Reversing the Friday peak in metastatic cord compression referrals: Not as simple as previously thought?

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14050-e14050
Author(s):  
Olusola Michael Adeleke ◽  
Rubyyat A Hakim ◽  
Laurence Dean ◽  
Huma Zahid ◽  
Rongyu Lin ◽  
...  

e14050 Background: Historically, metastatic spinal cord compression (MSCC) referrals trend towards a Friday peak in incidence (Koiter E, Radioth Onc 2013). However, data from a single, tertiary centre in the UK showed a reversal in the Friday peak (Adeleke S, Annals of Oncology 2020). This was attributed to early case referrals and quicker treatment decisions. In this new study, we explored whether a similar pattern was apparent in multiple district general hospital (DGH) settings and attempt to identify underlying causes. DGHs manage a larger proportion of cancer patients in the UK. Methods: 1,069 patients between 1 Jan 2015 and 31 Dec 2020 were identified across 4 hospitals in Kent, UK with a population of 1.6 million people. 220, 181, 182, 159, 134 and 193 MSCC patients were identified annually (2015-2020). Commonest cancers were prostate (24.1%), lung (19.3%) and breast (12.3%). Thoracic and lumbar regions constituted 80% of MSCC sites. Kruskal Wallis was used to compare differences in referrals across weekdays. Data was then dichotomised to Fridays only vs. other days of the week combined, as previously reported (De Bono B, Acta Neurochir 2019). Chi squared was used to compare frequency of referrals between the two groups. Chi squared goodness of fit test was conducted to detect if Friday reflected the day with highest referrals across the week. Results: Across the region, 2015 saw the highest number of Friday referrals relative to other days, p= 0.002. Friday referrals continued to drop, year on year, until 2018 with a corresponding increase in mid-week referrals. After 2018, there was a return in trend to a further Friday peak across the region, though p= 0.836. On an individual hospital basis, the persistent Friday peak in the region was driven by two hospitals. Having a 7-day acute oncology service (AOS), 7-day radiology reporting and single referral point of contact in the department, were factors identified that kept the referrals across the week uniform. On another note, a substantial shift towards a single 8Gy fraction vs. 20Gy in 5 fractions was observed across the region. This change coincided with SCORAD III data (Hoskin P, ASCO 2017) and demonstrates adherence to evidence-based practice in the region. Conclusions: This large multi-centre retrospective study shows a differential referral pattern in the region, with hospitals with 7-day AOS/Radiology reporting and single point of referral (e.g, similar to MSCC coordinator role) having a quicker treatment turnaround and uniform referrals across the week. The MSCC coordinator has been shown to streamline service, ensure timely decision-making and improved survival outcomes (Richards L, Spine J 2017). The role is recommended by NICE UK. DGHs should consider appointing an MSCC coordinator when designing/auditing their service. The shift towards single 8Gy fraction can provide a ‘one-stop’ service where patients are scanned, planned and treated on the same day.

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 269-279
Author(s):  
Obade Mary ◽  
Reilly John

Childhood obesity is becoming an alarming global health problem. However, the prevalence of overweight and obesity in most developing countries remain unknown due to limited data. This study aimed at assessing the prevalence of childhood obesity and underweight among Kenyan children using the internationally recommended BMI definition and to establish any association between childhood obesity and risk factors. The study addressed the following research questions; what Kenyan data are available to estimate prevalence of childhood obesity and underweight?; how has prevalence changed over time?; what do Kenyan data tell us in terms of prevalence and risk factors for obesity and underweight?; how does prevalence differ between different definitions of obesity. We used both the International Obesity Task Force (IOTF) BMI and the UK BMI definitions. Data were derived from the 1993 and 1998 Kenya Demographic and Health Surveys. The Kenya 1993 survey included 2979 subjects aged 24 to 59 months and the 1998 survey had 925 subjects aged 24 to 35 months. Differences between observed and expected prevalence for underweight, overweight and obesity relative to the UK 1990 BMI reference data were tested for significance by Chi-Squared Goodness of–fit–Test. The prevalence of underweight was significantly higher than expected relative to UK 1990 BMI definition for both 1993 and 1998 surveys. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of overweight among Kenyan children for 1993 and 1998 relative to both UK 1990 BMI and IOTF BMI definitions. There was no significant difference in obesity prevalence relative to UK 1990 and IOTF BMI definitions between 1993 and 1998 surveys (Chi-Squared Tests, P > 0.1). Both obesity and underweight co-exist among Kenyan children.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_6) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Wall ◽  
R Maguire ◽  
T Plotkin ◽  
M Kowal ◽  
A Peckham-Cooper

Abstract Aim COVID-19 has changed how surgical admissions are triaged and treated. This retrospective cohort study aims to detail the effects of a national lockdown on emergency general surgical referrals at a tertiary centre. Method A retrospective search identified all emergency general surgery referrals prior to and during the UK national lockdown. Pre (10-23 Feb 2020;PLG) and intra-lockdown (30 Mar-12 Apr 2020;ILG) groups were compared using descriptive statistics and significance was quantified with Chi-squared. Results 600 patients were included of which 426 (71%) presented in the PLG. The PLG had proportionally fewer ED referrals (40.8%vs.51.1%, p = 0.02) and less cross-sectional imaging performed (31.5%vs.40.8%, p = 0.03). There was a significant reduction in non-specific abdominal pain (NSAP) during lockdown (25.12%vs.14.94%, p = 0.007). GP referrals (48.8%vs.46.6%, p = 0.61), admission (46.2%vs.44.8%, p = 0.09) and operative intervention (21.4% vs.17.24%, p = 0.25) showed no disparity. Conclusions Predictably, the advent of lockdown resulted in a reduction in hospital attendance and surgical referrals. Our data showed a similar proportion of referred patients admitted pre- and intra-lockdown despite a reduction in absolute terms. This may be due to a trend towards later presentation coupled with a focus on conservative management and prevention of admission. The decrease in NSAP raises questions that require further exploration. Cross-sectional imaging was used more freely as an adjunct in the ILG suggesting increasing acuity and delayed presentation or may result from a tendency towards image-guided discharge. Admissions have since trended towards pre-lockdown levels, but it is yet to be seen if a reduction in elective operating will lead to an increase in emergency admissions.


Biometrika ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 106 (3) ◽  
pp. 716-723
Author(s):  
Mengyu Xu ◽  
Danna Zhang ◽  
Wei Biao Wu

Summary We establish an approximation theory for Pearson’s chi-squared statistics in situations where the number of cells is large, by using a high-dimensional central limit theorem for quadratic forms of random vectors. Our high-dimensional central limit theorem is proved under Lyapunov-type conditions that involve a delicate interplay between the dimension, the sample size, and the moment conditions. We propose a modified chi-squared statistic and introduce an adjusted degrees of freedom. A simulation study shows that the modified statistic outperforms Pearson’s chi-squared statistic in terms of both size accuracy and power. Our procedure is applied to the construction of a goodness-of-fit test for Rutherford’s alpha-particle data.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document