Impact of Financial Deepening on Economic Growth in Indian Perspective: ARDL Bound Testing Approach to Cointegration

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vipin Ghildiyal ◽  
A.K Pokhriyal ◽  
Arvind Mohan

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.


Different academics and experts have acknowledged that developing the financial sector positively impacts economic growth by increasing productivity, progress and national investment. Expanding the financial sector allows financial intermediaries to carry out functionalities of deploying, aggregating and directing a country’s savings into an investment which contributes to domestic progression. This research explores the effect of financial deepening on Nigeria’s growth for 38 years covering 1981- 2018. The main research goals were to investigate the linkages among time and savings deposit of commercial banks, money supply and credit to the private sector on the economy’s growth. Data was obtained from CBN Bulletin different issues and analyzed using Autoregressive Distributed Lag. From the result of analysis, we found out that long run relationship existed but no regressor was found to be significant. Credit to the private sector to GDP was inversely related to GDP growth whereas money supply to GDP had positive relations with economic growth rate, time and savings deposits in commercial banks negatively affected national growth. Policies favoring credit lending to the private sector should be encouraged by stakeholders in the economy, for instance, higher savings interest rates would encourage more savings. More importantly, policies should be enacted to make sure that savings are transmitted into productive investments that can yield financial deepness


2014 ◽  
Vol 47 (11) ◽  
pp. 1133-1150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keshab Bhattarai

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-112
Author(s):  
Abdullah Saeed ◽  
Shayem Saleh

AbstractThis paper aims to examine the financial depth and efficiency and economic growth nexus in the context of Saudi Arabia and Oman. In particular, this paper addresses on how financial depth and efficiency relate to economic growth and the causal relation between financial depth and efficiency and the economic growth in Saudi Arabia and Oman. Methodological wise, this study employs a panel data of Saudi Arabia and Oman over the period of 1990 - 2015 and uses the determination of line of best to analyze the causal relations. The empirical results show that financial deepening have desirable effects on the economic growth in Oman, while increasing financial depth and efficiency has detrimental impact to economic growth of Saudi Arabia. Based on these empirical facts, we conclude that the financial deepening in Saudi Arabia is not an economic prioritized strategy, but financial deepening is an economic prioritized strategy in Oman. Two main policy implications are reached.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1086-1101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mollah Aminul Islam ◽  
Haiyun Liu ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Sultanuzzaman MD Reza ◽  
Yassin Elshain Yahia ◽  
...  

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