scholarly journals On Ultimate Ruin in a Delayed-Claims Risk Model

2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kam C. Yuen ◽  
Junyi Guo ◽  
Kai W. Ng
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Martingale Theory ◽  
Main Claim

In this paper, we consider a risk model in which each main claim induces a delayed claim called a by-claim. The time of delay for the occurrence of a by-claim is assumed to be exponentially distributed. From martingale theory, an expression for the ultimate ruin probability can be derived using the Lundberg exponent of the associated nondelayed risk model. It can be shown that the Lundberg exponent of the proposed risk model is the same as that of the nondelayed one. Brownian motion approximations for ruin probabilities are also discussed.

scholarly journals On Ultimate Ruin in a Delayed-Claims Risk Model

2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (01) ◽  
pp. 163-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kam C. Yuen ◽  
Junyi Guo ◽  
Kai W. Ng
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Martingale Theory ◽  
Main Claim

In this paper, we consider a risk model in which each main claim induces a delayed claim called a by-claim. The time of delay for the occurrence of a by-claim is assumed to be exponentially distributed. From martingale theory, an expression for the ultimate ruin probability can be derived using the Lundberg exponent of the associated nondelayed risk model. It can be shown that the Lundberg exponent of the proposed risk model is the same as that of the nondelayed one. Brownian motion approximations for ruin probabilities are also discussed.

scholarly journals Ruin Probabilities in a Finite-Horizon Risk Model with Investment and Reinsurance

2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (04) ◽  
pp. 954-966
Author(s):  
R. Romera ◽  
W. Runggaldier
Keyword(s):  
Financial Market ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Finite Horizon ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Optimal Solutions ◽  
Semi Markov Process ◽  
Insurance Model ◽  
Recursive Relations

A finite-horizon insurance model is studied where the risk/reserve process can be controlled by reinsurance and investment in the financial market. Our setting is innovative in the sense that we describe in a unified way the timing of the events, that is, the arrivals of claims and the changes of the prices in the financial market, by means of a continuous-time semi-Markov process which appears to be more realistic than, say, classical diffusion-based models. Obtaining explicit optimal solutions for the minimizing ruin probability is a difficult task. Therefore we derive a specific methodology, based on recursive relations for the ruin probability, to obtain a reinsurance and investment policy that minimizes an exponential bound (Lundberg-type bound) on the ruin probability.

scholarly journals Erlangian Approximations for Finite-Horizon Ruin Probabilities

2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 267-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soren Asmussen ◽  
Florin Avram ◽  
Miguel Usabel
Keyword(s):  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Fluid Model ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Approximation Procedure ◽  
Exponential Form ◽  
Probability Of Ruin ◽  
Phase Type ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
The Mean

AbstractFor the Cramér-Lundberg risk model with phase-type claims, it is shown that the probability of ruin before an independent phase-type time H coincides with the ruin probability in a certain Markovian fluid model and therefore has an matrix-exponential form. When H is exponential, this yields in particular a probabilistic interpretation of a recent result of Avram & Usabel. When H is Erlang, the matrix algebra takes a simple recursive form, and fixing the mean of H at T and letting the number of stages go to infinity yields a quick approximation procedure for the probability of ruin before time T. Numerical examples are given, including a combination with extrapolation.

scholarly journals Asymptotic Behavior of Ruin Probabilities in an Insurance Risk Model with Quasi-Asymptotically Independent or Bivariate Regularly Varying-Tailed Main Claim and By-Claim

Complexity ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Yang Yang ◽  
Xinzhi Wang ◽  
Xiaonan Su ◽  
Aili Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Behavior ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Insurance Risk ◽  
Main Claim ◽  
Regularly Varying ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Insurance Risk Model

This paper considers a by-claim risk model under the asymptotical independence or asymptotical dependence structure between each main claim and its by-claim. In the presence of heavy-tailed main claims and by-claims, we derive some asymptotic behavior for ruin probabilities.

scholarly journals Ruin Probabilities in a Finite-Horizon Risk Model with Investment and Reinsurance

2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 954-966 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Romera ◽  
W. Runggaldier
Keyword(s):  
Financial Market ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Finite Horizon ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Optimal Solutions ◽  
Semi Markov Process ◽  
Insurance Model ◽  
Recursive Relations

