A matrix handling of predictions of new observations under a general random-effects model

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 ◽  
pp. 30-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongge Tian

Assume that a general linear random-effects model $\by = \bX\bbe + \bve$ is given, and new observations in the future follow the linear model $\by_{\!f} = \bX_{\!f}\bbe + \bve_{\!f}$. This paper shows how to establish all possible best linear unbiased predictors (BLUPs) under the general linear random-effects model with original and new observations from the original observation vector $\by$ under a most general assumption on the covariance matrix among the random vectors $\bbe$, $\bve$ and $\bve_{\!f}$. It utilizes a standard method of solving optimization problem in the L\"owner partial ordering on a constrained quadratic matrix-valued function, and obtains analytical expressions of the BLUPs, including those for $\by_{\!f}$, $\bX_{\!f}\bbe$ and $\bve_{\!f}$. In particular, some fundamental equalities for the BLUPs are established under the linear random-effects model.

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Bo Jiang ◽  
Yongge Tian

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>This paper is concerned with solving some fundamental estimation, prediction, and inference problems on a linear random-effects model with its parameter vector satisfying certain exact linear restrictions. Our work includes deriving analytical formulas for calculating the best linear unbiased predictors (BLUPs) and the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) of all unknown parameters in the model by way of solving certain constrained quadratic matrix optimization problems, characterizing various mathematical and statistical properties of the predictors and estimators, establishing various fundamental rank and inertia formulas associated with the covariance matrices of predictors and estimators, and presenting necessary and sufficient conditions for several equalities and inequalities of covariance matrices of the predictors and estimators to hold.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 178 (2) ◽  
pp. 313-339
Author(s):  
Michael L. Begnaud ◽  
Dale N. Anderson ◽  
Stephen C. Myers ◽  
Brian Young ◽  
James R. Hipp ◽  
...  

AbstractThe regional seismic travel time (RSTT) model and software were developed to improve travel-time prediction accuracy by accounting for three-dimensional crust and upper mantle structure. Travel-time uncertainty estimates are used in the process of associating seismic phases to events and to accurately calculate location uncertainty bounds (i.e. event location error ellipses). We improve on the current distance-dependent uncertainty parameterization for RSTT using a random effects model to estimate slowness (inverse velocity) uncertainty as a mean squared error for each model parameter. The random effects model separates the error between observed slowness and model predicted slowness into bias and random components. The path-specific travel-time uncertainty is calculated by integrating these mean squared errors along a seismic-phase ray path. We demonstrate that event location error ellipses computed for a 90% coverage ellipse metric (used by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization International Data Centre (IDC)), and using the path-specific travel-time uncertainty approach, are more representative (median 82.5% ellipse percentage) of true location error than error ellipses computed using distance-dependent travel-time uncertainties (median 70.1%). We also demonstrate measurable improvement in location uncertainties using the RSTT method compared to the current station correction approach used at the IDC (median 74.3% coverage ellipse).


2021 ◽  
pp. 073998632199591
Author(s):  
Milton A. Fuentes ◽  
Jazmin A. Reyes-Portillo ◽  
Petty Tineo ◽  
Kenny Gonzalez ◽  
Mamona Butt

While skin color is relevant and important in the Latinx community, as it is associated with colorism, little is known about how often it is measured or the best way to measure it. This article presents results from two studies examining these key concerns in three prominent journals, where Latinx research is typically published (i.e., the Hispanic Journal of Behavioral Sciences, the Journal of Latinx Psychology, and Cultural Diversity and Ethnic Minority Psychology). Study one examined whether skin color was measured as a variable, and if so, what measures and methodologies were used. A review of articles ( n = 1,137) showed few studies measured skin color in these three journals, with studies that did so relying on various approaches. Study two aimed to assess the reliability of a widely used skin color measure, the Massey-Martin scale, also known as the New Immigrant Survey (NIS) Skin Scale. Using a sample of 169 undergraduate students, self-ratings, coder ratings, and in vivo ratings were obtained and compared. One-way random effects model analyses indicated excellent reliability with minimal variability across the various ratings. Our findings suggest a critical need to engage in a more concerted effort to assess and discuss the relevance and importance of skin color within the Latinx community. The authors offer some suggestions on how to facilitate these efforts in clinical, training, and research arenas.


2021 ◽  
pp. 219256822110308
Author(s):  
Andrew Platt ◽  
Mostafa H. El Dafrawy ◽  
Michael J. Lee ◽  
Martin H. Herman ◽  
Edwin Ramos

Study Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Objectives: Indications for surgical decompression of gunshot wounds to the lumbosacral spine are controversial and based on limited data. Methods: A systematic review of literature was conducted to identify studies that directly compare neurologic outcomes following operative and non-operative management of gunshot wounds to the lumbosacral spine. Studies were evaluated for degree of neurologic improvement, complications, and antibiotic usage. An odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were calculated for dichotomous outcomes which were then pooled by random-effects model meta-analysis. Results: Five studies were included that met inclusion criteria. The total rate of neurologic improvement was 72.3% following surgical intervention and 61.7% following non-operative intervention. A random-effects model meta-analysis was carried out which failed to show a statistically significant difference in the rate of neurologic improvement between surgical and non-operative intervention (OR 1.07; 95% CI 0.45, 2.53; P = 0.88). In civilian only studies, a random-effects model meta-analysis failed to show a statistically significant difference in the rate of neurologic improvement between surgical and non-operative intervention (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.21, 2.72; P = 0.66). Meta-analysis further failed to show a statistically significant difference in the rate of neurologic improvement between patients with either complete (OR 4.13; 95% CI 0.55, 30.80; P = 0.17) or incomplete (OR 0.38; 95% CI 0.10, 1.52; P = 0.17) neurologic injuries who underwent surgical and non-operative intervention. There were no significant differences in the number of infections and other complications between patients who underwent surgical and non-operative intervention. Conclusions: There were no statistically significant differences in the rate of neurologic improvement between those who underwent surgical or non-operative intervention. Further research is necessary to determine if surgical intervention for gunshot wounds to the lumbosacral spine, including in the case of retained bullet within the spinal canal, is efficacious.


Author(s):  
James Piette ◽  
Alexander Braunstein ◽  
Blakeley B McShane ◽  
Shane T. Jensen

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