(Prospects for the Use of Modern Versions of the SNA in the Formation of an Information Base for Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting)

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Abroskin
2021 ◽  
pp. 159-167
Author(s):  
M. D. Khabib ◽  
N. A. Abroskina

The relevance of the problem of measuring shadow activity and its significance for the purposes of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting is emphasized. The importance of forming an adequate methodological base for measuring shadow activity and developing an information support system for its research is substantiated. The existing approaches to the definition of shadow activity and methods of its measurement are analyzed. The possibility of building an information base and obtaining appropriate estimates of shadow activity on the basis of resource and use tables developed at the national level is evaluated. The possibility of using the resource approach as the most objective method of reflecting the volume and components of shadow activity at the sectoral and macro levels is studied. The conditions for the use of the resource approach are determined, taking into account the specifics of the industry features of the formation of output and intermediate consumption indicators. The possibility of constructing dynamic series of indicators constructed using the resource approach for analytical purposes is evaluated. 


1993 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-335
Author(s):  
Willem Van der Geest

This volume reviews the nature and scope of informal financial markets in developing countries and elaborates on the theoretical and conceptual models which analyse 'financial repression' and other aspects of government intervention in financial markets. It also focuses on the consequences which the prevalence of informal financial markets in developing countries may have for monetary and exchange rate policy. In particular, it attempts to capture the functioning of informal, unregulated markets into macroeconomic models, working towards a general eqUilibrium model with informal financial markets. Two types of informal markets are analysed. The first are for informal lending at terms and conditions which differ greatly from those prevailing in the official banking system. The second are the 'parallel' markets for foreign exchange which tend to emerge in response to quantity restrictions on trade and administered allocation of foreign exchange to certain users at official rates, which are well below those on the parellel markets. The key question is whether these informal markets change the efficacy of monetary and credit policy-and, if they do, to what extent and in what direction? Two supporting appendices present econometric analyses of the efficiency of parallel currency markets and the degree of capital mobility in developing countries.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruoxi Zhang ◽  
FARROKH ZANDI ◽  
Henry M. Kim

Author(s):  
S. Kiertiburanakul ◽  
W. Phongsamart ◽  
T. Tantawichien ◽  
W. Manosuthi ◽  
P. Kulchaitanaroaj

Thailand has a high incidence and high mortality rates of influenza. This study summarizes the evidence on economic burden or costs of influenza subsequent to the occurrence of influenza illness in the Thai population by specific characteristics such as population demographics, health conditions, healthcare facilities, and/or cost types from published literature. A systematic search was conducted in six electronic databases. All costs were extracted and adjusted to 2018 US dollar value. Out of 581 records, 11 articles (1 with macroeconomic analysis and 10 with microeconomic analyses) were included. Direct medical costs per episode for outpatients and inpatients ranged from US$4.21 to US$212.17 and from US$163.62 to US$4577.83, respectively, across distinct influenza illnesses. The overall burden of influenza was between US$31.1 and US$83.6 million per year and 50-53% of these estimates referred to lost productivity. Costs of screening for an outbreak of influenza at an 8-bed-intensive-care-unit hospital was US$38242.75 per year. Labor-sensitive sectors such as services were the most affected part of the Thai economy. High economic burden tended to occur among children and older adults with co-morbidities and to be related to complications, non-vaccinated status, and severe influenza illness. Strategies involving prevention, limit of transmission, and treatment focusing on aforementioned patients’ factors, containment of hospitalization expenses and quarantine process, and assistance on labor-sensitive economy sectors are likely to reduce the economic burden of influenza. However, a research gap exists regarding knowledge about the economic burden of influenza in Thailand.


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