A finite-horizon insurance model is studied where the risk/reserve process can be controlled by reinsurance and investment in the financial market. Our setting is innovative in the sense that we describe in a unified way the timing of the events, that is, the arrivals of claims and the changes of the prices in the financial market, by means of a continuous-time semi-Markov process which appears to be more realistic than, say, classical diffusion-based models. Obtaining explicit optimal solutions for the minimizing ruin probability is a difficult task. Therefore we derive a specific methodology, based on recursive relations for the ruin probability, to obtain a reinsurance and investment policy that minimizes an exponential bound (Lundberg-type bound) on the ruin probability.

scholarly journals Ruin Probabilities for Two Classes of Risk Processes

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuanming Li ◽  
José Garrido
Keyword(s):  
Laplace Transform ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Compound Poisson Process ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Counting Processes ◽  
Arrival Times ◽  
The Laplace Transform ◽  
Sparre Andersen Risk Model ◽  
Risk Processes

We consider a risk model with two independent classes of insurance risks. We assume that the two independent claim counting processes are, respectively, Poisson and Sparre Andersen processes with generalized Erlang(2) claim inter-arrival times. The Laplace transform of the non-ruin probability is derived from a system of integro-differential equations. Explicit results can be obtained when the initial reserve is zero and the claim severity distributions of both classes belong to the Kn family of distributions. A relation between the ruin probability and the distribution of the supremum before ruin is identified. Finally, the Laplace transform of the non-ruin probability of a perturbed Sparre Andersen risk model with generalized Erlang(2) claim inter-arrival times is derived when the compound Poisson process converges weakly to a Wiener process.

scholarly journals Ruin Probabilities of a Discrete-time Multi-risk Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 367-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrius Grigutis ◽  
Agneška Korvel ◽  
Jonas Šiaulys
Keyword(s):  
Discrete Time ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Arrival Time ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Recursive Formula ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Numerical Examples ◽  
Premium Rate ◽  
Insurance Business ◽  
Independent Series

In this work,  we investigate a  multi-risk model describing insurance business with  two or more independent series of claim amounts. Each series of claim amounts consists of independent nonnegative random variables. Claims of each series occur periodically with some fixed   inter-arrival time. Claim amounts occur until they   can be compensated by a common premium rate and the initial insurer's surplus.  In this article, wederive a recursive formula for calculation of finite-time ruin probabilities. In the case of bi-risk model, we present a procedure to calculate the ultimate ruin probability. We add several numerical examples illustrating application  of the derived formulas.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5755/j01.itc.44.4.8635

scholarly journals Exponential convergence rate of ruin probabilities for level-dependent Lévy-driven risk processes

2019 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 1244-1268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre-Olivier Goffard ◽  
Andrey Sarantsev
Keyword(s):  
Convergence Rate ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Lyapunov Functions ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Exponential Convergence ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Exponential Rate ◽  
Risk Processes

AbstractWe find explicit estimates for the exponential rate of long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent Lévy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows us to reduce the problem to long-term convergence of a reflected jump-diffusion to its stationary distribution, which is handled via Lyapunov functions.

On the De Vylder and Goovaerts Conjecture About Ruin for Equalized Claims

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (03) ◽  
pp. 874-879 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Y. Robert
Keyword(s):  
Open Problem ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Ruin Probabilities ◽  
Ruin Theory ◽  
Finite Time Ruin Probability

In ruin theory, the conjecture given in De Vylder and Goovaerts (2000) is an open problem about the comparison of the finite time ruin probability in a homogeneous risk model and the corresponding ruin probability evaluated in the associated model with equalized claim amounts. In this paper we consider a weaker version of the conjecture and show that the integrals of the ruin probabilities with respect to the initial risk reserve are uniformly comparable.

scholarly journals A Dependent Insurance Risk Model with Surrender and Investment under the Thinning Process

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Wenguang Yu ◽  
Yujuan Huang
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Upper Bound ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Arrival Process ◽  
Insurance Risk ◽  
Martingale Theory ◽  
Thinning Process ◽  
First Time ◽  
Insurance Risk Model

A dependent insurance risk model with surrender and investment under the thinning process is discussed, where the arrival of the policies follows a compound Poisson-Geometric process, and the occurrences of the claim and surrender happen as the p-thinning process and the q-thinning process of the arrival process, respectively. By the martingale theory, the properties of the surplus process, adjustment coefficient equation, the upper bound of ruin probability, and explicit expression of ruin probability are obtained. Moreover, we also get the Laplace transformation, the expectation, and the variance of the time when the surplus reaches a given level for the first time. Finally, various trends of the upper bound of ruin probability and the expectation and the variance of the time when the surplus reaches a given level for the first time are simulated analytically along with changing the investment size, investment interest rates, claim rate, and surrender rate.

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