Empirical Performance of a Spline-Based Implied Volatility Surface

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Greg Orosi
Author(s):  
Przemyslaw S. Stilger ◽  
Ngoc Quynh Anh Nguyen ◽  
Tri Minh Nguyen

This paper examines the empirical performance of four stochastic volatility option pricing models: Heston, Heston[Formula: see text], Bates and Heston–Hull–White. To compare these models, we use individual stock options data from January 1996 to August 2014. The comparison is made with respect to pricing and hedging performance, implied volatility surface and risk-neutral return distribution characteristics, as well as performance across industries and time. We find that the Heston model outperforms the other models in terms of in-sample pricing, whereas Heston[Formula: see text] model outperforms the other models in terms of out-of-sample hedging. This suggests that taking jumps or stochastic interest rates into account does not improve the model performance after accounting for stochastic volatility. We also find that the model performance deteriorates during the crises as well as when the implied volatility surface is steep in the maturity or strike dimension.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 994
Author(s):  
Elisa Alòs ◽  
Jorge A. León

Here, we review some results of fractional volatility models, where the volatility is driven by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In these models, the future average volatility is not a process adapted to the underlying filtration, and fBm is not a semimartingale in general. So, we cannot use the classical Itô’s calculus to explain how the memory properties of fBm allow us to describe some empirical findings of the implied volatility surface through Hull and White type formulas. Thus, Malliavin calculus provides a natural approach to deal with the implied volatility without assuming any particular structure of the volatility. The aim of this paper is to provides the basic tools of Malliavin calculus for the study of fractional volatility models. That is, we explain how the long and short memory of fBm improves the description of the implied volatility. In particular, we consider in detail a model that combines the long and short memory properties of fBm as an example of the approach introduced in this paper. The theoretical results are tested with numerical experiments.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuyang Cheng ◽  
Marcos Escobar-Anel ◽  
Zhenxian Gong

This paper proposes and investigates a multivariate 4/2 Factor Model. The name 4/2 comes from the superposition of a CIR term and a 3/2-model component. Our model goes multidimensional along the lines of a principal component and factor covariance decomposition. We find conditions for well-defined changes of measure and we also find two key characteristic functions in closed-form, which help with pricing and risk measure calculations. In a numerical example, we demonstrate the significant impact of the newly added 3/2 component (parameter b) and the common factor (a), both with respect to changes on the implied volatility surface (up to 100%) and on two risk measures: value at risk and expected shortfall where an increase of up to 29% was detected.


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