The second wave of COVID-19: effect on Indian health care system

Author(s):  
Ashok Kumar Ahirwar ◽  
Kirti Kaim ◽  
Pradeep Ahirwar ◽  
Puja Kumari Jha
2021 ◽  
Vol 55 (2s) ◽  
pp. s340-s344
Author(s):  
Sathish Venkatasamy Dhayalan ◽  
Arulkumaran G ◽  
Shalini Sivadasan

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (Special2) ◽  
pp. 266-267
Author(s):  
Prakash Gyandev Gondode ◽  
Abhinav Vilas Lambe ◽  
Omshubham Gangadhar Asai

With the escalating number of covid-19 positive cases and amidst the glooming shadows of an anticipated second wave of the covid-19 pandemic, the health care system of a developing country like India is already under pressure. With the encroachment of monsoon season, the ghosts of the past haunt India. Monsoon brings along endemic diseases like dengue, malaria, swine flu, Japanese encephalitis, chikungunya, etc. Every year there is significant morbidity and mortality. These diseases have clinical features of fever, sore throat, and body aches in common, which also happens to be the common manifestations of covid-19. The growing stigma related to COVID-19, the fake news, and fear related to hospitalization and isolation may lead to low reporting cases to the hospitals. Lockdown and non-availability of beds may perplex the situation further. There is an urgent need of the hour to address this grave issue to prevent a major mishappening. A comprehensive evaluation of the health-care systems is desperately needed, especially on the fronts of governance, decision making, scientific and technical advice, and operational capacity. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 54-55
Author(s):  
Kalidasrao CO ◽  
Deepak S

Abstract is not available for this article.


Author(s):  
Alberto Aleta ◽  
David Martin-Corral ◽  
Ana Pastore y Piontti ◽  
Marco Ajelli ◽  
Maria Litvinova ◽  
...  

The new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has required the implementation of severe mobility restrictions and social distancing measures worldwide. While these measures have been proven effective in abating the epidemic in several countries, it is important to estimate the effectiveness of testing and tracing strategies to avoid a potential second wave of the COVID-19 epidemic. We integrate highly detailed (anonymized, privacy-enhanced) mobility data from mobile devices, with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model to describe the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in the Boston metropolitan area. We find that enforcing strict social distancing followed by a policy based on a robust level of testing, contact-tracing and household quarantine, could keep the disease at a level that does not exceed the capacity of the health care system. Assuming the identification of 50% of the symptomatic infections, and the tracing of 40% of their contacts and households, which corresponds to about 9% of individuals quarantined, the ensuing reduction in transmission allows the reopening of economic activities while attaining a manageable impact on the health care system. Our results show that a response system based on enhanced testing and contact tracing can play a major role in relaxing social distancing interventions in the absence of herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2.


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