Conditional progression-free survival in men on active surveillance for prostate cancer stratified by NCCN risk.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 222-222
Author(s):  
Andrew Gusev ◽  
Florian Rumpf ◽  
Keyan Salari ◽  
Jeffrey Twum-Ampofo ◽  
Matthew F Wszolek ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Conditional Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Grade Progression

222 Background: Active surveillance (AS) is an accepted management strategy for men with very low, low, and select cases of favorable intermediate National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk prostate cancer (PCa). However, how patients’ risk of disease progression evolves over time during AS has not been well defined. Conditional survival measures the probability a patient will continue to survive some number of years, given that they have already survived a certain number without progression. We evaluated our AS cohort to investigate overall and conditional progression free survival on AS, stratified by the NCCN risk groups. Methods: We reviewed our institutional database of 1254 men enrolled in AS for localized PCa from 1996-2016. Our AS protocol includes prostate specific antigen (PSA) and digital rectal exam (DRE) every 4-6 months for 3 years, then annually. Mandatory confirmatory 12 core biopsy is done at 12-18 months. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imagining (mpMRI) or additional systematic or MRI-fusion biopsies are done at the discretion of physician and patient. Overall freedom from pathologic grade progression on follow-up biopsy and treatment free survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival curves were compared pairwise using the Log-rank test and adjusted for false discovery rates with the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. Three-year conditional survival estimates were derived for both outcomes from the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Results: Of 1254 men, 521 (41.6%) met criteria for very low, 606 (48.4%) for low, and 125 (10.0%) for favorable intermediate NCCN risk at diagnosis. Median follow-up time was 6.5 years (IQR 4.1-9.4). Median pathologic grade progression free survival in years was significantly longer for very low risk (7.8, 95% CI 6.8-11.2) compared to low risk men (5.6, 95% CI 4.7-6.9), however neither was significantly different from favorable intermediate risk men (5.9). There was no significant difference in treatment free survival between the three risk groups. At diagnosis, the three-year risk for pathologic grade progression (24%, 95% CI 21-27%) and progression to treatment (22%, 95% CI 20-25%) were similar. However, with increasing time of event-free AS, the conditional probability of pathologic grade progression increased, while that of progression to treatment decreased. Conclusions: Our results demonstrate that despite a mild increase in pathologic progression free survival in very low risk men, there was no clear difference in overall treatment free survival between very low, low, and select favorable intermediate NCCN risk men. Further, with increased time spent on AS, despite elevated rates of pathologic progression, patient progression to treatment decreased. This trend may be indicative of changes in goals of care as men with PCa age and should be closely monitored during AS.

scholarly journals A novel predictor of clinical progression in patients on active surveillance for prostate cancer

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guan Hee Tan ◽  
Antonio Finelli ◽  
Ardalan Ahmad ◽  
Marian Wettstein ◽  
Alexandre Zlotta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Roc Curves ◽  
Standard Of Care ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Clinical Progression

Introduction: Active surveillance (AS) is standard of care in low-risk prostate cancer (PC). This study describes a novel total cancer location (TCLo) density metric and aims to determine its performance in predicting clinical progression (CP) and grade progression (GP).     Methods: This was a retrospective study of patients on AS after confirmatory biopsy (CBx). We excluded patients with Gleason ≥7 at CBx and <2 years follow-up. TCLo was the number of locations with positive cores at diagnosis (DBx) and CBx. TCLo density was TCLo / prostate volume (PV). CP was progression to any active treatment while GP occurred if Gleason ≥7 was identified on repeat biopsy or surgical pathology. Independent predictors of time to CP or GP were estimated with Cox regression. Kaplan-Meier analysis compared progression-free survival curves between TCLo density groups. Test characteristics of TCLo were explored with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.     Results: We included 181 patients who had CBx between 2012-2015, and met inclusion criteria. The mean age of patients was 62.58 years (SD=7.13) and median follow-up was 60.9 months (IQR=23.4). A high TCLo density score (>0.05) was independently associated with time to CP (HR 4.70, 95% CI: 2.62-8.42, p<0.001), and GP (HR 3.85, 95% CI: 1.91-7.73, p<0.001). ROC curves showed TCLo density has greater area under the curve than number of positive cores at CBx in predicting progression.     Conclusion: TCLo density is able to stratify patients on AS for risk of CP and GP. With further validation, it could be added to the decision-making algorithm in AS for low-risk localized PC.

