a potential treatment difference corresponding to a relative risk (RR) of 0.67 for recurrence-free survival. Treatment modalities and various patient characteristics were evaluated by means of a multivariate Cox regression analysis. RESULTS No significant difference in recurrence-free survival was observed with respect to hormonal therapy (RR = 0.75 TAM v no TAM; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54 to 1.04; P = .08) as well as duration of chemotherapy (RR = 0.90 of 6 x CMF v 3 x CMF; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.19; P = .45). Similar results were obtained for overall survival. The multivariate analysis revealed a significant prognostic impact of the number of positive lymph nodes and the progesterone receptor level on recurrence-free survival. Compliance with chemotherapy within the range of 85% to 115% of the target dose was achieved in 94% and 78% of the patients randomized to 3 x CMF and 6 x CMF, respectively. Sufficient compliance with TAM was reported for 141 patients (93%). CONCLUSION At this stage of follow-up, six courses of CMF are not superior to three courses with respect to recurrence-free survival.


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