Prediction of Land Surface Temperature (LST) Changes within Ikom City in Nigeria Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

AbstractReliable and accurate environmental state prediction can help in long-term sustainable planning and management. Enormous land-use/ land-cover (LULC) transformation has been increasing the carbon emissions (CEs) and land surface temperature (LST) around the world. The study aimed to (i) examine the influences of land specific CEs on LST dynamics and (ii) simulate future potential LULC, CEs and LST pattern of Khulna City Corporation. Landsat satellite images of the year 2000, 2010 and 2020 were used to derive LULC, LST and CEs pattern and change. The correlation between land-use indices (NDBI, NDVI, NDWI) and LST was examined to explore the impacts of LULC change on LST. Unplanned urbanization has increased 11.79 Km2(26.10%) buildup areas and 25,268 tons of CEs during 2000–2020. The calculated R2 value indicates the strong positive correlation between CEs and LST. To simulate the future LULC, CEs and LST pattern for the year 2030 and 2040, multi-layer perceptron-Markov chain (MLP-MC)-based artificial neural network model was utilized with the accuracy rate of 94.12%, 99% and 98.48% for LULC, LST and CEs model, respectively. The simulation shows that by 2040, buildup area will increase to 87.33%, net CEs will increase by 19.82 × 104tons, and carbon absorptions will decrease by 23. 55 × 104tons and 69.54% of the total study area's LST will be above 390C. Such predictions signify the necessity of implementing a sustainable urban development plan immediately for the sustainable, habitable and sound urban environment.

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Global Solar Radiation Forecasting using Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machine

Journal of Physics Conference Series ◽

10.1088/1742-6596/2129/1/012079 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2129 (1) ◽

pp. 012079

Author(s):

Emmanuel Philibus ◽

Roselina Sallehuddin ◽

Yusliza Yussof ◽

Lizawati Mi Yusuf

Keyword(s):

Neural Network ◽

Artificial Neural Network ◽

Support Vector Machine ◽

Solar Radiation ◽

Land Surface ◽

Statistical Tests ◽

Global Solar Radiation ◽

Support Vector ◽

Artificial Neural ◽

Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract Global solar radiation (GSoR) forecasting involves predicting future energy from the sun based on past and present data. Literature reveals that not all meteorological stations record solar radiation, some equipments are faulty, and are not available in every location due to high cost. Hence, the need to predict and forecast using predictors such as land surface temperature (LST). Satellite data when were used to complement ground-based stations have been yielding good results. Different artificial intelligence (AI) methods such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) present different forecasting performances. Motivated by existing literature-related contradictions on the performance superiority of ANN and SVM in GSoR forecasting, the two techniques were compared based on several statistical tests. Experimental results show that ANN outperformed SVM by 2.9864% accuracy, making it superior in the forecast of GSoR.

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