Backward Bifurcation in a Fractional-Order SIRS Epidemic Model with a Nonlinear Incidence Rate

Author(s):  
A. M. Yousef ◽  
S. M. Salman

Abstract:In this work we study a fractional-order susceptible-infective-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate. The incidence is assumed to be a convex function with respect to the infective class of a host population. Local and uniform stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium is investigated. The conditions for the existence of endemic equilibria (EE) are given. Local stability of the EE is discussed. Conditions for the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the EE are given. Most importantly, conditions ensuring that the system exhibits backward bifurcation are provided. Numerical simulations are performed to verify the correctness of results obtained analytically.

2012 ◽  
Vol 479-481 ◽  
pp. 1495-1498 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Hong Li ◽  
Ning Cui ◽  
Hong Kai Sun

An SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate is studied. It is assumed that susceptible and infectious individuals have constant immigration rates. By means of Dulac function and Poincare-Bendixson Theorem, we proved the global asymptotical stable results of the disease-free equilibrium. It is then obtained the model undergoes Hopf bifurcation and existence of one limit cycle. Some numerical simulations are given to illustrate the analytical results.


2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhixing Hu ◽  
◽  
Ping Bi ◽  
Wanbiao Ma ◽  
Shigui Ruan ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinli Wang

This paper presents an investigation on the dynamics of an epidemic model with vital dynamics and a nonlinear incidence rate of saturated mass action as a function of the ratio of the number of the infectives to that of the susceptibles. The stabilities of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are first studied. Under the assumption of nonexistence of periodic solution, the global dynamics of the model is established: either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or it produces bistability in which there is a region such that the disease will persist if the initial position lies in the region and disappears if the initial position lies outside this region. Computer simulation shows such results.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (15) ◽  
pp. 1829
Author(s):  
Ardak Kashkynbayev ◽  
Fathalla A. Rihan

In this paper, we study the dynamics of a fractional-order epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence rate functionals and time-delay. We investigate the local and global stability of the steady-states. We deduce the basic reproductive threshold parameter, so that if R0<1, the disease-free steady-state is locally and globally asymptotically stable. However, for R0>1, there exists a positive (endemic) steady-state which is locally and globally asymptotically stable. A Holling type III response function is considered in the numerical simulations to illustrate the effectiveness of the theoretical results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abderrahim Mouaouine ◽  
Adnane Boukhouima ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

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