173 PROGRESSION FREE SURVIVAL IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCREASING PERCENTAGE OF BENIGN BIOPSIES DURING ACTIVE SURVEILLANCE FOR LOW RISK PROSTATE CANCER

2012 ◽  
Vol 187 (4S) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey Mullins ◽  
Patricia Landis ◽  
Jonathan Epstein ◽  
Ballentine Carter
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Low Risk Prostate Cancer

Expanded criteria in men on active surveillance monitored by MRI-TRUS fusion biopsy.

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. 115-115
Author(s):  
Thomas P Frye ◽  
Steven F. Abboud ◽  
Richard Ho ◽  
Michele Fascelli ◽  
Raju Chelluri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Guided Biopsy ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Expanded Criteria ◽  
Clinically Significant

115 Background: Active surveillance (AS) is an established option for men with prostate cancer. Studies have shown that multiparametric-MRI along with MRI-TRUS fusion-guided biopsy (FB) may better assess risk in patients eligible for AS, compared to 12-core biopsy, due to improved detection of clinically significant cancers. The objective is to evaluate the performance of expanded criteria eligibility in men on AS being monitored with MRI-TRUS guided biopsy. Methods: Men on AS were included if they had mp-MRI and pathology data for 2 or more FB sessions. FB procedures consisted of targeted biopsies and random 12 core biopsies. Men participated in AS with low and intermediate risk prostate cancer, Gleason score ≤ 3+4=7 with no restriction on percent core involvement or number of cores positive. Progression was defined by patients with initial Gleason 3+3=6 to any Gleason 4, and Gleason 3+4=7 disease progressing to a primary Gleason 4 or higher. Results: 124 men on AS met study criteria. Low risk men had a mean age of 61.3 years versus intermediate risk men with a mean age of 65.5 years (p=0.0062). Mean PSA levels of the low and intermediate risk groups were 5.8 and 5.76 ng/ml (p=0.95), respectively. The mean length of follow-up was 22.56 months (range: 3.6 – 74.4 mo). Rates of pathologic progression in the intermediate and low risk patients were, 38.5% vs. 28.5% (p=0.33). Intermediate risk men had a mean progression-free survival (PFS) of 2.8 years compared to low risk men of 3.9 years (p=0.27). Patients were stratified according to established AS criteria (Epstein, Toronto, PRIAS) and rates of progression are summarized in the Table. 69% of patients met Epstein criteria for AS of which 29.4% (20/68) progressed compared to 28.5% for the low risk cohort overall. Conclusions: Men in our cohort who met strict criteria for AS had the same rate of progression as the entire expaned criteria low risk cohort, 29.4% vs 28.5%, respectively. Our data suggests that with accurate initial Gleason classification other AS criteria such as percent core or number of cores positive have no added benefit in predicting which men may have reclassification or progression of disease. [Table: see text]

Active Surveillance for Incidental (cT1a/b) Prostate Cancer: Long-Term Outcomes of the Prospective Noninterventional HAROW Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Jan Herden ◽  
Andreas Schwarte ◽  
Edith A. Boedefeld ◽  
Lothar Weissbach
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Invasive Treatment ◽  
Incidental Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Optimal treatment for incidental prostate cancer (IPC) after surgical treatment for benign prostate obstruction is still debatable. We report on long-term outcomes of IPC patients managed with active surveillance (AS) in a German multicenter study. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> HAROW (2008–2013) was designed as a noninterventional, prospective, health-service research study for patients with localized prostate cancer (≤cT2), including patients with IPC (cT1a/b). A follow-up examination of all patients treated with AS was carried out. Overall, cancer-specific, and metastasis-free survival and discontinuation rates were determined. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Of 210 IPC patients, 68 opted for AS and were available for evaluation. Fifty-four patients had cT1a category and 14 cT1b category. Median follow-up was 7.7 years (IQR: 5.7–9.1). Eight patients died of which 6 were still under AS or watchful waiting (WW). No PCa-specific death could be observed. One patient developed metastasis. Twenty-three patients (33.8%) discontinued AS changing to invasive treatment: 12 chose radical prostatectomy, 7 radiotherapy, and 4 hormonal treatment. Another 19 patients switched to WW. The Kaplan-Meier estimated 10-year overall, cancer-specific, metastasis-free, and intervention-free survival was 83.8% (95% CI: 72.2–95.3), 100%, 98.4% (95% CI: 95.3–99.9), and 61.0% (95% CI: 47.7–74.3), respectively. In multivariable analysis, age (RR: 0.97; <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), PSA density ≥0.2 ng/mL<sup>2</sup> (RR: 13.23; <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), and PSA ≥1.0 ng/mL after surgery (RR: 5.19; <i>p</i> = 0.016) were significantly predictive for receiving an invasive treatment. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> In comparison with other AS series with a general low-risk prostate cancer population, our study confirmed the promising survival outcomes for IPC patients, whereas discontinuation rates seem to be lower for IPC. Thus, IPC patients at low risk of progression may be good candidates for AS.

