scholarly journals Research on Risk Assessment Method of Enterprise's Arrears Based on Block-Chain Credit Consensus

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Sujie Xing
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Power Supply ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Risk Assessment Method ◽  
Credit Data ◽  
Credit Scoring Model

Abstract Background:At present, the power supply market has always acquiesced to the rule of ‘use electricity first, pay later’,some electricity users may delay payment or even default on electricity bills due to various reasons, causing problems such as a long recovery period for electricity bills and difficulty in debt settlement. In order to reduce this kind of phenomenon, the power supply company must understand the user's historical electricity consumption data, capital status, credit status and other information, but the establishment of such a database requires a lot of time and human resource costs.Methods:Based on the distributed storage technology of blockchain, this paper abstracts power supply companies, power users, banking financial institutions, government regulatory agencies, etc. into nodes on the alliance chain.After that,this paper introduces a credit scoring model to judge the credit rating of user information based on characteristic indicators, and select the corresponding electricity fee recovery policy after the result is obtained, so as to reduce the operating risk of the power supply company.Results:This article combines the power and energy market with blockchain technology to establish a secure and distributed credit data blockchain, and at the same time establish a credit scoring model based on expert review questionnaire data. The analysis results show that this mechanism is suitable for credit data storage and sharing in energy transactions. Conclusions:Research and analysis indicate that the credit risk assessment method of electricity transaction data proposed in this article provides a theoretical basis for the combination of electricity transaction credit risk assessment and blockchain technology,which will help improve the company's ability to assess the risk of arrears and reduce the operating risk of power supply companies.

scholarly journals Measuring and Managing Credit Risk for Chinese Microfinance Institutions

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Jie Li ◽  
Zhenyu Sheng
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Direct Method ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Microfinance Institutions ◽  
Linear Discriminant ◽  
Management Level ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Subjective Appraisals ◽  
Credit Scoring Model

Chinese microfinance institutions need to measure and manage credit risk in a quantitative way in order to improve competitiveness. To establish a credit scoring model (CSM) with sound predictive power, they should examine various models carefully, identify variables, assign values to variables and reduce variable dimensions in an appropriate way. Microfinance institutions could employ both CSM and loan officer’s subjective appraisals to improve risk management level gradually. The paper sets up a CSM based on the data of a microfinance company running from October 2009 to June 2014 in Jiangsu province. As for establishing the model, the paper uses Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) method, selects 16 initial variables, employs direct method to assign variables and adopts all the variables into the model. Ten samples are constructed by randomly selecting records. Based on the samples, the coefficients are determined and the final none-standardized discriminant function is established. It is found that Bank credit, Education, Old client and Rate variables have the greatest impact on the discriminant effect. Compared with the same international models, this model’s classification effect is fine. The paper displays the key technical points to build a credit scoring model based on a practical application, which provides help and references for Chinese microfinance institutions to measure and manage credit risk quantitatively.

scholarly journals A multicriteria credit scoring model for SMEs using hybrid BWM and TOPSIS

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pranith Kumar Roy ◽  
Krishnendu Shaw
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Loan Pricing ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Record Keeping ◽  
Return On Capital ◽  
Credit Scoring Model

AbstractSmall- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have a crucial influence on the economic development of every nation, but access to formal finance remains a barrier. Similarly, financial institutions encounter challenges in the assessment of SMEs’ creditworthiness for the provision of financing. Financial institutions employ credit scoring models to identify potential borrowers and to determine loan pricing and collateral requirements. SMEs are perceived as unorganized in terms of financial data management compared to large corporations, making the assessment of credit risk based on inadequate financial data a cause for financial institutions’ concern. The majority of existing models are data-driven and have faced criticism for failing to meet their assumptions. To address the issue of limited financial record keeping, this study developed and validated a system to predict SMEs’ credit risk by introducing a multicriteria credit scoring model. The model was constructed using a hybrid best–worst method (BWM) and the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). Initially, the BWM determines the weight criteria, and TOPSIS is applied to score SMEs. A real-life case study was examined to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, and a sensitivity analysis varying the weight of the criteria was performed to assess robustness against unpredictable financial situations. The findings indicated that SMEs’ credit history, cash liquidity, and repayment period are the most crucial factors in lending, followed by return on capital, financial flexibility, and integrity. The proposed credit scoring model outperformed the existing commercial model in terms of its accuracy in predicting defaults. This model could assist financial institutions, providing a simple means for identifying potential SMEs to grant credit, and advance further research using alternative approaches.

scholarly journals A Novel Ensemble Credit Scoring Model Based on Extreme Learning Machine and Generalized Fuzzy Soft Sets

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Dayu Xu ◽  
Xuyao Zhang ◽  
Junguo Hu ◽  
Jiahao Chen
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Soft Sets ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Fuzzy Soft Sets ◽  
Credit Data ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Elm Classifier ◽  
Credit Scoring Model

This paper mainly discusses the hybrid application of ensemble learning, classification, and feature selection (FS) algorithms simultaneously based on training data balancing for helping the proposed credit scoring model perform more effectively, which comprises three major stages. Firstly, it conducts preprocessing for collected credit data. Then, an efficient feature selection algorithm based on adaptive elastic net is employed to reduce the weakly related or uncorrelated variables to get high-quality training data. Thirdly, a novel ensemble strategy is proposed to make the imbalanced training data set balanced for each extreme learning machine (ELM) classifier. Finally, a new weighting method for single ELM classifiers in the ensemble model is established with respect to their classification accuracy based on generalized fuzzy soft sets (GFSS) theory. A novel cosine-based distance measurement algorithm of GFSS is also proposed to calculate the weights of each ELM classifier. To confirm the efficiency of the proposed ensemble credit scoring model, we implemented experiments with real-world credit data sets for comparison. The process of analysis, outcomes, and mathematical tests proved that the proposed model is capable of improving the effectiveness of classification in average accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), H-measure, and Brier’s score compared to all other single classifiers and ensemble approaches.

scholarly journals Design and Development of Credit Scoring Model for Conventional Banks for Individual Borrowing Case Study on PT BPR Sungai Puar District Agam

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-56
Author(s):  
Rio Hendriadi ◽  
Anne Putri ◽  
Dona Amelia ◽  
Rany Syafrina
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
Credit Scoring Model ◽  
Conventional Bank

Objective – This research is conducted to design and to develop credit scoring model on conventional bank in order to determine individual loan, the research takes place in PT BPR Sungai Puar, Kabupaten Agam. This model tries to evaluate the credit risk of BPR Sungai Puar.Design/methodology – The data are considered as secondary sources as they are taken from BPR Sungai Puar database by classifying them into two analysis tools including discriminant analysis and logistic regression. Results – The resuts are presentes inform of model and credit scoring perfection on PT BPR Sungai Puar Kabupaten Agam.Keywords Credit Scoring Model, Conventional Banks, Individual Loan

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