Cautionary tale of active surveillance in intermediate-risk patients: Overall and cause-specific survival in the Sunnybrook experience.

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 163-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hima Bindu Musunuru ◽  
Laurence Klotz ◽  
Danny Vespirini ◽  
Liying Zhang ◽  
Alexandre Mamedov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
P Value ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Cause Specific Survival

163 Background: To document the long-term outcomes of intermediate risk (IR) prostate cancer patients managed on active surveillance (AS) protocol in a single institute. Methods: Patients(pts) with PSA >10ng/ml or Gleason score 7 or clinical stage T2b/2c were identified from a prospectively collected database of 945 patients managed on AS between 1995 and 2013. Intervention was offered to those pts with a PSA doubling time of < 3 years, Gleason score or clinical progression.Overall survival (OS), cause-specific survival (CSS) for IR and low risk (LR) pts were analyzed as well as metastasis free survival (MFS) and treatment-free survival (TFS) for IR pts. Results: 237 (23.9%) pts had IR disease, with a median follow up of 6.9 years (IQR 3.89, 10.85) .708 pts had LR cancer with a median follow up of 6.4 years (IQR 3.76, 9.03). 61.2% of the IR cohort was older than 70 years. 86 IR pts (36.3%) received treatment (mainly radiation). The median treatment free interval for IR pts was 12.3 years (range 10.1 - 19.8). 33 IR patients developed biochemical failure and 17 developed metastatic disease [11 IR pts(4.6%) and 6 LR pts(0.8%)].The 10 and 15year OS was 68.4% and 50.3% for IR pts;83.6% and 68.8% for LR pts (p value <0.0001).Similarly 10 and 15 year CSS was 95.5% and 88.5% for IR ; 98.2% and 96.3% for LR pts (p value=0.006).The hazard ratio for IR pts versus LR pts was 2.08 for OS and 3.75 for CSS.IR pts had 3.75 times higher chance of dying from prostate cancer when compared to LR pts (Table). 10 year MFS and TFS were 92.1% (87.4-97.1%) and 58.5% (51.6-66.4%) in the IR cohort. Survival outcomes did not vary according to the year of patient enrollment. Conclusions: AS for intermediate risk prostate has significantly lower OS and CSS compared to low risk patients and therefore extreme caution should be exercised if it were to be implemented in intermediate risk patients. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Stereotactic body radiotherapy for low-risk prostate cancer: Five-year outcomes.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 94-94
Author(s):  
D. Freeman ◽  
C. R. King
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Low Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Biochemical Progression ◽  
Grade 3

94 Background: Hypofractionated, stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is an emerging treatment approach for prostate cancer. We present the outcomes for low-risk prostate cancer patients with a median follow-up of 5 years after SBRT. Methods: Between Dec. 2003 and Dec. 2005, a pooled cohort of 41 consecutive patients from Stanford, CA and Naples, FL received SBRT with CyberKnife for clinically localized, low-risk prostate cancer. Prescribed dose was 35–36.25 Gy in five fractions. No patient received hormone therapy. Kaplan-Meier biochemical progression-free survival (defined using the Phoenix method) and RTOG toxicity outcomes were assessed. Results: At a median follow-up of 5 years the biochemical progression-free survival was 93% (95% CI = 84.7% to 100%). Acute side effects resolved within 1–3 months of treatment completion. There were no grade 4 toxicities. No late grade 3 rectal toxicity and only one late grade 3 genitourinary toxicity occurred following repeated urologic instrumentation. Conclusions: Five-year results of SBRT for localized prostate cancer demonstrate the effectiveness and safety of shorter courses of high dose per fraction radiation delivered with SBRT technique. Ongoing clinical trials are expected to further support this experience. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals MP48-17 DO PROGRESSION RATES ON FOLLOW UP BIOPSY OVER TIME DIFFER BETWEEN MEN WITH VERY LOW RISK AND LOW RISK PROSTATE CANCER ON ACTIVE SURVEILLANCE?

2019 ◽  
Vol 201 (Supplement 4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Srinath Kotamarti* ◽  
Andrew Wood ◽  
Alyssa Yee ◽  
Daniel Rabinowitz ◽  
Allison Marziliano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Low Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Over Time
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